Anhui Honglu Steel Construction (Group) Co (002541) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 11.7B CNY

Below-average quality, and screening another 17% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
• Our model range runs from ¥11.66 (bear) to ¥19.44 (bull), base ¥15.55. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 46/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.68 – ¥46.26 · fair‑value band ¥11.66 – ¥19.44 · the ¥18.70 price screens above the ¥15.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Anhui Honglu Steel Construction (Group) Co (002541) currently trades at ¥18.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.55, implying the stock looks roughly 16.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui Honglu Steel Construction (Group) Co generated revenue of 22.5B CNY at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue grew 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.5%. Net debt stands at 3.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥11.66 (bear case) to ¥19.44 (bull case); at ¥18.70, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -17%, 002541 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥20.97) versus Growth DCF (¥1.16). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Anhui Honglu Steel Construction (Group) Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of steel structural components and enclosure products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Anhui Honglu Steel Construction (Group) Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of steel structural components and enclosure products in China and internationally. The company offers high-rise steel structures; electric single girder and electric hoist bridge cranes; and supporting products, including welding wires, polyurethane boards, steel truss floor decks, galvanized parts, precast concrete components, and pipes. It is also involved in steel trading; construction; transportation; and software development. The company's products are used in industrial plants, equipment installations, stadiums, airports, railway stations, petrochemical pipe corridors, high-rise buildings, and other fields. It exports its products. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Hefei, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Anhui Honglu Steel Construction (Group) Co reported revenue of ¥22.1B in FY2025 versus ¥19.5B in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥631M in FY2025, compounding −13.9%/yr from FY2021.

002541 screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.