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PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk (NSSS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 16.7T IDR

PN PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS · JK
Price1,045 IDR
Fair Value448.40 IDR
Upside-57.1%
Quality71/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 30.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 90/100
Evidence: Medium Range 336.30 IDR – 1,081 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +68.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 57% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The model range is unusually wide (336.30 IDR to 1,081 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

2,162 IDR 126.19 IDR Fair Value 448.40 IDR Mar 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

41‑month range 126.19 IDR – 2,162 IDR · fair‑value band 336.30 IDR – 1,081 IDR · the 1,045 IDR price screens above the 448.40 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk (NSSS) currently trades at 1,045 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 448.40 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 57.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk generated revenue of 2.1T IDR at a net margin of 30.5%. Revenue grew 8.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.8%. Net debt stands at 986B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 336.30 IDR (bear case) to 1,081 IDR (bull case); at 1,045 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 265% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -57%, NSSS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 498.00 IDR 982.78 IDR 2,005 IDR 80
Residual Income 230.15 IDR 360.23 IDR 4,935 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 193.21 IDR 344.68 IDR 583.95 IDR 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 529.64 IDR 866.62 IDR 1,968 IDR 38
5Y Revenue Exit 193.21 IDR 297.75 IDR 504.24 IDR 39
5Y P/E Exit 445.04 IDR 981.15 IDR 1,696 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 282.52 IDR 499.91 IDR 633.63 IDR 36
10Y P/E Exit 472.37 IDR 1,032 IDR 2,009 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 185.08 IDR 1,291 IDR 1,811 IDR 54
Lynch FV 445.25 IDR 636.08 IDR 826.90 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 445.25 IDR 636.08 IDR 826.90 IDR 46
EPV 294.80 IDR 350.46 IDR 399.94 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 28.86 IDR 63.00 IDR 106.00 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 28.86 IDR 51.61 IDR 65.66 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 428.68 IDR 571.57 IDR 714.46 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 101.53 IDR 135.37 IDR 169.22 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 336.30 IDR 448.40 IDR 560.50 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 488.44 IDR 658.13 IDR 827.81 IDR 53
EV/Revenue 68.22 IDR 106.29 IDR 144.36 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 40.76 IDR 54.62 IDR 81.53 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 498.00 IDR 982.78 IDR 2,005 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 193.21 IDR 344.68 IDR 583.95 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 230.15 IDR 360.23 IDR 4,935 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 381.71 IDR 575.37 IDR 851.79 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 582.14 IDR 831.63 IDR 1,081 IDR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (866.62 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (51.61 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.1T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.5%
Net margin 30.5%
Return on equity 34.8%
Free cash flow 733B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 26.5
More key figures
Operating margin 37.6%
EPS (TTM) 26.39 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) -12.6%
Net debt 986B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 73
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 98
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 39
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 52
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk engages in the palm oil plantation business in Indonesia. It produces and sells fresh fruit bunches, crude palm oil, and palm kernels. The company is involved in palm oil mill activities. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk reported revenue of 2.0T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.1T IDR in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was 648B IDR in FY2025, compounding +27.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.0T IDR
Latest YoY
+35.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+21.1%
Revenue +15.1%/yr
FY21 1.1T IDR
FY22 1.1T IDR
FY23 1.2T IDR
FY24 1.5T IDR
FY25 2.0T IDR
Net income +27.5%/yr
FY21 245B IDR
FY22 70.2B IDR
FY23 2.1B IDR
FY24 305B IDR
FY25 648B IDR

NSSS screens 57% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NSSS

Peer Group

Farm Products · 291 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −57% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Return on assets 14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.65× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 8.59× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.11× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 16.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 26
FUTURE 43 · sector 21
PAST 100 · sector 17
HEALTH 68 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk (NSSS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 448.40 IDR versus a price of 1,045 IDR, about −57% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NSSS?
Our model-based fair value for PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk is 448.40 IDR (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1,045 IDR.
What is the quality score of NSSS?
PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk (NSSS)?
PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NSSS?
The net profit margin of PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk is about 30.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 30.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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