Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd ¥14.79, price ¥7.30, upside +102.6%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.12 – ¥10.50 · fair‑value band ¥11.09 – ¥18.49 · the ¥7.30 price screens below the ¥14.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Jiangsu Guoxin Corp. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells electricity and heat in China. It operates through Energy Business, Financial Business, and Other segments.
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Jiangsu Guoxin Corp. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells electricity and heat in China. It operates through Energy Business, Financial Business, and Other segments. The company is involved in coal-fired power generation and gas-fired power generation; development, production, and processing of fly ash; sale of steam and hot water; general cargo loading and unloading; warehousing services within the port area; freight distribution; power generation equipment installation and maintenance; commodity distribution; engineering construction; property management; water production and supply; procurement, storage, transportation, and sale of fuel for electricity and natural gas; procurement, transmission, and distribution of electricity; coal and natural gas trading; investment and consulting services for energy projects, such as coal financing; thermal power equipment installation and technical services; wholesale and retail of coal; and investment, development, and operation of new energy projects. It also provides financial services, such as industrial finance, consumer finance, securities trusts, family trusts, equity investment, and financial management; debt investment, securities investment, asset securitization, asset management, wealth management, and asset allocation; and funds, asset trusts, and investment funds. As of December 31, 2025, the company operated a total installed capacity of 22,509 MW, which includes 17,837 MW from coal-fired units, 2,592 MW from gas-fired units, and 2,080 MW from units under construction. The company was formerly known as Sainty Marine Corporation Ltd. and changed its name to Jiangsu Guoxin Corp. Ltd. in March 2017. Jiangsu Guoxin Corp. Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Nanjing, China.
Stock analysis
Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608) currently trades at ¥7.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.79, implying the stock looks roughly 50.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥20.65 per share, and 11 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥7.30 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥5.61, and 5 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥11.09 (bear) to ¥18.49 (bull), the price of ¥7.30 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd reported revenue of 35.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 28.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was 3.5B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 34.4B CNY (≈ $5.1B) · P/E ratio 8.2 · P/S ratio 0.80 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.8900 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 9.8% · Return on equity 9.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 103%, 002608 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥11.09Fair Value ¥14.79Bull ¥18.49
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.5559 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.7% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +3.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8% vs 11%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 12%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 85% above its own trend.
Compare Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 157 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+103% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.65× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
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Is Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.79 versus a price of ¥7.30, about +103% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 002608?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd is ¥14.79 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.30.
What is the quality score of 002608?
Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥14.79 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥11.09, optimistic scenario ¥18.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥14.79, about +103% upside versus a price of ¥7.30 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥11.09, optimistic scenario ¥18.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608)?
Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 36.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd pay a dividend?
Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.78% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd it is ¥14.79 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥7.30. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002608 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥7.30, fair value ¥14.79, a gap of about +103% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002608?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥14.79). For Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd the two are ¥7.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd worth?
The market values Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd at about 34.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.30; our models calculate a fair value of ¥14.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002608?
Our models span a range for Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd: cautious scenario ¥11.09, base ¥14.79, optimistic ¥18.49 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥7.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002608?
Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥14.79 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 7.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.5%, debt of 0.65 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002608 from its 52-week high?
Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd trades at ¥7.30, about 30% below its 52-week high of ¥10.50 and 9% above the low of ¥6.72 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥14.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥7.30, calculated fair value ¥14.79 (+103%), Quality Score 39/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002608 calculated?
We run Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥14.79, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd currently trades 103 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥7.30. Our model-based fair value is ¥14.79, about +103% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥11.09). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Key figures of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608)?
The market capitalisation of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd is 34.4B CNY (≈ $5.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd is 0.80 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd are ¥0.8900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608)?
The dividend yield of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd is 1.8% (payout 14.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608)?
The net margin of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd is 9.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608)?
The operating margin of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd is 7.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608)?
Revenue at Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd is growing +13.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd are growing −9.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608) generate?
The free cash flow of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd is −322M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd (002608) carry?
The net debt of Jiangsu Guoxin Corp Ltd is 23.9B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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