Aditya Birla Capital Limited (ABCAPITAL) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹1.1T
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from ₹183.81 to ₹176.15 (−4.2%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +4.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹220.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹87.35 – ₹424.70 · fair‑value band ₹132.12 – ₹220.19 · the ₹421.50 price screens above the ₹176.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Aditya Birla Capital Limited (ABCAPITAL) currently trades at ₹421.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹176.15, implying the stock looks roughly 58.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Aditya Birla Capital Limited generated revenue of ₹323B at a net margin of 11.7%. Revenue grew 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.2%. Net debt stands at ₹1.7T. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹132.12 (bear case) to ₹220.19 (bull case); at ₹421.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at -58%, ABCAPITAL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹620.58) versus Dividend Discount (₹0.0500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Aditya Birla Capital Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides various financial products and services in India and internationally. It operates through NBFC, Housing Finance, Life Insurance, Asset Management, General Insurance Broking, Stock and Securities Broking, Health Insurance, and Other Financial Services segments.
Full company description
Aditya Birla Capital Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides various financial products and services in India and internationally. It operates through NBFC, Housing Finance, Life Insurance, Asset Management, General Insurance Broking, Stock and Securities Broking, Health Insurance, and Other Financial Services segments. The company offers housing loans, such as home extension, renovation, construction, plot and construction, lease rental discounting, and commercial property loans, as well as loan against property; personal and consumer, flexi, secured, unsecured business loan, and corporate loans; gold loan; and SME loans, including line of credit, working capital, and supply chain financing solutions. It also provides loan against shares, mutual funds, life insurance policies, IPO financings, and promoter fundings. Further, it offers corporate financing, such as project financing and term loans. In addition, it provides life insurance, such as term, retirement, saving, ULIP, children future, wealth protection, group life, general, and pension solutions; health and wellness, and super top-up health insurance plans; and motor insurance comprising bike and car insurances; and travel insurances. Further, the company offers pocket insurance, including eye, dental, hospicash, mental health and nutrition, and personal accident insurance. Additionally, it provides payment solutions and credit card products. The company also provides investment solutions in mutual funds, such as debt, equity, hybrid, retirement, exchange traded, fund of funds, and index funds; stock and securities, including equity, margin trading facilities, and bonds; fixed deposits; digital gold and silver; and tax planning. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Mumbai, India. Aditya Birla Capital Limited is a subsidiary of Grasim Industries Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Aditya Birla Capital Limited reported revenue of ₹456B in FY2026 versus ₹88.0B in FY2022, a compound +50.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹37.6B in FY2026, compounding +21.9%/yr from FY2022.
ABCAPITAL screens 58% overvalued. Compare with ORIX Corporation →
Peer Group
Financial Conglomerates · 55 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Financial Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORIX Corporation IX | $40.31 | $35.05 | -13% |
| Bajaj Finserv Ltd BAJAJFINSV | ₹2,065 | ₹682.29 | -67% |
| Yuanta Financial Holding 2885 | 66.70 TWD | 35.75 TWD | -46% |
| China Galaxy Securities Co 601881 | ¥12.94 | ¥18.92 | +46% |
| Guosen Securities Co 002736 | ¥10.34 | ¥17.96 | +74% |
| CNPC Capital Company 000617 | ¥6.80 | ¥5.78 | -15% |
| Freedom Holding FRHC | $152.69 | $32.75 | -79% |
| Voya Financial, Inc VOYA | $98.49 | $76.48 | -22% |
| Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings 000987 | ¥7.77 | ¥9.27 | +19% |
| Bicecorp S.A BICE | 401.29 CLP | 342.22 CLP | -15% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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