FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of FAP Agri Tbk PT stock IDR 6,420, price IDR 7,100, that is 9.6% below the price, quality 66 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2,514 IDR – 7,550 IDR · fair‑value band 2,584 IDR – 8,025 IDR · the 7,100 IDR price screens above the 6,420 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
Follow FAP Agri Tbk PT in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether FAP Agri Tbk PT is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
PT FAP Agri Tbk operates as an oil palm plantation and processing company in Indonesia. It engages in the wholesale of fruit oils, oils, and vegetable fats; agricultural, industrial, and trading activities; and other management consulting activities.
Show moreShow less
The company was founded in 1994 and is based in Jakarta Utara, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA) currently trades at 7,100 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6,420 IDR, 10% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 9,860 IDR per share, and 9 of the 23 models we run sit above the 7,100 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 712.30 IDR, and 14 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 2,584 IDR (bear) to 8,025 IDR (bull), the price of 7,100 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
FAP Agri Tbk PT reported revenue of 7.6T IDR in FY2025 versus 3.4T IDR in FY2021, a compound +22.3%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1T IDR in FY2025, compounding +29.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 25.5T IDR (≈ $1.4B) Small · P/E ratio 19.6 · P/S ratio 3.02 · EPS (TTM) 362.97 IDR · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 15.5% · Return on equity 36.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.9% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 80 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at −10%, FAPA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear2,584 IDRFair Value 6,420 IDRBull8,025 IDR
Price 7,100 IDR · Downside -9.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (250.43 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+32.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.4%
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+24.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+23.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 23%
2025 sits 102% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+43.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +40.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 291 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−9.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)36.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets10.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)15.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)31.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)29.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.78× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 6,420 IDR versus a price of 7,100 IDR, about 10% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FAPA?
Our model-based fair value for FAP Agri Tbk PT is 6,420 IDR (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 7,100 IDR.
What is the quality score of FAPA?
FAP Agri Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 6,420 IDR (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2,584 IDR, optimistic scenario 8,025 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the FAP Agri Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 6,420 IDR, about 10% lower versus a price of 7,100 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2,584 IDR, optimistic scenario 8,025 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA)?
FAP Agri Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.4T IDR (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does FAP Agri Tbk PT pay a dividend?
FAP Agri Tbk PT currently shows a dividend yield of 0.99% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
How much is the dividend of FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA) and when is the ex-dividend date?
FAP Agri Tbk PT pays a dividend of 70.00 IDR per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.0%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 7, 2026. The payout ratio is 19.3% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.76 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, FAP Agri Tbk PT would have to grow free cash flow by +43.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +23.7 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FAPA use?
Our models discount FAP Agri Tbk PT at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For FAP Agri Tbk PT that is +43.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at FAP Agri Tbk PT grew +23.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +43.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into FAP Agri Tbk PT (+43.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.69 %: that much free cash flow FAP Agri Tbk PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For FAP Agri Tbk PT it is 6,420 IDR per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 7,100 IDR. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is FAP Agri Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, FAPA trades above its calculated fair value: price 7,100 IDR, fair value 6,420 IDR, a gap of about −10% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FAPA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (7,100 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (6,420 IDR). For FAP Agri Tbk PT the two are 680.10 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is FAP Agri Tbk PT worth?
The market values FAP Agri Tbk PT at about 25.5T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 7,100 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 6,420 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FAPA?
Our models span a range for FAP Agri Tbk PT: cautious scenario 2,584 IDR, base 6,420 IDR, optimistic 8,025 IDR per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 7,100 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FAPA?
FAP Agri Tbk PT trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.6 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 6,420 IDR is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 5 fiscal years (2021 to 2025), reported earnings: 30.3. Other multiples: P/B 6.9, P/S 3.0, EV/EBITDA 9.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA)?
Balance-sheet figures for FAP Agri Tbk PT (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 36.4%, debt of 0.78 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FAPA from its 52-week high?
FAP Agri Tbk PT trades at 7,100 IDR, about 6% below its 52-week high of 7,550 IDR and 23% above the low of 5,794 IDR (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 6,420 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to FAP Agri Tbk PT?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Muyuan Foods Group, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Tyson Foods, Inc, Bunge Global SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is FAP Agri Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 7,100 IDR, calculated fair value 6,420 IDR (−10%), Quality Score 66/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FAPA calculated?
We run FAP Agri Tbk PT through 23 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 6,420 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. FAP Agri Tbk PT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 7,100 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 6,420 IDR, about 10% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with FAP Agri Tbk PT right now?
The model range is unusually wide (2,584 IDR to 8,025 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of FAP Agri Tbk PT
How large is the market capitalisation of FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA)?
The market capitalisation of FAP Agri Tbk PT is 25.5T IDR (≈ $1.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of FAP Agri Tbk PT is 3.02 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA)?
Earnings per share at FAP Agri Tbk PT are 362.97 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA)?
The dividend yield of FAP Agri Tbk PT is 1.0% (payout 19.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA)?
The net margin of FAP Agri Tbk PT is 15.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of FAP Agri Tbk PT is 36.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of FAP Agri Tbk PT is 10.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA)?
The operating margin of FAP Agri Tbk PT is 31.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA)?
Revenue at FAP Agri Tbk PT is growing +29.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA)?
Earnings per share at FAP Agri Tbk PT are growing +109% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does FAP Agri Tbk PT (FAPA) carry?
The net debt of FAP Agri Tbk PT is 3.6T IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch FAP Agri Tbk PT in the live analysis
One click puts FAP Agri Tbk PT on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Nov 4, 2026