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Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group (002385) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 12.7B CNY

BD Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group 002385 · SHE
Price¥2.99
Fair Value¥4.28
Upside+43.1%
Quality42/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -3.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.00% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.78 – ¥4.80 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥2.44 to ¥4.28 (+75.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +2.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 43% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥3.78). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥10.61 ¥2.71 Fair Value ¥4.28 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.71 – ¥10.61 · fair‑value band ¥3.78 – ¥4.80 · the ¥2.99 price screens below the ¥4.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group (002385) currently trades at ¥2.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.28, implying the stock looks roughly 43.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group generated revenue of 29.4B CNY at a net margin of -3.2%. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.1%. Net debt stands at 6.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.78 (bear case) to ¥4.80 (bull case); at ¥2.99, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 43%, 002385 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.4300 ¥0.4600 ¥0.5100 80
ROIC Compounder ¥1.70 ¥2.03 ¥2.54 72
Gordon GGM ¥1.09 ¥2.27 ¥3.59 70
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.4300 ¥0.4600 ¥0.5100 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.29 ¥2.11 ¥3.21 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.79 ¥5.01 ¥7.69 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.9400 ¥1.62 ¥2.61 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.95 ¥3.66 ¥6.12 37
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥1.70 ¥1.92 ¥2.11 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.09 ¥2.27 ¥3.59 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.09 ¥1.91 ¥2.38 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥2.34 ¥3.00 ¥3.65 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.43 ¥5.77 ¥7.12 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.78 ¥2.38 ¥2.98 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.8900 ¥1.19 ¥1.78 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.4300 ¥0.4600 ¥0.5100 80
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥1.70 ¥2.03 ¥2.54 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥3.00) versus Growth DCF (¥0.4600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 29.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.7%
Net margin -3.2%
Return on equity -9.1%
Free cash flow 19.1M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -1.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.2200
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -87.9%
Net debt 6.9B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the production and sales of seed, feed, hogs, vaccines, and animal health products in China and internationally. It also engages in the feed technology, pig-raising, crop, animal health vaccine, agricultural internet, and dairy technology industry. Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group Co.,Ltd.

Full company description

Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the production and sales of seed, feed, hogs, vaccines, and animal health products in China and internationally. It also engages in the feed technology, pig-raising, crop, animal health vaccine, agricultural internet, and dairy technology industry. Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group reported revenue of ¥29.1B in FY2025 versus ¥31.3B in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was −¥642M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 41/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
29.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+16.4%
Revenue −1.8%/yr
FY21 ¥31.3B
FY22 ¥32.4B
FY23 ¥33.4B
FY24 ¥28.8B
FY25 ¥29.1B
Net income
FY21 −¥440M
FY22 ¥51.1M
FY23 −¥2.2B
FY24 ¥346M
FY25 −¥642M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002385

Peer Group

Farm Products · 291 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside +43% · Top 25%
Return on assets -0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.35× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.25× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 98.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.44× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 91 · sector 26
FUTURE 24 · sector 21
PAST 0 · sector 17
HEALTH 83 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 20 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group (002385) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.28 versus a price of ¥2.99, about +43% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 002385?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group is ¥4.28 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥2.99.
What is the quality score of 002385?
Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group (002385)?
Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 29.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002385?
The net profit margin of Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group is about -3.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group pay a dividend?
Beijing Dabeinong Technology Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.00% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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