Guangdong TCL Smart Home Appliances Co (002668) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 10.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +1.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 113% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥17.10). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.94 – ¥13.47 · fair‑value band ¥17.10 – ¥28.51 · the ¥10.68 price screens below the ¥22.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Guangdong TCL Smart Home Appliances Co (002668) currently trades at ¥10.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥22.80, implying the stock looks roughly 113.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong TCL Smart Home Appliances Co generated revenue of 18.8B CNY at a net margin of 6.0%. Revenue grew 6.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 45.0%. Net debt stands at 2.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥17.10 (bear case) to ¥28.51 (bull case); at ¥10.68, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 113%, 002668 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥34.40) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.2600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Guangdong TCL Smart Home Appliances Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sales of household refrigerators, freezers, and washing machines in China and internationally. The company also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Guangdong Homa Group Co., Ltd.
Full company description
Guangdong TCL Smart Home Appliances Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sales of household refrigerators, freezers, and washing machines in China and internationally. The company also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Guangdong Homa Group Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Guangdong TCL Smart Home Appliances Co., Ltd. in May 2024. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Zhongshan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangdong TCL Smart Home Appliances Co reported revenue of ¥18.5B in FY2025 versus ¥10.1B in FY2021, a compound +16.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.1B in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 311 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Midea Group 000333 | ¥82.71 | ¥107.22 | +30% |
| Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 | ¥38.25 | ¥88.02 | +130% |
| Haier Smart Home Co 600690 | ¥21.46 | ¥36.04 | +68% |
| King Slide Works Co 2059 | 8,655 TWD | 1,917 TWD | -78% |
| Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 | ¥155.59 | ¥38.95 | -75% |
| SharkNinja, Inc SN | $154.53 | $89.07 | -42% |
| Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 | ¥26.33 | ¥48.03 | +82% |
| Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 | ¥43.85 | ¥44.84 | +2% |
| COWAY Co 021240 | 96,700 KRW | 112,530 KRW | +16% |
| Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 | ¥50.13 | ¥54.11 | +8% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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