Xiangtan Yongda Machinery Manufacturing Co (001239) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥4.25 to ¥5.48 (+29.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −8.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 53% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
32‑month range ¥10.87 – ¥27.57 · fair‑value band ¥4.58 – ¥5.48 · the ¥11.65 price screens above the ¥5.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Xiangtan Yongda Machinery Manufacturing Co (001239) currently trades at ¥11.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.48, implying the stock looks roughly 53.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xiangtan Yongda Machinery Manufacturing Co generated revenue of 2.0B CNY at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue declined 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. Net debt stands at 1.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.58 (bear case) to ¥5.48 (bull case); at ¥11.65, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -53%, 001239 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥8.35) versus Economic Profit (¥1.51). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xiangtan Yongda Machinery Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the design, production, and sale of metal structural parts for large-scale equipment in China and internationally. The company offers wind power generation equipment, tunnel excavation equipment, super large tower cranes, large excavators, and large electric drive dump trucks.
Full company description
Xiangtan Yongda Machinery Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the design, production, and sale of metal structural parts for large-scale equipment in China and internationally. The company offers wind power generation equipment, tunnel excavation equipment, super large tower cranes, large excavators, and large electric drive dump trucks. It also provides various large-scale high-precision processing and measuring equipment, including large-scale CNC laser, fine plasma, flame cutting machines, large-scale CNC leveling machines, CNC three-roller bending machines, CNC bending machines, hydraulic presses, MIG, MAG, TIG, SAW welding machines, various welding robot centers, hot air circulation heat treatment annealing furnaces, digital vibration aging machines, double-column milling and turning machining centers, CNC double-column vertical lathes, large-scale CNC floor-standing boring and milling machines, CNC double-sided floor-standing milling and boring, Large CNC gantry boring and milling machine, heavy-duty high-speed CNC drilling and milling machine, planer-type CNC horizontal milling and boring machine, shot blasting room, water washing room, drying and spraying integrated paint room, spectrum analyzer, carbon and sulfur analyzer, universal tensile testing machine, impact test machine, ultrasonic flaw detector, and magnetic particle flaw detector, etc. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Xiangtan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xiangtan Yongda Machinery Manufacturing Co reported revenue of ¥2.0B in FY2025 versus ¥1.0B in FY2021, a compound +19.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥47.5M in FY2025, compounding −14.4%/yr from FY2021.
001239 screens 53% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $577.10 | $103.31 | -82% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $186.17 | $36.51 | -80% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $59.13 | $60.24 | +2% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥7.45 | ¥1.15 | -85% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥31.69 | ¥8.74 | -72% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥56.73 | ¥24.43 | -57% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥131.65 | ¥44.23 | -66% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥48.52 | ¥8.07 | -83% |
| Baoding Technology Co 002552 | ¥43.95 | ¥5.44 | -88% |
| Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co 301196 | ¥110.08 | ¥42.71 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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