Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group (001288) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥16.88 to ¥16.87 (−0.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +16.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 39% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥20.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range ¥8.47 – ¥40.54 · fair‑value band ¥13.13 – ¥20.50 · the ¥27.80 price screens above the ¥16.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group (001288) currently trades at ¥27.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.87, implying the stock looks roughly 39.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group generated revenue of 1.8B CNY at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue declined 6.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 547M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥13.13 (bear case) to ¥20.50 (bull case); at ¥27.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -39%, 001288 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥20.75) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.33). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, development, production, and sale of conveying machinery in China and internationally.
Full company description
Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, development, production, and sale of conveying machinery in China and internationally. The company offers general, tubular, and horizontal turning belt conveyors; check and drive devices; and shifting telescopic, high-angle, and screw conveyors, as well as bucket elevators for use in various industries, including electricity, steel, coal, transportation, water conservancy, chemicals, metallurgy, petroleum, and building materials. It also engages in the manufacture of distribution switch control equipment, power facility equipment, photovoltaic equipment and components, industrial automatic control system devices, metal structures, feeding machinery, stackers, reclaimers, oil drilling equipment, instruments, and meters; software development; development of artificial intelligence application software; digital technology; maintenance of electronic and mechanical equipment; information system operation and maintenance; technical services, development, consulting, exchanges, transfer, and promotion; information technology consulting; research, development, and promotion of new materials; and research and development of energy technologies. In addition, it is involved in technology transfer and development; goods import and export; investment and asset management; financing consulting; installation of industrial machinery and equipment, and lines and pipelines for construction projects; mechanical engineering; artificial intelligence, data processing, cloud computing, and Internet of Things technology services; construction of civil, building, and electromechanical engineering; transportation, logistics, and leasing; road freight transportation; and commercial intermediary activities. The company was formerly known as Sichuan Zigong Transport Machinery Co., Ltd. Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Zigong, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group reported revenue of ¥1.8B in FY2025 versus ¥788M in FY2021, a compound +22.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥196M in FY2025, compounding +23.1%/yr from FY2021.
001288 screens 39% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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