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Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd ¥4.83, price ¥25.90, upside -81.4%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · CN

ZZ Thin data Sep 28, 2026

Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd

001238 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥4.83 · Strongly overvalued (−81.4%)
!Quality 44/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +13.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.1% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!0.3% dividend yield · Token dividend
!Trails peers (3/12)
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 13 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 5 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥40.87 ¥9.58 Fair Value ¥4.83 Sep 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

48‑month range ¥9.58 – ¥40.87 · fair‑value band ¥3.85 – ¥6.25 · the ¥25.90 price screens above the ¥4.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.

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Company profile

Zhejiang Zhengte Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, sale, and supply of sunshade products and outdoor leisure furniture in China and internationally. It offers starry sky tents, awnings, and parasols; outdoor leisure furniture, including pet houses, outdoor furniture, and storage supplies.

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Zhejiang Zhengte Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, sale, and supply of sunshade products and outdoor leisure furniture in China and internationally. It offers starry sky tents, awnings, and parasols; outdoor leisure furniture, including pet houses, outdoor furniture, and storage supplies. The company's products are primarily used in family courtyards, terraces, restaurants, bars, beaches, parks, hotels and other leisure places. In addition, it engages in online, wholesale, and retail trade business. Zhejiang Zhengte Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Linhai, China.

Stock analysis

Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238) currently trades at ¥25.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.83, 81.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥8.76 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥25.90 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.07, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥3.85 (bear) to ¥6.25 (bull), the price of ¥25.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was 36.2M CNY in FY2025, compounding −23.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 4.5B CNY (≈ $679M) · P/E ratio 103.6 · P/S ratio 2.24 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2500 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 2.2% · Return on equity 3.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −81%, 001238 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥3.85 Fair Value ¥4.83 Bull ¥6.25
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1349 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥4.95 ¥4.71 ¥4.71 76
Owner Earnings ¥5.91 ¥8.76 ¥13.25 73
EPV ¥4.94 ¥5.35 ¥5.68 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥5.91 ¥8.76 ¥13.25 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.59 ¥7.94 ¥10.96 64
Lynch FV ¥2.15 ¥3.07 ¥3.99 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.15 ¥3.07 ¥3.99 57
EPV ¥4.94 ¥5.35 ¥5.68 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.85 ¥5.14 ¥6.42 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.98 ¥3.97 ¥4.96 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.98 ¥3.97 ¥4.96 55
EV/EBIT ¥7.53 ¥9.38 ¥11.23 63
EV/EBITDA ¥10.59 ¥13.46 ¥16.33 64
EV/Revenue ¥5.72 ¥7.33 ¥8.93 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.62 ¥4.84 ¥7.23 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.95 ¥4.71 ¥4.71 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.94 ¥5.35 ¥5.68 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.36 ¥4.80 ¥6.25 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+35.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.8% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−20.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−24.8% vs −12.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

001238 screens overvalued: fair value 81% below the price. Compare with Midea Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 303 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −81.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3.4% · Below median
Return on assets 2.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 24.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 103.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B 4.06× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.52× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 31.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)13 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)5 · sector 62

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/001238

Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.83 versus a price of ¥25.90, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 001238?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd is ¥4.83 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥25.90.
What is the quality score of 001238?
Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.83 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.85, optimistic scenario ¥6.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.83, about −81% upside versus a price of ¥25.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.85, optimistic scenario ¥6.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238)?
Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.27% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd it is ¥4.83 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of ¥25.90. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, 001238 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥25.90, fair value ¥4.83, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 001238?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥25.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.83). For Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd the two are ¥21.07 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd worth?
The market values Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd at about 4.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is ¥25.90; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.83 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 001238?
Our models span a range for Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.85, base ¥4.83, optimistic ¥6.25 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price ¥25.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 001238?
Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 103.6 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥4.83 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.1, P/S 2.5, EV/EBITDA 31.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 3.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 001238 from its 52-week high?
Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd trades at ¥25.90, about 37% below its 52-week high of ¥40.87 and 14% above the low of ¥22.81 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.83 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, King Slide Works Co, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price ¥25.90, calculated fair value ¥4.83 (−81%), Quality Score 44/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 001238 calculated?
We run Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.83, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥25.90. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.83, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238) come from?
Earnings per share at Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd grew −2.9 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.9 %, EBIT margin −9.3 %, tax rate +1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238)?
The market capitalisation of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd is 4.5B CNY (≈ $679M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd is 2.24 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238)?
Earnings per share at Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd are ¥0.2500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 103.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238)?
The dividend yield of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd is 0.3% (payout 28.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238)?
The net margin of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd is 2.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238)?
The operating margin of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238)?
Revenue at Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd is growing +24.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238)?
Earnings per share at Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd are growing +5.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd is −77.3M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd (001238) hold?
Zhejiang Zhengte Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 121M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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