Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co (002377) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 2.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −2.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 87% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.4300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.46 – ¥4.24 · fair‑value band ¥0.2700 – ¥0.4300 · the ¥2.69 price screens above the ¥0.3400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co (002377) currently trades at ¥2.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.3400, implying the stock looks roughly 87.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co generated revenue of 2.6B CNY at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue grew 232.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. Net debt stands at 496M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.2700 (bear case) to ¥0.4300 (bull case); at ¥2.69, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -87%, 002377 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥0.3900) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.1800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co.,Ltd engages in the real estate service business and the research, development, production, and sale of modified asphalt in China.
Full company description
Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co.,Ltd engages in the real estate service business and the research, development, production, and sale of modified asphalt in China. The company offers SBS modified, high viscosity modified, rubber, colored, and flame retardant asphalt; and high modulus asphalt mixture additives, emulsified asphalt and modified emulsified asphalt, cement asphalt mortars, asphalt pavement regeneration reductants, asphalt pavement waterproof and oil repellent agents, bridge preventive maintenance coating materials, and epoxy asphalt steel bridge maintenance materials. It also provides road engineering maintenance equipment includes micro-treatment, containing fog seal, ultra-thin wear layer, synchronous gravel seal, recycled asphalt pavement, warm asphalt pavement, cold repair, and snow melting anti-icing equipment. Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co.,Ltd was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Wuhan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co reported revenue of ¥2.2B in FY2025 versus ¥3.8B in FY2021, a compound −12.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥19.8M in FY2025.
002377 screens 87% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →
Peer Group
Building Materials · 253 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRH plc CRH | $102.92 | $70.57 | -31% |
| UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO | ₹11,711 | ₹4,719 | -60% |
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥54.52 | ¥13.95 | -74% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,073 | ₹1,245 | -59% |
| CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO | 21.71 MXN | 15.42 MXN | -29% |
| Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 | ¥16.99 | ¥26.14 | +54% |
| Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM | ₹435.25 | ₹227.96 | -48% |
| Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM | ₹26,930 | ₹8,215 | -69% |
| TCC Group 1101B | 43.70 TWD | 10.48 TWD | -76% |
| Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 | 53.30 TWD | 13.98 TWD | -74% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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