Xilong Scientific Co (002584) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 5.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥3.53 to ¥6.80 (+92.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −18.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥4.76 to ¥8.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.99 – ¥13.60 · fair‑value band ¥4.76 – ¥8.84 · the ¥8.12 price screens above the ¥6.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Xilong Scientific Co (002584) currently trades at ¥8.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.80, implying the stock looks roughly 16.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xilong Scientific Co generated revenue of 7.4B CNY at a net margin of -1.0%. Revenue grew 5.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.2%. Net debt stands at 398M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.76 (bear case) to ¥8.84 (bull case); at ¥8.12, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -16%, 002584 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥4.88) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.24). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xilong Scientific Co., Ltd. researches and develops, manufactures, and sells chemical reagents in China. The company offers chemical reagents, PCB reagents, high purity chemical reagents, food additives, active pharmaceutical, wet electronic chemical, and diagnostic reagents products. It also exports its products.
Full company description
Xilong Scientific Co., Ltd. researches and develops, manufactures, and sells chemical reagents in China. The company offers chemical reagents, PCB reagents, high purity chemical reagents, food additives, active pharmaceutical, wet electronic chemical, and diagnostic reagents products. It also exports its products. The company serves industrial, agriculture, health, environmental protection, teaching, scientific research, biology, life sciences, electronics, military industry, aerospace, coating, printing and cosmetics, medical and health, and other sectors. Xilong Scientific Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Xilong Chemical Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Xilong Scientific Co., Ltd. in December 2015. Xilong Scientific Co., Ltd. was founded in 1983 and is based in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xilong Scientific Co reported revenue of ¥7.3B in FY2025 versus ¥5.4B in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥75.5M in FY2025.
002584 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 334 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥42.85 | ¥23.35 | -46% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,650 | ₹2,146 | -75% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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