Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera IDR 864, price IDR 785, upside +10.0%, quality 71 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
42‑month range 126.19 IDR – 2,162 IDR · fair‑value band 559.24 IDR – 1,541 IDR · the 785.00 IDR price screens below the 863.50 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk engages in the palm oil plantation business in Indonesia. It produces and sells fresh fruit bunches, crude palm oil, and palm kernels. The company is involved in palm oil mill activities. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS) currently trades at 785.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 863.50 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 831.63 IDR per share, and 4 of the 22 models we run sit above the 785.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 274.32 IDR, and 18 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 559.24 IDR (bear) to 1,541 IDR (bull), the price of 785.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera reported revenue of 2.0T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.1T IDR in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was 648B IDR in FY2025, compounding +27.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 18.7T IDR (≈ $1.9B) · P/E ratio 29.7 · P/S ratio 9.57 · EPS (TTM) 26.39 IDR · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 32.2% · Return on equity 34.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 116% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 10%, NSSS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 559.24 IDRFair Value 863.50 IDRBull 1,541 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (19.30 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+35.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.1%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+56.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+56.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.44% → 47%
2025 sits 684% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.0% a year for the price.
Compare Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 297 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)35% · Top 25%
Return on assets14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)31% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)38% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.65× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
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Is Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 863.50 IDR versus a price of 785.00 IDR, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NSSS?
Our model-based fair value for Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera is 863.50 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 785.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of NSSS?
Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 863.50 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 559.24 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,541 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 863.50 IDR, about +10% upside versus a price of 785.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 559.24 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,541 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS)?
Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera pay a dividend?
Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.43% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera would have to grow free cash flow by +21.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +15.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NSSS use?
Our models discount Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.25, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera that is +21.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera grew +15.1 % a year. The price currently implies +21.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (+21.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.93 %: that much free cash flow Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera it is 863.50 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 785.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, NSSS trades below its calculated fair value: price 785.00 IDR, fair value 863.50 IDR, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NSSS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (785.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (863.50 IDR). For Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera the two are 78.50 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera worth?
The market values Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera at about 18.7T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 785.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 863.50 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NSSS?
Our models span a range for Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera: cautious scenario 559.24 IDR, base 863.50 IDR, optimistic 1,541 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 785.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NSSS?
Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 863.50 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 9.6, P/S 9.1, EV/EBITDA 18.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 34.8%, debt of 0.65 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NSSS from its 52-week high?
Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera trades at 785.00 IDR, about 64% below its 52-week high of 2,162 IDR and 116% above the low of 363.00 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 863.50 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 785.00 IDR, calculated fair value 863.50 IDR (+10%), Quality Score 71/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NSSS calculated?
We run Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 863.50 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 785.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 863.50 IDR, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera right now?
The model range is unusually wide (559.24 IDR to 1,541 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera
How large is the market capitalisation of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS)?
The market capitalisation of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera is 18.7T IDR (≈ $1.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera is 9.57 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS)?
Earnings per share at Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera are 26.39 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS)?
The dividend yield of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera is 0.4% (payout 12.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS)?
The net margin of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera is 32.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera is 34.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera is 14.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS)?
The operating margin of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera is 37.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS)?
Revenue at Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera is growing +8.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS)?
Earnings per share at Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera are growing −12.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera (NSSS) carry?
The net debt of Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera is 986B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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