Shanxi Securities Co (002500) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CN · Market cap 18.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price +0.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 18% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.36 – ¥7.10 · fair‑value band ¥3.28 – ¥5.47 · the ¥5.34 price screens above the ¥4.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Shanxi Securities Co (002500) currently trades at ¥5.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.38, implying the stock looks roughly 18.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanxi Securities Co generated revenue of 3.3B CNY at a net margin of 28.3%. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 13.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.28 (bear case) to ¥5.47 (bull case); at ¥5.34, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -18%, 002500 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥4.38) versus Asset-Based (¥3.45). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanxi Securities Co., Ltd. operates as a securities company in China. The company operates through five segments: Wealth Management, Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Investment, and Institutional Business.
Full company description
Shanxi Securities Co., Ltd. operates as a securities company in China. The company operates through five segments: Wealth Management, Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Investment, and Institutional Business. The Wealth Management segment is involved in securities brokerage, investment advisory, sale of financial products developed by the company, and other financial institutions, financing. This segment also offers custody and operation outsourcing services for various private equity products, such as securities lending, equity pledge, repurchase agreements, asset allocation, and wealth planning. The Corporate Finance segment engages in the investment banking, NEEQ business, corporate services, private equity investment, and alternative investment. The Asset Management segment provides equity products and mutual funds, as well as fixed income. The Investment segment is involved in the fixed income, proprietary equity trading, and commodities, and currency trading. The Institutional Business segment engages in the research and sales trading, institutional client services, and other businesses. In addition, it is involved in margin trading, public fund management business, entrusted investment business, trade finance business, future business, derivatives business, and over-the-counter trading comprising income certificates and customer services; and provision of software and information technology services. Shanxi Securities Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Taiyuan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanxi Securities Co reported revenue of ¥3.3B in FY2025 versus ¥5.2B in FY2021, a compound −10.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥924M in FY2025, compounding +3.6%/yr from FY2021.
002500 screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →
Peer Group
Capital Markets · 425 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huatai Securities Co HTSC | $0.2700 | $0.0400 | -85% |
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,750 KRW | 31,645 KRW | -18% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 117,000 KRW | 87,706 KRW | -25% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 239,000 KRW | 318,825 KRW | +33% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 31,000 KRW | 37,133 KRW | +20% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 107,700 KRW | 126,487 KRW | +17% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹967.00 | ₹299.65 | -69% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 322,000 KRW | 358,091 KRW | +11% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 24,250 VND | 28,021 VND | +16% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 120.22 ARS | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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