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Shanghai SK Petroleum & Chemical Equipment Corporation (002278) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.3B CNY

SS Shanghai SK Petroleum & Chemical Equipment Corporation 002278 · SHE
Price¥7.88
Fair Value¥2.45
Upside-68.9%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.69% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/14)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.83 – ¥3.06 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥2.86 to ¥2.45 (−14.3%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +5.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 69% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥15.77 ¥3.27 Fair Value ¥2.45 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.27 – ¥15.77 · fair‑value band ¥1.83 – ¥3.06 · the ¥7.88 price screens above the ¥2.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai SK Petroleum & Chemical Equipment Corporation (002278) currently trades at ¥7.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.45, implying the stock looks roughly 68.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai SK Petroleum & Chemical Equipment Corporation generated revenue of 810M CNY at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue declined 31.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 180M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.83 (bear case) to ¥3.06 (bull case); at ¥7.88, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -69%, 002278 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥4.53 ¥5.94 ¥7.84 80
Residual Income ¥2.68 ¥2.65 ¥2.34 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.53 ¥4.64 ¥5.90 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.47 ¥6.04 ¥8.30 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.92 ¥5.24 ¥7.12 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.53 ¥4.60 ¥5.93 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.40 ¥4.37 ¥5.45 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.25 ¥4.08 ¥4.92 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.80 ¥4.84 ¥6.14 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.78 ¥4.68 ¥5.79 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.68 ¥4.48 ¥5.40 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.9800 ¥2.77 ¥3.65 54
Lynch FV ¥0.5700 ¥0.8100 ¥1.05 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.5700 ¥0.8100 ¥1.05 46
EPV ¥3.31 ¥3.64 ¥3.92 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.5600 ¥1.12 ¥1.70 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.5600 ¥0.8800 ¥1.18 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.51 ¥2.01 ¥2.52 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.83 ¥2.45 ¥3.06 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.83 ¥2.45 ¥3.06 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.13 ¥3.77 ¥4.42 53
EV/EBITDA ¥3.00 ¥3.59 ¥4.19 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.09 ¥3.90 ¥4.71 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.82 ¥2.44 ¥3.64 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.53 ¥5.94 ¥7.84 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.53 ¥4.64 ¥5.90 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.68 ¥2.65 ¥2.34 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.31 ¥3.64 ¥4.16 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.27 ¥1.81 ¥2.35 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥4.64) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.8100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 810M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -31.2%
Net margin 4.4%
Return on equity 4.1%
Free cash flow 120M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 85.0
More key figures
Operating margin 1.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1000
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -75.8%
Net cash 180M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 25
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai SK Petroleum & Chemical Equipment Corporation Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, and manufacture of petroleum and chemical equipment in China. The company offers mud logging units, chromatographs, sensors, special and drilling instruments, LWD's, GMWD's, and FMWD's.

Full company description

Shanghai SK Petroleum & Chemical Equipment Corporation Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, and manufacture of petroleum and chemical equipment in China. The company offers mud logging units, chromatographs, sensors, special and drilling instruments, LWD's, GMWD's, and FMWD's. It also provides well logging tools, oil instruments, well control equipment, wellhead equipment, and rubber seals. In addition, the company offers mud logging and well logging services, MWD services, and rental services. Further, it provides oilfield engineering technical services; manufactures precision analyzing instrumentation; and supplies petroleum analysis instrumentation. The company also exports its products to America, the Middle East, Europe, Central Asia, South Asia, and Africa. Shanghai SK Petroleum & Chemical Equipment Corporation Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai SK Petroleum & Chemical Equipment Corporation reported revenue of ¥873M in FY2025 versus ¥775M in FY2021, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥55.9M in FY2025, compounding +6.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
873M CNY
Latest YoY
+19.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+13.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+6.4%
Revenue +3.0%/yr
FY21 ¥775M
FY22 ¥604M
FY23 ¥744M
FY24 ¥733M
FY25 ¥873M
Net income +6.8%/yr
FY21 ¥43.0M
FY22 −¥27.9M
FY23 ¥24.6M
FY24 ¥30.2M
FY25 ¥55.9M

002278 screens 69% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai SK Petroleum & Chemical Equipment Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002278

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -31% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 85.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.33× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.08× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 4.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 21.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 16 · sector 28
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
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Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai SK Petroleum & Chemical Equipment Corporation (002278) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.45 versus a price of ¥7.88, about −69% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002278?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai SK Petroleum & Chemical Equipment Corporation is ¥2.45 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.88.
What is the quality score of 002278?
Shanghai SK Petroleum & Chemical Equipment Corporation has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai SK Petroleum & Chemical Equipment Corporation (002278)?
Shanghai SK Petroleum & Chemical Equipment Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 810M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002278?
The net profit margin of Shanghai SK Petroleum & Chemical Equipment Corporation is about 4.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shanghai SK Petroleum & Chemical Equipment Corporation pay a dividend?
Shanghai SK Petroleum & Chemical Equipment Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.69% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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