PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk (TAPG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 30.6T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from 3,105 IDR to 1,547 IDR (−50.2%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +20.1% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 85/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- A fairly wide model range (1,160 IDR to 2,928 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 145.37 IDR – 2,009 IDR · fair‑value band 1,160 IDR – 2,928 IDR · the 1,850 IDR price screens above the 1,547 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk (TAPG) currently trades at 1,850 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,547 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 16.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 85/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk generated revenue of 11.3T IDR at a net margin of 32.3%. Revenue declined 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 30.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 552B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,160 IDR (bear case) to 2,928 IDR (bull case); at 1,850 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 124% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 39% fair-value upside, at -16%, TAPG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (4,576 IDR) versus Asset-Based (378.29 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 81 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk engages in the oil palm plantations and palm oil processing businesses in Indonesia. It produces crude palm oil, palm kernel, slab, and ribbed smoked sheet products. The company is also involved in the rubber plantation; other management consulting; wholesale trading; construction; and mining activities.
Full company description
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk engages in the oil palm plantations and palm oil processing businesses in Indonesia. It produces crude palm oil, palm kernel, slab, and ribbed smoked sheet products. The company is also involved in the rubber plantation; other management consulting; wholesale trading; construction; and mining activities. As of December 31, 2021, it operated approximately 85,086 hectares of total planted area of palm oil plantations. The company was formerly known as PT. Alam Permata Indah and changed its name to PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk in March 2005. PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk reported revenue of 11.4T IDR in FY2025 versus 6.3T IDR in FY2021, a compound +16.1%/yr. Reported net income was 3.7T IDR in FY2025, compounding +33.7%/yr from FY2021.
TAPG screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 291 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.90 | ¥48.19 | +18% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | -17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,120 IDR | 7,076 IDR | +127% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
| PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS | 700.00 IDR | 448.40 IDR | -36% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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