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Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · CN · ISIN CNE100000C56

YT Some data Sep 13, 2026

Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd

002254 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥5.08 · Strongly overvalued (−58%)
!Quality 31/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.16% dividend yield
!Trails peers (0/13)
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 1 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 3 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥26.24 ¥7.74 Fair Value ¥5.08 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.74 – ¥26.24 · fair‑value band ¥2.64 – ¥6.52 · the ¥12.15 price screens above the ¥5.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Tayho Advanced Materials Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of high-tech fibers in China. It provides Newstar Spandex, a polyurethane elastic fiber that is used in underwear, socks, tights, sportswear, swimwear, laces, and suits, as well as in medical and hygiene textiles, automotive interiors, etc.

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Tayho Advanced Materials Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of high-tech fibers in China. It provides Newstar Spandex, a polyurethane elastic fiber that is used in underwear, socks, tights, sportswear, swimwear, laces, and suits, as well as in medical and hygiene textiles, automotive interiors, etc. The company also provides Newstar Meta Aramid, which is used in personal protection, environmental protection, meta-aramid paper, industrial felt, and other areas. In addition, it offers Taparan Para-aramid fibers for use in various applications, including rubber tube structures, strengthening fabrics, tire cords, packing, sealing, optical cable reinforcement, etc.; Tametar anti-static and flame-resistant fibers for use in 3T fabric, industrial filtration, and anti-static fabric applications; Metastar Aramid papers; and LITME smart fibers. The company was formerly known as Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Tayho Advanced Materials Group Co., Ltd. in February 2022. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Yantai, China.

Stock analysis

Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254) currently trades at ¥12.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.08, implying the stock looks roughly 139.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥10.60 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥12.15 price.

Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at ¥0.8900, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥2.64 (bear) to ¥6.52 (bull), the price of ¥12.15 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd reported revenue of 3.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.9%/yr. Reported net income was 41.5M CNY in FY2025, compounding −54.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 14.5B CNY (≈ $2.2B) · P/E ratio 202.5 · P/S ratio 2.34 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0600 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 1.2% · Return on equity 0.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −58%, 002254 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.2400 to ¥12.03). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥2.64 Fair Value ¥5.08 Bull ¥6.52
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0282 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ¥7.28 ¥10.60 ¥15.48 74
EPV ¥1.28 ¥1.41 ¥1.53 74
Residual Income ¥5.59 ¥5.22 ¥3.66 74
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥7.28 ¥10.60 ¥15.48 74
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.3300 ¥0.8800 ¥1.15 63
Lynch FV ¥0.1700 ¥0.2400 ¥0.3200 59
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.1700 ¥0.2400 ¥0.3200 55
EPV ¥1.28 ¥1.41 ¥1.53 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.48 ¥3.07 ¥4.88 64
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.48 ¥2.29 ¥3.16 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.8000 ¥1.06 ¥1.33 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.6200 ¥0.8200 ¥1.03 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.6200 ¥0.8200 ¥1.03 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.88 ¥2.34 ¥2.80 66
EV/EBITDA ¥9.14 ¥12.03 ¥14.91 67
EV/Revenue ¥1.43 ¥1.83 ¥2.23 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.12 ¥5.52 ¥8.24 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.59 ¥5.22 ¥3.66 74
ROIC Compounder ¥1.28 ¥1.41 ¥1.53 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.6200 ¥0.8900 ¥1.16 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.5%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Revenue growth 20 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−34.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−34.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−35% vs −11%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 2%

002254 screens 139% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 350 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.22× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 202.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.05× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.03× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 20.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 1
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)1 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)89 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)3 · sector 31

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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BASF SE BAS €51.83 €23.76 −54%
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 49.80 SAR 24.66 SAR −50%
A. Schulman, Inc SLMNP $847.00 $203.64 −76%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥23.97 ¥36.45 +52%
Dow Inc DOW $29.03 $21.03 −28%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥35.26 ¥19.58 −44%
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥13.60 ¥2.90 −79%
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥72.65 ¥79.92 +10%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,700 IDR 1,563 IDR −8%
Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 ¥46.67 ¥16.17 −65%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002254

Frequently asked questions

Is Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.08 versus a price of ¥12.15, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002254?
Our model-based fair value for Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd is ¥5.08 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥12.15.
What is the quality score of 002254?
Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥5.08 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.64, optimistic scenario ¥6.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥5.08, about −58% upside versus a price of ¥12.15 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.64, optimistic scenario ¥6.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254)?
Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.16% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd it is ¥5.08 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥12.15. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 002254 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥12.15, fair value ¥5.08, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002254?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥12.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.08). For Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd the two are ¥7.07 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd worth?
The market values Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd at about 14.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥12.15; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002254?
Our models span a range for Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.64, base ¥5.08, optimistic ¥6.52 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥12.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002254?
Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 202.5 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥5.08 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 4.0, EV/EBITDA 20.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 0.2%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002254 from its 52-week high?
Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd trades at ¥12.15, about 36% below its 52-week high of ¥18.92 and 32% above the low of ¥9.19 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.08 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, A. Schulman, Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥12.15, calculated fair value ¥5.08 (−58%), Quality Score 31/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002254 calculated?
We run Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥5.08, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (¥2.64 to ¥6.52) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254) come from?
Earnings per share at Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd grew +7.5 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.8 %, EBIT margin +0.9 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254)?
The market capitalisation of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd is 14.5B CNY (≈ $2.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd is 2.34 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254)?
Earnings per share at Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd are ¥0.0600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 202.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254)?
The dividend yield of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd is 0.2% (payout 33.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254)?
The net margin of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd is 1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254)?
The operating margin of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd is 4.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254)?
Revenue at Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd is growing −0.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254)?
Earnings per share at Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd are growing +100% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254) generate?
The free cash flow of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd is −71.9M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd (002254) carry?
The net debt of Yantai Tayho Advanced Materials Co Ltd is 1.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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