Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd ¥0.31, price ¥2.95, upside -89.5%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.46 – ¥4.23 · fair‑value band ¥0.2700 – ¥0.4000 · the ¥2.95 price screens above the ¥0.3100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co.,Ltd engages in the real estate service business and the research, development, production, and sale of modified asphalt in China.
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Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co.,Ltd engages in the real estate service business and the research, development, production, and sale of modified asphalt in China. The company offers SBS modified, high viscosity modified, rubber, colored, and flame retardant asphalt; and high modulus asphalt mixture additives, emulsified asphalt and modified emulsified asphalt, cement asphalt mortars, asphalt pavement regeneration reductants, asphalt pavement waterproof and oil repellent agents, bridge preventive maintenance coating materials, and epoxy asphalt steel bridge maintenance materials. It also provides road engineering maintenance equipment includes micro-treatment, containing fog seal, ultra-thin wear layer, synchronous gravel seal, recycled asphalt pavement, warm asphalt pavement, cold repair, and snow melting anti-icing equipment. Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co.,Ltd was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Wuhan, China.
Stock analysis
Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377) currently trades at ¥2.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.3100, implying the stock looks roughly 851.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥0.5200 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥2.95 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.1800, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.2700 (bear) to ¥0.4000 (bull), the price of ¥2.95 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −12.7%/yr. Reported net income was 19.8M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.7B CNY (≈ $403M) · P/E ratio 147.5 · P/S ratio 1.32 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0200 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 0.9% · Return on equity 5.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −16.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −89%, 002377 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥0.2700Fair Value ¥0.3100Bull ¥0.4000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0147 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.20/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+201.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.3% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−41.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−42.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−42% vs −11%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−68% → 1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 14.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 258 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside−90% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Above median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth233% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)147.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B6.92× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.06× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA46.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 2
PAST (return on equity)21· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)94· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)11· sector 46
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002377
Frequently asked questions
Is Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.3100 versus a price of ¥2.95, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002377?
Our model-based fair value for Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd is ¥0.3100 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥2.95.
What is the quality score of 002377?
Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.3100 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.2700, optimistic scenario ¥0.4000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.3100, about −89% upside versus a price of ¥2.95 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.2700, optimistic scenario ¥0.4000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377)?
Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.54% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd it is ¥0.3100 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥2.95. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002377 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥2.95, fair value ¥0.3100, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002377?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥2.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.3100). For Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd the two are ¥2.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd worth?
The market values Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd at about 2.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥2.95; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.3100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002377?
Our models span a range for Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.2700, base ¥0.3100, optimistic ¥0.4000 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥2.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002377?
Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 147.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥0.3100 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.9, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 46.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.2%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002377 from its 52-week high?
Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd trades at ¥2.95, about 23% below its 52-week high of ¥3.83 and 21% above the low of ¥2.43 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.3100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Vulcan Materials Company, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥2.95, calculated fair value ¥0.3100 (−89%), Quality Score 53/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002377 calculated?
We run Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.3100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥2.95. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.3100, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.4000). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377)?
The market capitalisation of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd is 2.7B CNY (≈ $403M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd is 1.32 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377)?
Earnings per share at Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd are ¥0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 147.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377)?
The dividend yield of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd is 0.5% (payout 79.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377)?
The net margin of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd is 0.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd is −16.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377)?
The operating margin of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377)?
Revenue at Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd is growing +233% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377)?
Earnings per share at Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd are growing +74.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377) generate?
The free cash flow of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd is −39.5M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd (002377) carry?
The net debt of Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co Ltd is 496M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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