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ORG Technology Co (002701) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 11.3B CNY

OT ORG Technology Co 002701 · SHE
Price¥4.84
Fair Value¥6.69
Upside+38.2%
Quality51/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.66% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: High Range ¥5.01 – ¥8.36 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +0.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 38% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥5.01). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥6.79 ¥3.43 Fair Value ¥6.69 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.43 – ¥6.79 · fair‑value band ¥5.01 – ¥8.36 · the ¥4.84 price screens below the ¥6.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

ORG Technology Co (002701) currently trades at ¥4.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.69, implying the stock looks roughly 38.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, ORG Technology Co generated revenue of 25.7B CNY at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue grew 29.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. Net debt stands at 7.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.01 (bear case) to ¥8.36 (bull case); at ¥4.84, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 38%, 002701 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥9.97 ¥21.50 ¥40.03 80
Residual Income ¥3.39 ¥3.78 ¥5.61 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.03 ¥11.17 ¥18.44 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥10.32 ¥19.44 ¥42.98 38
Owner Earnings ¥7.98 ¥17.57 ¥36.33 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.03 ¥11.32 ¥18.72 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.51 ¥14.65 ¥24.08 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥5.85 ¥10.91 ¥16.97 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥7.12 ¥12.92 ¥22.17 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.33 ¥15.49 ¥27.35 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥7.18 ¥12.60 ¥20.86 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.67 ¥16.27 ¥22.70 54
Lynch FV ¥4.66 ¥6.65 ¥8.65 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥4.66 ¥6.65 ¥8.65 46
EPV ¥3.02 ¥3.66 ¥4.22 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.69 ¥5.59 ¥8.87 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.69 ¥4.71 ¥5.87 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.01 ¥6.69 ¥8.36 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.01 ¥6.69 ¥8.36 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.01 ¥6.69 ¥8.36 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.86 ¥6.76 ¥8.65 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.65 ¥9.15 ¥11.64 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.10 ¥6.21 ¥8.33 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.90 ¥2.54 ¥3.80 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥9.97 ¥21.50 ¥40.03 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.03 ¥11.17 ¥18.44 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.39 ¥3.78 ¥5.61 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.02 ¥3.66 ¥4.91 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.14 ¥8.77 ¥11.40 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥12.92) versus Asset-Based (¥2.54). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 25.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +29.3%
Net margin 3.4%
Return on equity 9.7%
Free cash flow 2.0B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 13.4
More key figures
Operating margin 8.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3300
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -23.1%
Net debt 7.4B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ORG Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides packaging solutions in China and internationally. The company offers packaging products, including food and beverage cans, aerosol cans, metal caps, plastic packaging, and industrial steel drums.

Full company description

ORG Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides packaging solutions in China and internationally. The company offers packaging products, including food and beverage cans, aerosol cans, metal caps, plastic packaging, and industrial steel drums. It also provides filling services for various beverages; brand planning services, including brand research, strategy, and performance, as well as digital management/distribution and integrated communication; QR code data marketing; and packaging testing and analysis. In addition, the company engages in the investment, promotion, development, and management of ice hockey and football. Further, it is involved in technical consulting and services; technology development and transfer; sports project management and event planning; skating training; import and export of goods; project investment and management; asset and investment management; cultural and artistic exchange activity planning; catering business; sale of new energy vehicle, testing equipment, and battery components; and food sale. The company was formerly known as ORG Packaging Co., Ltd. and changed its name to ORG Technology Co., Ltd. in April 2018. ORG Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ORG Technology Co reported revenue of ¥24.0B in FY2025 versus ¥14.0B in FY2021, a compound +14.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.0B in FY2025, compounding +3.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
24.0B CNY
Latest YoY
+75.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+19.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+15.8%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+19.0%
Revenue +14.5%/yr
FY21 ¥14.0B
FY22 ¥14.1B
FY23 ¥13.8B
FY24 ¥13.7B
FY25 ¥24.0B
Net income +3.0%/yr
FY21 ¥893M
FY22 ¥565M
FY23 ¥775M
FY24 ¥791M
FY25 ¥1.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ORG Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002701

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +38% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 29% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.52× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.16× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.44× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 84 · sector 9
FUTURE 100 · sector 1
PAST 39 · sector 21
HEALTH 74 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 53 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ORG Technology Co (002701) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.69 versus a price of ¥4.84, about +38% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 002701?
Our model-based fair value for ORG Technology Co is ¥6.69 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.84.
What is the quality score of 002701?
ORG Technology Co has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ORG Technology Co (002701)?
ORG Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 25.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002701?
The net profit margin of ORG Technology Co is about 3.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ORG Technology Co pay a dividend?
ORG Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.66% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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