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Tech-Bank Food Co (002124) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 5.2B CNY

TB Tech-Bank Food Co 002124 · SHE
Price¥2.22
Fair Value¥5.15
Upside+132.0%
Quality35/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -26.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.50 – ¥6.81 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −5.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 132% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥3.50). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥3.50 to ¥6.81) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥13.21 ¥1.96 Fair Value ¥5.15 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.96 – ¥13.21 · fair‑value band ¥3.50 – ¥6.81 · the ¥2.22 price screens below the ¥5.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Tech-Bank Food Co (002124) currently trades at ¥2.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.15, implying the stock looks roughly 132.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Tech-Bank Food Co generated revenue of 8.1B CNY at a net margin of -26.4%. Revenue declined 23.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -76.5%. Net debt stands at 3.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.50 (bear case) to ¥6.81 (bull case); at ¥2.22, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 132%, 002124 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.22 ¥5.61 ¥9.50 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.65 ¥4.59 ¥7.11 74
EV/EBITDA ¥4.89 ¥6.54 ¥8.20 54
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.26 ¥5.93 ¥10.45 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.65 ¥4.63 ¥7.30 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.09 ¥7.63 ¥12.11 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.75 ¥4.68 ¥7.63 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.77 ¥6.84 ¥11.61 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥4.89 ¥6.54 ¥8.20 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.37 ¥3.43 ¥4.49 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.5300 ¥0.7100 ¥1.06 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.22 ¥5.61 ¥9.50 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.65 ¥4.59 ¥7.11 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥5.93) versus Asset-Based (¥0.7100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 8.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -23.5%
Net margin -26.4%
Return on equity -76.5%
Free cash flow 601M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -8.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.9700
EPS growth (YoY) -5.1%
Net debt 3.3B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 41
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tech-Bank Food Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a food company in China and internationally. The company engages in the pig breeding and pork product processing. Its main products are commercial pigs and fresh pork products; pork processed products; and other food-related products.

Full company description

Tech-Bank Food Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a food company in China and internationally. The company engages in the pig breeding and pork product processing. Its main products are commercial pigs and fresh pork products; pork processed products; and other food-related products. The company was formerly known as Ningbo Tech-Bank Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Tech-bank Food Co., Ltd. in May 2017. Tech-Bank Food Co., Ltd. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tech-Bank Food Co reported revenue of ¥8.7B in FY2025 versus ¥10.5B in FY2021, a compound −4.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥1.3B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
8.7B CNY
Latest YoY
−9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+18.6%
Revenue −4.6%/yr
FY21 ¥10.5B
FY22 ¥9.6B
FY23 ¥10.2B
FY24 ¥9.6B
FY25 ¥8.7B
Net income
FY21 −¥4.5B
FY22 ¥489M
FY23 −¥2.9B
FY24 ¥1.5B
FY25 −¥1.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tech-Bank Food Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002124

Peer Group

Farm Products · 291 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +132% · Top 25%
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -26% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -24% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.33× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.64× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 26
FUTURE 0 · sector 21
PAST 0 · sector 17
HEALTH 91 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tech-Bank Food Co (002124) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.15 versus a price of ¥2.22, about +132% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 002124?
Our model-based fair value for Tech-Bank Food Co is ¥5.15 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥2.22.
What is the quality score of 002124?
Tech-Bank Food Co has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tech-Bank Food Co (002124)?
Tech-Bank Food Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002124?
The net profit margin of Tech-Bank Food Co is about -26.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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