Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd stock ¥0.62, price ¥3.26, that is 81.0% below the price, quality 56 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.61 – ¥4.49 · fair‑value band ¥0.4300 – ¥0.7300 · the ¥3.26 price screens above the ¥0.6200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co.,Ltd engages in the production and sale of metal pipe fittings, flanges, piping systems, and pressure vessels in China and internationally.
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The company is also involved in the investment, planning, production, distribution, marketing, and development of derivative product of TV series, films, and other projects; and develops, invests in, constructs, and operates rooftop distributed photovoltaic power stations.
It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Jiangyin Jiangnan Pipe Industry Equipment Complete Set Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co.,Ltd. Jiangyin Zhongnan Heavy Industries Co.,Ltd was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Jiangyin, China.
Stock analysis
Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445) currently trades at ¥3.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.6200, 81% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥0.6500 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥3.26 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.3800, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.4300 (bear) to ¥0.7300 (bull), the price of ¥3.26 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 482M CNY in FY2021, a compound +24.8%/yr. Reported net income was 74.7M CNY in FY2025, compounding −22.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 7.7B CNY (≈ $1.2B) Small · P/E ratio 326.0 · P/S ratio 6.65 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0100 · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin 2.4% · Return on equity 1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −81%, 002445 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.0100 to ¥2.88). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥0.4300Fair Value ¥0.6200Bull¥0.7300
Price ¥3.26 · Downside -81.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0085 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.4% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−20.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−16.0% vs −11.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−286% → 6%
2025 sits 57% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 814 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside−81.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.7% · Below median
Return on assets2.5% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)2.4% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)2.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)4.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)326.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.43× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)6.65× · Priciest 25%
PEG9.34× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)23· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)7· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)1· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002445
Frequently asked questions
Is Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.6200 versus a price of ¥3.26, about 81% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002445?
Our model-based fair value for Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd is ¥0.6200 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.26.
What is the quality score of 002445?
Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.6200 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.4300, optimistic scenario ¥0.7300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.6200, about 81% lower versus a price of ¥3.26 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.4300, optimistic scenario ¥0.7300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445)?
Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.03% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445)?
Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 0.0%.
What is the intrinsic value of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd it is ¥0.6200 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥3.26. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 002445 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥3.26, fair value ¥0.6200, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002445?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.26); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.6200). For Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd the two are ¥2.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd at about 7.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.26; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.6200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002445?
Our models span a range for Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.4300, base ¥0.6200, optimistic ¥0.7300 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥3.26). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002445?
Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 326.0 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥0.6200 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2020 to 2025), reported earnings: 65.1. Other multiples: PEG 9.3, P/B 3.4, P/S 6.6.
What is the PEG ratio of 002445?
The PEG ratio of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd is 9.34 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 1.7%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002445 from its 52-week high?
Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd trades at ¥3.26, about 27% below its 52-week high of ¥4.49 and 30% above the low of ¥2.50 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.6200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥3.26, calculated fair value ¥0.6200 (−81%), Quality Score 56/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002445 calculated?
We run Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥0.6200 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥3.26. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.6200, about 81% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.7300). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445) come from?
Earnings per share at Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd grew −12.0 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −12.9 %, EBIT margin −8.3 %, tax rate +1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +8.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445)?
The market capitalisation of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd is 7.7B CNY (≈ $1.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd is 6.65 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445)?
Earnings per share at Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd are ¥0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 326.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445)?
The dividend yield of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd is 0.0% (payout 10.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445)?
The net margin of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd is 2.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd is 3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445)?
The operating margin of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd is 2.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445)?
Revenue at Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd is growing +4.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445)?
Earnings per share at Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd are growing −77.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd is −112M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd (002445) carry?
The net debt of Zhongnanhong Culture Group Co Ltd is 15.8M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 5, 2026