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Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co (002084) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 2.1B CNY

GS Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co 002084 · SHE
Price¥3.57
Fair Value¥0.4600
Upside-87.1%
Quality49/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -5.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥0.2400 – ¥0.7500 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥1.43 to ¥0.4600 (−67.8%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −6.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 87% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.7500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (¥0.2400 to ¥0.7500). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥6.66 ¥2.10 Fair Value ¥0.4600 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.10 – ¥6.66 · fair‑value band ¥0.2400 – ¥0.7500 · the ¥3.57 price screens above the ¥0.4600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co (002084) currently trades at ¥3.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.4600, implying the stock looks roughly 87.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co generated revenue of 2.5B CNY at a net margin of -5.3%. Revenue declined 14.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.2%. Net debt stands at 325M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.2400 (bear case) to ¥0.7500 (bull case); at ¥3.57, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -87%, 002084 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.8100 ¥1.13 ¥1.57 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.7000 ¥1.07 ¥1.48 74
Gordon GGM ¥0.7200 ¥1.43 ¥2.16 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.7900 ¥1.15 ¥1.66 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.7000 ¥1.06 ¥1.51 39
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.7100 ¥1.04 ¥1.45 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.7200 ¥1.43 ¥2.16 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.7200 ¥1.10 ¥1.49 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue ¥0.6900 ¥0.9800 ¥1.27 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.14 ¥1.53 ¥2.29 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.8100 ¥1.13 ¥1.57 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.7000 ¥1.07 ¥1.48 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥1.53) versus Multiples (¥0.9800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.9%
Net margin -5.3%
Return on equity -9.2%
Free cash flow 47.9M CNY FY2024
Operating margin -1.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.2100
EPS growth (YoY) -86.3%
Net debt 325M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co., Ltd. designs, develops, produces, and sells kitchen and bathroom products, and customized prefabricated spaces for residential and commercial applications in the People's Republic of China and internationally.

Full company description

Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co., Ltd. designs, develops, produces, and sells kitchen and bathroom products, and customized prefabricated spaces for residential and commercial applications in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It offers faucet and cabinet components, sanitary ware, ceramics, bathtubs, shower rooms, bathroom cabinets, integrated cabinets, tiles, and other parts and components, as well as smart homes, ceramic toilet and sink, smart toilet, and sintered stone. Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co., Ltd. was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co reported revenue of ¥2.9B in FY2024 versus ¥3.3B in FY2020, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was −¥124M in FY2024.

Growth Quality 20/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
2.9B CNY
Latest YoY
−1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.8%
Revenue −3.9%/yr
FY20 ¥3.3B
FY21 ¥4.1B
FY22 ¥3.3B
FY23 ¥2.9B
FY24 ¥2.9B
Net income
FY20 ¥152M
FY21 ¥85.6M
FY22 ¥47.4M
FY23 −¥233M
FY24 −¥124M

002084 screens 87% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002084

Peer Group

Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 311 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −87% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -15% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.34× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 6.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 19.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 9.37× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 83 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Midea Group 000333 ¥82.71 ¥107.22 +30%
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 ¥38.25 ¥88.02 +130%
Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥21.46 ¥36.04 +68%
King Slide Works Co 2059 8,655 TWD 1,917 TWD -78%
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 ¥155.59 ¥38.95 -75%
SharkNinja, Inc SN $154.53 $89.07 -42%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥26.33 ¥48.03 +82%
Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 ¥43.85 ¥44.84 +2%
COWAY Co 021240 96,700 KRW 112,530 KRW +16%
Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 ¥50.13 ¥54.11 +8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co (002084) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.4600 versus a price of ¥3.57, about −87% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002084?
Our model-based fair value for Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co is ¥0.4600 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.57.
What is the quality score of 002084?
Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co (002084)?
Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002084?
The net profit margin of Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co is about -5.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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