Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co (002445) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 7.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥0.5800 to ¥0.5300 (−8.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +4.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 82% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.6700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.61 – ¥4.49 · fair‑value band ¥0.4000 – ¥0.6700 · the ¥2.95 price screens above the ¥0.5300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co (002445) currently trades at ¥2.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.5300, implying the stock looks roughly 82.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue declined 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. Net debt stands at 15.8M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.4000 (bear case) to ¥0.6700 (bull case); at ¥2.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -82%, 002445 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥0.6400) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0200). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co.,Ltd engages in the production and sale of metal pipe fittings, flanges, piping systems, and pressure vessels in China and internationally.
Full company description
Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co.,Ltd engages in the production and sale of metal pipe fittings, flanges, piping systems, and pressure vessels in China and internationally. The company is also involved in the investment, planning, production, distribution, marketing, and development of derivative product of TV series, films, and other projects; and develops, invests in, constructs, and operates rooftop distributed photovoltaic power stations. It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Jiangyin Jiangnan Pipe Industry Equipment Complete Set Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co.,Ltd. Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co.,Ltd was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Jiangyin, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co reported revenue of ¥1.2B in FY2025 versus ¥482M in FY2021, a compound +24.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥74.7M in FY2025, compounding −22.5%/yr from FY2021.
002445 screens 82% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
Compare Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co (002445) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 002445?
What is the quality score of 002445?
What is the revenue of Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co (002445)?
What is the net profit margin of 002445?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.