Jiangsu Guoxin Corp (002608) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CN · Market cap 34.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +8.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 114% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥11.69). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.12 – ¥10.50 · fair‑value band ¥11.69 – ¥19.49 · the ¥7.30 price screens below the ¥15.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangsu Guoxin Corp (002608) currently trades at ¥7.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.59, implying the stock looks roughly 113.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Guoxin Corp generated revenue of 36.6B CNY at a net margin of 9.3%. Revenue grew 13.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. Net debt stands at 23.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥11.69 (bear case) to ¥19.49 (bull case); at ¥7.30, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 114%, 002608 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥20.65) versus Dividend Discount (¥5.61). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jiangsu Guoxin Corp. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells electricity and heat in China. It operates through Energy Business, Financial Business, and Other segments.
Full company description
Jiangsu Guoxin Corp. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells electricity and heat in China. It operates through Energy Business, Financial Business, and Other segments. The company is involved in coal-fired power generation and gas-fired power generation; development, production, and processing of fly ash; sale of steam and hot water; general cargo loading and unloading; warehousing services within the port area; freight distribution; power generation equipment installation and maintenance; commodity distribution; engineering construction; property management; water production and supply; procurement, storage, transportation, and sale of fuel for electricity and natural gas; procurement, transmission, and distribution of electricity; coal and natural gas trading; investment and consulting services for energy projects, such as coal financing; thermal power equipment installation and technical services; wholesale and retail of coal; and investment, development, and operation of new energy projects. It also provides financial services, such as industrial finance, consumer finance, securities trusts, family trusts, equity investment, and financial management; debt investment, securities investment, asset securitization, asset management, wealth management, and asset allocation; and funds, asset trusts, and investment funds. As of December 31, 2025, the company operated a total installed capacity of 22,509 MW, which includes 17,837 MW from coal-fired units, 2,592 MW from gas-fired units, and 2,080 MW from units under construction. The company was formerly known as Sainty Marine Corporation Ltd. and changed its name to Jiangsu Guoxin Corp. Ltd. in March 2017. Jiangsu Guoxin Corp. Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Nanjing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangsu Guoxin Corp reported revenue of ¥35.5B in FY2025 versus ¥28.9B in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥3.5B in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Electric · 154 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $88.80 | $32.94 | -63% |
| The Southern Company SO | $95.61 | $61.06 | -36% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $126.11 | $97.11 | -23% |
| National Grid plc NGG | 61,175 ARS | 44,377 ARS | -27% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $132.50 | $79.33 | -40% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $70.08 | $46.92 | -33% |
| NTPC Limited NTPC | ₹341.85 | ₹377.16 | +10% |
| CEZ, a. s. CEZ | 232.40 PLN | 159.33 PLN | -31% |
| Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID | ₹283.55 | ₹252.77 | -11% |
| China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 | ¥8.91 | ¥7.69 | -14% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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