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Beijing SPC Environment Protection Tech Co Ltd (002573) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.6B CNY (≈ $685M) · ISIN CNE100001278

What is Beijing SPC Environment Protection Tech Co Ltd really worth?

BS Beijing SPC Environment Protection Tech Co Ltd 002573 · SHE
Price¥3.25
Fair Value¥1.79
Upside−44.9%
Quality45/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 82% above our fair value of ¥1.79.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.6% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range ¥1.79 – ¥3.67

Fair value as of: Aug 26, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥1.79 to ¥3.67) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥7.91 ¥2.94 Fair Value ¥1.79 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.94 – ¥7.91 · fair‑value band ¥1.79 – ¥3.67 · the ¥3.25 price screens above the ¥1.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Beijing SPC Environment Protection Tech Co Ltd (002573) currently trades at ¥3.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.79, implying the stock looks roughly 81.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥10.33 per share, and 12 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥3.25 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.14, and 4 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing SPC Environment Protection Tech Co Ltd generated revenue of 8.9B CNY at a net margin of −4.6%. Revenue declined 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −5.2%. Net debt stands at 8.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.79 (bear case) to ¥3.67 (bull case); at ¥3.25, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −45%, 002573 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥8.37 ¥15.94 ¥36.31 74
Growth DCF ¥7.89 ¥17.74 ¥35.49 73
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.87 ¥19.54 ¥37.36 71
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥8.37 ¥15.94 ¥36.31 74
Owner Earnings ¥0.3300 ¥3.86 ¥10.86 65
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.52 ¥7.79 ¥15.19 68
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.87 ¥19.54 ¥37.36 71
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.83 ¥10.33 ¥17.04 64
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.64 ¥19.98 ¥40.17 64
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥0.6200 ¥1.14 ¥1.60 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.35 ¥4.69 ¥7.11 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.35 ¥4.06 ¥4.95 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥2.92 ¥4.79 ¥6.66 64
EV/EBITDA ¥9.47 ¥13.53 ¥17.58 67
EV/Revenue ¥1.31 ¥3.03 ¥4.75 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.93 ¥2.59 ¥3.87 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥7.89 ¥17.74 ¥35.49 73
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.52 ¥8.21 ¥15.08 69
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥0.6200 ¥1.14 ¥1.60 70

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥10.33) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.14). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.52 TTM
EPS (TTM) ¥−0.2900
Dividend yield 8.3%
Net margin −4.6% FY2025
Return on equity −5.2% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 8.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 8.9B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −11.6% 3y avg +4.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +145%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 1.1B CNY FY2025
Net debt 8.1B CNY FY2025 · ≈ 7.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Beijing SPC Environment Protection Tech Co., Ltd. engages in energy conservation and environmental protection related businesses. The company provides industrial environmental protection services.

Full company description

Beijing SPC Environment Protection Tech Co., Ltd. engages in energy conservation and environmental protection related businesses. The company provides industrial environmental protection services. It also engages in urban and rural water supply and drainage, water and municipal facility operations, sewage treatment, pipe network operation and maintenance, smart water services, river basin water management, and urban and industrial park heating. In addition, the company offers waste heat utilization and integrated energy services. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Beijing SPC Environment Protection Tech Co Ltd reported revenue of 9.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 6.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was −421M CNY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
9.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+4.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.0%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.3% (2020) → 6.8% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +7.3%/yr
FY21 6.9B CNY
FY22 8.0B CNY
FY23 8.6B CNY
FY24 8.7B CNY
FY25 9.1B CNY
Net income
FY21 568M CNY
FY22 448M CNY
FY23 127M CNY
FY24 −378M CNY
FY25 −421M CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) −4.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +19.0 %

of which total revenue +23.0 % · buybacks/dilution −3.2 %

EBIT margin −16.8 %
Tax rate −0.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.8 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

002573 screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing SPC Environment Protection Tech Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002573

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 817 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −45% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth −12% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.3% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.93× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 17
FUTURE0 · sector 12
PAST0 · sector 26
HEALTH54 · sector 94
DIVIDEND100 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $620.06 $143.92 −77%
Vinci SA DG €114.35 €185.62 +62%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,615 $519.97 −68%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,072 ₹2,196 −46%
Ferrovial N.V FER €57.28 €19.17 −67%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €426.40 €203.87 −52%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 373,000 KRW 261,411 KRW −30%
EMCOR Group EME $775.04 $549.47 −29%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $241.00 $100.00 −59%
Bouygues SA EN €46.65 €65.67 +41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing SPC Environment Protection Tech Co Ltd (002573) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.79 versus a price of ¥3.25, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002573?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing SPC Environment Protection Tech Co Ltd is ¥1.79 (as of Aug 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.25.
What is the quality score of 002573?
Beijing SPC Environment Protection Tech Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Beijing SPC Environment Protection Tech Co Ltd (002573)?
Beijing SPC Environment Protection Tech Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002573?
The net profit margin of Beijing SPC Environment Protection Tech Co Ltd is about −4.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Beijing SPC Environment Protection Tech Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Beijing SPC Environment Protection Tech Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.25% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 26, 2026).
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