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Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group (002689) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.0B CNY

SY Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group 002689 · SHE
Price¥2.74
Fair Value¥2.03
Upside-25.9%
Quality75/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.73% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.52 – ¥2.53 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +3.8% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 26% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 75/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.53). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥6.80 ¥2.06 Fair Value ¥2.03 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.06 – ¥6.80 · fair‑value band ¥1.52 – ¥2.53 · the ¥2.74 price screens above the ¥2.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group (002689) currently trades at ¥2.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.03, implying the stock looks roughly 25.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue grew 64.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 321M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.52 (bear case) to ¥2.53 (bull case); at ¥2.74, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -26%, 002689 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.36 ¥3.06 ¥3.96 80
Residual Income ¥1.01 ¥1.08 ¥1.18 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.76 ¥2.35 ¥2.97 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.30 ¥3.05 ¥4.05 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.61 ¥2.08 ¥2.72 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.76 ¥2.31 ¥2.98 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.96 ¥2.66 ¥3.42 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.92 ¥2.59 ¥3.24 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.93 ¥2.45 ¥3.05 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.08 ¥2.67 ¥3.36 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥2.05 ¥2.63 ¥3.24 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.6600 ¥1.39 ¥1.76 54
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.2100 ¥0.3000 ¥0.3900 46
EPV ¥1.39 ¥1.55 ¥1.69 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.7900 ¥1.17 ¥1.56 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.7900 ¥1.11 ¥1.46 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.52 ¥2.03 ¥2.53 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.23 ¥1.64 ¥2.05 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.23 ¥1.64 ¥2.05 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.97 ¥2.50 ¥3.04 53
EV/EBITDA ¥1.95 ¥2.48 ¥3.01 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.51 ¥2.00 ¥2.49 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.6100 ¥0.8200 ¥1.22 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.36 ¥3.06 ¥3.96 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.76 ¥2.35 ¥2.97 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.01 ¥1.08 ¥1.18 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.41 ¥1.62 ¥1.85 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.12 ¥1.60 ¥2.07 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.59) versus Asset-Based (¥0.8200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +64.5%
Net margin 7.1%
Return on equity 8.7%
Free cash flow 204M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 28.6
More key figures
Operating margin -12.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1000
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +125%
Net cash 321M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 75/100

Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group Co.,Ltd researches, develops, manufactures, installs, sells, and maintains elevators in China and internationally.

Full company description

Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group Co.,Ltd researches, develops, manufactures, installs, sells, and maintains elevators in China and internationally. It offers lift products, including machine room and roomless, panoramic, freight, bed, accessional, home, and high-speed elevators; escalator/passenger conveyor; elevator spare parts, including door machine, landing door, and security components; and traction machine products. The company also provides maintenance, supervision, elevator installation supervision, remote monitoring, and focus call center services. The company was formerly known as ShenYang Brilliant Elevator Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group Co.,Ltd in December 2015. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Shenyang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group reported revenue of ¥1.4B in FY2025 versus ¥822M in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥101M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+14.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.1%
Revenue +13.7%/yr
FY21 ¥822M
FY22 ¥988M
FY23 ¥1.3B
FY24 ¥1.2B
FY25 ¥1.4B
Net income
FY21 −¥28.1M
FY22 −¥111M
FY23 ¥31.0M
FY24 ¥18.1M
FY25 ¥101M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) −17.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share −3.2 pp

of which total revenue −3.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −12.3 pp
Tax rate −0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

002689 screens 26% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002689

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −26% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 65% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.34× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.04× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 19.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 35 · sector 28
HEALTH 96 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 35 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

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Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group (002689) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.03 versus a price of ¥2.74, about −26% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002689?
Our model-based fair value for Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group is ¥2.03 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥2.74.
What is the quality score of 002689?
Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group (002689)?
Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002689?
The net profit margin of Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group is about 7.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group pay a dividend?
Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.73% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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