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Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co (002559) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.7B CNY

JY Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co 002559 · SHE
Price¥9.68
Fair Value¥4.04
Upside-58.3%
Quality61/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.75% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/14)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range ¥3.03 – ¥5.04 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −26.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥15.38 ¥4.56 Fair Value ¥4.04 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.56 – ¥15.38 · fair‑value band ¥3.03 – ¥5.04 · the ¥9.68 price screens above the ¥4.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co (002559) currently trades at ¥9.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.04, implying the stock looks roughly 58.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co generated revenue of 2.3B CNY at a net margin of 4.5%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 158M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.03 (bear case) to ¥5.04 (bull case); at ¥9.68, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -58%, 002559 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.43 ¥7.98 ¥11.86 80
Residual Income ¥2.52 ¥2.60 ¥2.60 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.13 ¥5.83 ¥7.90 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.40 ¥8.07 ¥12.18 38
Owner Earnings ¥2.92 ¥4.07 ¥5.83 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.13 ¥5.81 ¥7.96 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.88 ¥7.26 ¥10.09 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.35 ¥6.23 ¥8.25 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.48 ¥6.14 ¥8.42 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.03 ¥7.15 ¥10.06 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.69 ¥6.43 ¥8.64 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.31 ¥4.83 ¥6.52 54
Lynch FV ¥1.16 ¥1.65 ¥2.15 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.16 ¥1.65 ¥2.15 46
EPV ¥3.28 ¥3.64 ¥3.94 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.01 ¥2.02 ¥3.06 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.01 ¥1.75 ¥2.13 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.03 ¥4.04 ¥5.04 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.45 ¥3.27 ¥4.08 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.45 ¥3.27 ¥4.08 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.53 ¥5.69 ¥6.85 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.99 ¥6.30 ¥7.61 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.53 ¥4.60 ¥5.66 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.61 ¥2.16 ¥3.22 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.43 ¥7.98 ¥11.86 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.13 ¥5.83 ¥7.90 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.52 ¥2.60 ¥2.60 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.30 ¥3.93 ¥4.78 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.16 ¥3.08 ¥4.00 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.23) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.65). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.4%
Net margin 4.5%
Return on equity 4.1%
Free cash flow 211M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 54.3
More key figures
Operating margin 10.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1900
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -9.5%
Net cash 158M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells metal forming machine tools and laser processing equipment in China and internationally.

Full company description

Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells metal forming machine tools and laser processing equipment in China and internationally. It offers sheet metal machine tools, including CNC pressbrake, turret punch, and paner bender products, as well as punch and laser combi machines; CNC laser processing equipment, such as 2D and 3D CNC laser cutting machines, CNC laser pipe cutting machines, and laser welding systems; and sheet metal automation equipment comprising sheet metal processing units, laser processing units, and sheet metal flexible processing lines. The company also provides press machines, including servo press machines, mechanical press machines, and press and automation products; coil line products, such as blanking line, cut-to-length line with oscillating shear, cut-to-length line, slitting line, and aluminium coil line products, as well as robot setup systems for slitting line; and industrial robots, customized automation production lines, industrial management software, industrial internet of things, and industrial big data platforms. It offers solutions for construction machinery, electric switchgear, elevator, curtain wall, home appliance, automotive, steel distribution, and new energy industries. The company was founded in 1956 and is based in Yangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co reported revenue of ¥2.3B in FY2025 versus ¥2.0B in FY2021, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥106M in FY2025, compounding −5.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+11.9%
Revenue +3.4%/yr
FY21 ¥2.0B
FY22 ¥1.8B
FY23 ¥1.9B
FY24 ¥2.1B
FY25 ¥2.3B
Net income −5.0%/yr
FY21 ¥130M
FY22 ¥7.5M
FY23 ¥98.9M
FY24 ¥75.0M
FY25 ¥106M

002559 screens 58% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002559

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −58% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 54.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.20× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.49× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 4.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 30.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 17 · sector 28
HEALTH 92 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 15 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co (002559) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.04 versus a price of ¥9.68, about −58% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002559?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co is ¥4.04 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥9.68.
What is the quality score of 002559?
Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co (002559)?
Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002559?
The net profit margin of Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co is about 4.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co pay a dividend?
Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.75% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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