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Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd ¥16.87, price ¥31.79, upside -46.9%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE100004Y80

SZ Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd

001288 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥16.87 · Strongly overvalued (−47%)
!Quality 41/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +20.9 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.8% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·0.63% dividend yield
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Moderate moat 45/100
!Weak on dividend: 13 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥40.54 ¥8.47 Fair Value ¥16.87 Nov 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

59‑month range ¥8.47 – ¥40.54 · fair‑value band ¥13.13 – ¥20.50 · the ¥31.79 price screens above the ¥16.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, development, production, and sale of conveying machinery in China and internationally.

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Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, development, production, and sale of conveying machinery in China and internationally. The company offers general, tubular, and horizontal turning belt conveyors; check and drive devices; and shifting telescopic, high-angle, and screw conveyors, as well as bucket elevators for use in various industries, including electricity, steel, coal, transportation, water conservancy, chemicals, metallurgy, petroleum, and building materials. It also engages in the manufacture of distribution switch control equipment, power facility equipment, photovoltaic equipment and components, industrial automatic control system devices, metal structures, feeding machinery, stackers, reclaimers, oil drilling equipment, instruments, and meters; software development; development of artificial intelligence application software; digital technology; maintenance of electronic and mechanical equipment; information system operation and maintenance; technical services, development, consulting, exchanges, transfer, and promotion; information technology consulting; research, development, and promotion of new materials; and research and development of energy technologies. In addition, it is involved in technology transfer and development; goods import and export; investment and asset management; financing consulting; installation of industrial machinery and equipment, and lines and pipelines for construction projects; mechanical engineering; artificial intelligence, data processing, cloud computing, and Internet of Things technology services; construction of civil, building, and electromechanical engineering; transportation, logistics, and leasing; road freight transportation; and commercial intermediary activities. The company was formerly known as Sichuan Zigong Transport Machinery Co., Ltd. Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Zigong, China.

Stock analysis

Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288) currently trades at ¥31.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.87, implying the stock looks roughly 88.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥20.75 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥31.79 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥3.66, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥13.13 (bear) to ¥20.50 (bull), the price of ¥31.79 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 788M CNY in FY2021, a compound +22.7%/yr. Reported net income was 196M CNY in FY2025, compounding +23.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 7.5B CNY (≈ $1.1B) · P/E ratio 41.3 · P/S ratio 4.52 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.7700 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 11.0% · Return on equity 8.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −47%, 001288 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥13.13 Fair Value ¥16.87 Bull ¥20.50
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.4170 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥8.01 ¥8.42 ¥8.92 76
EPV ¥6.90 ¥7.69 ¥8.35 74
ROIC Compounder ¥6.90 ¥7.69 ¥8.35 72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.67 ¥35.28 ¥49.26 63
Lynch FV ¥10.15 ¥14.50 ¥18.85 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥10.15 ¥14.50 ¥18.85 57
EPV ¥6.90 ¥7.69 ¥8.35 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.22 ¥4.01 ¥5.51 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.22 ¥3.66 ¥4.28 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥13.13 ¥17.50 ¥21.88 63
P/S Multiple ¥10.63 ¥14.17 ¥17.71 58
P/B Multiple ¥10.63 ¥14.17 ¥17.71 55
EV/EBIT ¥11.97 ¥15.60 ¥19.24 66
EV/EBITDA ¥11.98 ¥15.62 ¥19.26 67
EV/Revenue ¥8.85 ¥12.18 ¥15.52 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.08 ¥6.81 ¥10.16 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.01 ¥8.42 ¥8.92 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.90 ¥7.69 ¥8.35 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥14.52 ¥20.75 ¥26.97 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 21
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 67
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+12.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 11%
2025 sits 82% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

001288 screens 88% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 826 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −47% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.61× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 41.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.13× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.24× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 37.3× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)35 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)70 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)13 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.28 $194.25 −80%
SIE SIE €273.85 €150.21 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $442.49 $172.75 −61%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $964.85 $418.76 −57%
Cummins Inc CMI $526.13 $359.38 −32%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $270.47 $151.39 −44%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $154.19 $62.15 −60%
AMETEK, Inc AME $245.41 $125.80 −49%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $427.19 $138.24 −68%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 383.50 kr 193.39 −50%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/001288

Frequently asked questions

Is Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥16.87 versus a price of ¥31.79, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 001288?
Our model-based fair value for Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd is ¥16.87 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥31.79.
What is the quality score of 001288?
Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥16.87 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥13.13, optimistic scenario ¥20.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥16.87, about −47% upside versus a price of ¥31.79 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥13.13, optimistic scenario ¥20.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288)?
Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.63% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd it is ¥16.87 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥31.79. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 001288 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥31.79, fair value ¥16.87, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 001288?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥31.79); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥16.87). For Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd the two are ¥14.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd at about 7.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥31.79; our models calculate a fair value of ¥16.87 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 001288?
Our models span a range for Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥13.13, base ¥16.87, optimistic ¥20.50 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥31.79). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 001288?
Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 41.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥16.87 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.1, P/S 4.2, EV/EBITDA 37.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.8%, debt of 0.61 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 001288 from its 52-week high?
Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd trades at ¥31.79, about 22% below its 52-week high of ¥40.54 and 52% above the low of ¥20.88 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥16.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥31.79, calculated fair value ¥16.87 (−47%), Quality Score 41/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 001288 calculated?
We run Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥16.87, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥31.79. Our model-based fair value is ¥16.87, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥20.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288)?
The market capitalisation of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd is 7.5B CNY (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd is 4.52 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288)?
Earnings per share at Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd are ¥0.7700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 41.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288)?
The dividend yield of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd is 0.6% (payout 26.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288)?
The net margin of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd is 11.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd is 8.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd is 3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288)?
The operating margin of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288)?
Revenue at Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd is growing −6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288)?
Earnings per share at Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd are growing −13.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288) generate?
The free cash flow of Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd is −634M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd (001288) hold?
Sichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 547M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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