Hunan Gold Corporation (002155) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 40.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price +11.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 47% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥10.32 to ¥28.70). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.35 – ¥40.93 · fair‑value band ¥10.32 – ¥28.70 · the ¥25.78 price screens above the ¥13.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Hunan Gold Corporation (002155) currently trades at ¥25.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.76, implying the stock looks roughly 46.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hunan Gold Corporation generated revenue of 55.9B CNY at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue grew 43.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥10.32 (bear case) to ¥28.70 (bull case); at ¥25.78, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -47%, 002155 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥25.98) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.85). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hunan Gold Corporation Limited engages in the exploration, mining, and beneficiation of gold, antimony, and tungsten in China.
Full company description
Hunan Gold Corporation Limited engages in the exploration, mining, and beneficiation of gold, antimony, and tungsten in China. The company offers gold ingots, refined antimony, antimony oxide, antimony glycol, and flame-retardant masterbatch for plastics; gold concentrate, antimony concentrate, and tungsten concentrate; and management and technical consulting services. It is also involved in smelting and processing of gold, antimony, and other non-ferrous metals; engineering surveying, topographic control, and mine surveying; import and export of commodities and technologies; and investment in mining enterprises, high-tech projects, and enterprises. The company was formerly known as Chenzhou Mining Group Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Hunan Gold Corporation Limited in May 2015. Hunan Gold Corporation Limited was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Changsha, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hunan Gold Corporation reported revenue of ¥50.2B in FY2025 versus ¥19.8B in FY2021, a compound +26.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.5B in FY2025, compounding +42.3%/yr from FY2021.
002155 screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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