PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk IDR 664, price IDR 3,320, upside -80.0%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
50‑month range 147.35 IDR – 8,148 IDR · fair‑value band 346.40 IDR – 1,161 IDR · the 3,320 IDR price screens above the 664.05 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk engages in the oil palm plantation business in Indonesia. It operates through Biodiesel and Fresh Fruit Bunches. The company owns an area of 27,936.72 hectares of oil palm plantations located in Tanah Bumbu Regency and Kotabaru Regency in South Kalimantan province.
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PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk engages in the oil palm plantation business in Indonesia. It operates through Biodiesel and Fresh Fruit Bunches. The company owns an area of 27,936.72 hectares of oil palm plantations located in Tanah Bumbu Regency and Kotabaru Regency in South Kalimantan province. It also involved in the plasma plantations; and production of biodiesel. PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk was founded in 2014 and is based in Tanah Bumbu, Indonesia. PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Eshan Agro Sentosa.
Stock analysis
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR) currently trades at 3,320 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 664.05 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 400.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 1,332 IDR per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the 3,320 IDR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 85.45 IDR, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 346.40 IDR (bear) to 1,161 IDR (bull), the price of 3,320 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk reported revenue of 4.3T IDR in FY2025 versus 620B IDR in FY2021, a compound +62.1%/yr. Reported net income was 268B IDR in FY2025, compounding +102.8%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 30.6T IDR (≈ $3.1B) · P/E ratio 114.9 · P/S ratio 7.21 · EPS (TTM) 28.89 IDR · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 6.3% · Return on equity 14.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 178% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −80%, JARR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (85.45 IDR to 1,379 IDR). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 346.40 IDRFair Value 664.05 IDRBull 1,161 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (16.38 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.82/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +71.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+71.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−74% → 11%
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 248% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+51.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +47.3% a year for the price.
Compare PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 297 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Above median
Fair Value upside−80% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−17% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.87× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)114.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B15.99× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)7.66× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA53.0× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)56· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)57· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)4· sector 47
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JARR
Frequently asked questions
Is PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 664.05 IDR versus a price of 3,320 IDR, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JARR?
Our model-based fair value for PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk is 664.05 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3,320 IDR.
What is the quality score of JARR?
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 664.05 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 346.40 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,161 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 664.05 IDR, about −80% upside versus a price of 3,320 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 346.40 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,161 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR)?
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.0T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk pay a dividend?
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.20% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +51.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +189.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JARR use?
Our models discount PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.97, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk that is +51.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk grew +189.5 % a year. The price currently implies +51.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (+51.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.91 %: that much free cash flow PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk it is 664.05 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 3,320 IDR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, JARR trades above its calculated fair value: price 3,320 IDR, fair value 664.05 IDR, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JARR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3,320 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (664.05 IDR). For PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk the two are 2,656 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk worth?
The market values PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk at about 30.6T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 3,320 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 664.05 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JARR?
Our models span a range for PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk: cautious scenario 346.40 IDR, base 664.05 IDR, optimistic 1,161 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 3,320 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JARR?
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 114.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 664.05 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 16.0, P/S 7.7, EV/EBITDA 53.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 14.0%, debt of 0.87 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JARR from its 52-week high?
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk trades at 3,320 IDR, about 59% below its 52-week high of 8,148 IDR and 178% above the low of 1,196 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 664.05 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 3,320 IDR, calculated fair value 664.05 IDR (−80%), Quality Score 62/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JARR calculated?
We run PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 664.05 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 3,320 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 664.05 IDR, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,161 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (346.40 IDR to 1,161 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR)?
The market capitalisation of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk is 30.6T IDR (≈ $3.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk is 7.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR)?
Earnings per share at PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk are 28.89 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 114.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR)?
The dividend yield of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk is 0.2% (payout 22.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR)?
The net margin of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk is 6.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk is 14.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk is 6.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR)?
The operating margin of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk is 15.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR)?
Revenue at PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk is growing −17.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR)?
Earnings per share at PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk are growing +16.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk (JARR) carry?
The net debt of PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk is 1.4T IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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