Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics Co (002049) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 72.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥27.76 to ¥24.21 (−12.8%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −18.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 64% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥30.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥44.73 – ¥169.31 · fair‑value band ¥18.40 – ¥30.01 · the ¥66.50 price screens above the ¥24.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics Co (002049) currently trades at ¥66.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥24.21, implying the stock looks roughly 63.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics Co generated revenue of 6.6B CNY at a net margin of 25.0%. Revenue grew 46.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 840M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥18.40 (bear case) to ¥30.01 (bull case); at ¥66.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -64%, 002049 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥36.99) versus Asset-Based (¥9.77). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics Co., Ltd. designs and develops integrated circuit (IC) chips in China and internationally. It operates through Crystal Business, Smart Security Chip Business, and Specialty Integrated Circuit Business segments.
Full company description
Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics Co., Ltd. designs and develops integrated circuit (IC) chips in China and internationally. It operates through Crystal Business, Smart Security Chip Business, and Specialty Integrated Circuit Business segments. The company offers smart card IC products comprising contact and dual-interface chips; special integrated circuits; memory chips; FPGAs; power transistors; semiconductor power devices, such as super junction power MOSFETs, multi EPI super junction power MOSFETs, trench power MOSFETs, double trench power MOSFETs, PLANA VDMOS, IGBTs, IGTOs, and high-voltage half-bridge driver ICs; and quartz oscillator products, including quartz crystal resonators and sapphire materials on LED substrates. It also provides AI+ visual perception, processors, programmable devices networks and interfaces, and analog devices; smart card security chips comprising SIM and financial IC card chips, and electronic certificate chips; smart terminal security chips consisting of eSIM and anti-counterfeiting chips, POS machine security and contactless reader/writer chips, and USBKey chips; automotive electronic chips, such as automotive-grade security chips and automotive-grade domain control chips; and clock crystal oscillators, voltage-controlled crystal oscillators, temperature-compensated crystal oscillators, and oven-controlled crystal oscillators. The company's products are used in communication, financial payment, smart government, public utilities, Internet of Things, aerospace, intelligent vehicles, electronics, power and energy, and artificial intelligence applications. In addition, it is involved in housing rental; property management; investment; testing; and technical consultation activities. The company was formerly known as Unigroup Guoxin Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics Co., Ltd. in June 2018. Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics Co., Ltd. was founded in 1991 and is based in Tangshan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics Co reported revenue of ¥5.5B in FY2024 versus ¥3.3B in FY2020, a compound +13.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.2B in FY2024, compounding +10.0%/yr from FY2020.
002049 screens 64% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 319 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $211.80 | $96.91 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $398.37 | $207.49 | -48% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €367.75 | €121.25 | -67% |
| Micron Technology, Inc ZMIC | C$52.57 | C$7.50 | -86% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 2,082,000 KRW | 1,109,311 KRW | -47% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €425.20 | €56.33 | -87% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$68.40 | C$9.82 | -86% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $311.46 | $59.75 | -81% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 3,740 TWD | 1,163 TWD | -69% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,212,000 KRW | 868,000 KRW | -28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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