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Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group (002430) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 26.7B CNY

HO Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group 002430 · SHE
Price¥23.99
Fair Value¥18.75
Upside-21.8%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 6.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.52% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥9.14 – ¥25.46 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −8.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 22% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (¥9.14 to ¥25.46). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥41.26 ¥16.15 Fair Value ¥18.75 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥16.15 – ¥41.26 · fair‑value band ¥9.14 – ¥25.46 · the ¥23.99 price screens above the ¥18.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group (002430) currently trades at ¥23.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥18.75, implying the stock looks roughly 21.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group generated revenue of 15.5B CNY at a net margin of 6.4%. Revenue grew 12.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.8%. Net debt stands at 3.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.14 (bear case) to ¥25.46 (bull case); at ¥23.99, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -22%, 002430 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.47 ¥7.81 ¥14.85 80
Residual Income ¥8.83 ¥9.74 ¥13.61 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.02 ¥18.73 ¥30.61 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.45 ¥7.98 ¥15.41 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.36 ¥4.45 ¥9.51 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥9.02 ¥19.05 ¥32.53 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥15.68 ¥32.21 ¥52.60 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥8.34 ¥17.70 ¥28.10 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥6.52 ¥15.34 ¥28.49 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥11.36 ¥24.75 ¥44.62 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥6.57 ¥14.38 ¥24.93 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥6.59 ¥26.12 ¥35.47 54
Lynch FV ¥6.46 ¥9.23 ¥12.00 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥6.46 ¥9.23 ¥12.00 46
EPV ¥10.37 ¥12.61 ¥14.57 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥5.38 ¥11.18 ¥17.74 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥5.38 ¥9.43 ¥11.74 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥15.28 ¥20.37 ¥25.46 63
P/S Multiple ¥12.37 ¥16.49 ¥20.61 58
P/B Multiple ¥12.37 ¥16.49 ¥20.61 55
EV/EBIT ¥18.36 ¥25.50 ¥32.65 53
EV/EBITDA ¥24.31 ¥33.45 ¥42.58 54
EV/Revenue ¥12.22 ¥18.78 ¥25.34 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.05 ¥6.77 ¥10.10 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.47 ¥7.81 ¥14.85 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.02 ¥18.73 ¥30.61 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.83 ¥9.74 ¥13.61 76
ROIC Compounder ¥10.48 ¥14.78 ¥20.93 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥11.44 ¥16.35 ¥21.25 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥18.78) versus Asset-Based (¥6.77). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 15.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.1%
Net margin 6.4%
Return on equity 9.8%
Free cash flow 525M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 27.3
More key figures
Operating margin 10.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.00
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.4%
Net debt 3.3B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells air separation equipment, cryogenic petrochemical equipment, and various gas products in China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Machinery Manufacturing, Gas Sales, and EPC.

Full company description

Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells air separation equipment, cryogenic petrochemical equipment, and various gas products in China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Machinery Manufacturing, Gas Sales, and EPC. The company offers oxygen, nitrogen, argon, neon, helium, krypton, xenon, and carbon dioxide, as well as medical, electronic bulk, electronic specialty, high-purity, standard, and mixed gases. It also provides supporting machine components, including turbo compressors, expanders, adsorbers, plate heat exchangers, and others; and engineering, procurement, and construction services. In addition, the company is involved in hydrogen energy; energy storage; CCUS; nuclear fusion energy; technical services; logistics and transportation; and retail business. It serves metallurgy, chemicals, machinery, semiconductors, aerospace, new energy, new materials, healthcare, food preservation, electronics, nuclear fusion devices, and scientific research industries. The company was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China. Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Hangzhou Hangyang Holdings Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group reported revenue of ¥15.1B in FY2025 versus ¥11.9B in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥949M in FY2025, compounding −5.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
15.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+11.0%
Revenue +6.2%/yr
FY21 ¥11.9B
FY22 ¥12.8B
FY23 ¥13.3B
FY24 ¥13.7B
FY25 ¥15.1B
Net income −5.6%/yr
FY21 ¥1.2B
FY22 ¥1.2B
FY23 ¥1.2B
FY24 ¥922M
FY25 ¥949M

002430 screens 22% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002430

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −22% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.53× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.70× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.72× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 7.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 4 · sector 0
FUTURE 61 · sector 23
PAST 39 · sector 28
HEALTH 73 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 30 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

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Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group (002430) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥18.75 versus a price of ¥23.99, about −22% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002430?
Our model-based fair value for Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group is ¥18.75 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥23.99.
What is the quality score of 002430?
Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group (002430)?
Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 15.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002430?
The net profit margin of Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group is about 6.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group pay a dividend?
Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.52% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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