China Galaxy Securities Co (601881) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CN · Market cap 141B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from ¥21.02 to ¥18.92 (−10.0%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price −5.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 52% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥14.19). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.16 – ¥19.00 · fair‑value band ¥14.19 – ¥23.65 · the ¥12.44 price screens below the ¥18.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
China Galaxy Securities Co (601881) currently trades at ¥12.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥18.92, implying the stock looks roughly 52.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Galaxy Securities Co generated revenue of 30.1B CNY at a net margin of 42.6%. Revenue grew 14.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.6%. Net debt stands at 161B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥14.19 (bear case) to ¥23.65 (bull case); at ¥12.44, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at 52%, 601881 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥44.07) versus Dividend Discount (¥7.36). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company operates through six segments: Wealth Management, Investment Banking, Institutional Business, International Business, Investment and Trading Business, and Parent-Subsidiary Integration Business.
Full company description
China Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company operates through six segments: Wealth Management, Investment Banking, Institutional Business, International Business, Investment and Trading Business, and Parent-Subsidiary Integration Business. It offers agency trading of stocks, funds, bonds, and derivative financial instruments; financial services, including investment consulting, portfolio advice, financial product sale, and asset allocation, as well as securities trading, stock-pledged repurchase agreements, agreed repurchase transactions; and investment banking services, such as equity, bond, and structured financing, as well as financial advisory, asset securitization, and various financing solutions. The company also provides prime brokerage, seat leasing, custody and fund services, investment research, and sales and transactions; research and asset management services; and fixed-income securities, commodities, and derivatives, as well as comprehensive financial solutions for investment, financing, and risk management. In addition, it offers professional development, revenue generation, futures, and private equity, as well as equity investment management, alternative investment, and asset management. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Galaxy Securities Co reported revenue of ¥28.2B in FY2025 versus ¥30.9B in FY2021, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥12.5B in FY2025, compounding +4.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Financial Conglomerates · 55 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Financial Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORIX Corporation IX | $40.31 | $35.05 | -13% |
| Bajaj Finserv Ltd BAJAJFINSV | ₹2,065 | ₹682.29 | -67% |
| Yuanta Financial Holding 2885 | 66.70 TWD | 35.75 TWD | -46% |
| Guosen Securities Co 002736 | ¥10.34 | ¥17.96 | +74% |
| CNPC Capital Company 000617 | ¥6.80 | ¥5.78 | -15% |
| Aditya Birla Capital Limited ABCAPITAL | ₹399.25 | ₹176.15 | -56% |
| Freedom Holding FRHC | $152.69 | $32.75 | -79% |
| Voya Financial, Inc VOYA | $98.49 | $76.48 | -22% |
| Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings 000987 | ¥7.77 | ¥9.27 | +19% |
| Bicecorp S.A BICE | 401.29 CLP | 342.22 CLP | -15% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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