Longzhou Group (002682) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 2.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +5.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 44% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥1.12 to ¥3.46). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.82 – ¥11.93 · fair‑value band ¥1.12 – ¥3.46 · the ¥4.55 price screens above the ¥2.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Longzhou Group (002682) currently trades at ¥4.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.54, implying the stock looks roughly 44.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Longzhou Group generated revenue of 2.2B CNY at a net margin of -25.7%. Revenue declined 42.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -40.9%. Net debt stands at 2.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.12 (bear case) to ¥3.46 (bull case); at ¥4.55, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -44%, 002682 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥2.25) versus Asset-Based (¥0.6900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when 002682 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Longzhou Group Co., Ltd. primarily engages in the transportation business in China. The company offers asphalt supply chain, port and terminal services, logistics park operations, etc.; and research, develop, and manufactures new energy vehicles.
Full company description
Longzhou Group Co., Ltd. primarily engages in the transportation business in China. The company offers asphalt supply chain, port and terminal services, logistics park operations, etc.; and research, develop, and manufactures new energy vehicles. It also operates automobile passenger transport and station services including shuttle bus, tourist, taxi, and urban bus and passenger station operations. The company was formerly known as Fujian Longzhou Transportation Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Longzhou Group Co., Ltd. August 2018. Longzhou Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Longyan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Longzhou Group reported revenue of ¥2.4B in FY2025 versus ¥5.0B in FY2021, a compound −16.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥578M in FY2025.
002682 screens 44% overvalued. Compare with Toyota Motor Corporation →
Peer Group
Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $179.76 | $224.63 | +25% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$80.55 | HK$50.85 | -37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 425,000 KRW | 616,918 KRW | +45% |
| General Motors Company GM | $77.72 | $56.93 | -27% |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N | 1,909 MXN | 2,944 MXN | +54% |
| Ferrari N.V RACE | $376.64 | $228.05 | -39% |
| Ford Motor Company F | C$11.86 | C$4.00 | -66% |
| Mercedes-Benz Group BENZ | C$20.44 | C$35.15 | +72% |
| Volkswagen AG VOW | 2,149 CZK | 7,191 CZK | +235% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹13,803 | ₹8,236 | -40% |
Compare Longzhou Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Longzhou Group (002682) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 002682?
What is the quality score of 002682?
What is the revenue of Longzhou Group (002682)?
What is the net profit margin of 002682?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Longzhou Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.