Zhejiang Construction Investment Group (002761) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 9.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥10.00 to ¥5.31 (−46.9%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +4.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from ¥5.27 (bear) to ¥7.48 (bull), base ¥5.31. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 47/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.63 – ¥43.61 · fair‑value band ¥5.27 – ¥7.48 · the ¥7.13 price screens above the ¥5.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Zhejiang Construction Investment Group (002761) currently trades at ¥7.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.31, implying the stock looks roughly 25.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Construction Investment Group generated revenue of 79.9B CNY at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue declined 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. Net debt stands at 4.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.27 (bear case) to ¥7.48 (bull case); at ¥7.13, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -26%, 002761 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥33.69) versus Multiples (¥3.56). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zhejiang Construction Investment Group Co.,Ltd engages in the construction business in China. The company operates through the Building Construction, Industrial Manufacturing, Other Engineering Related, and Other segments.
Full company description
Zhejiang Construction Investment Group Co.,Ltd engages in the construction business in China. The company operates through the Building Construction, Industrial Manufacturing, Other Engineering Related, and Other segments. It is involved in construction activities, including housing construction, municipal roads and bridges, rail transit, water conservancy and hydropower, equipment installation, decoration and renovation, and other construction businesses. The company also provides engineering design services, such as planning, design, and consulting services, as well as design-led engineering general contracting services. In addition, it designs, manufactures, sells, leases, installs, transforms, and maintains prefabricated subway segments, concrete, engineering machinery, power construction machinery, and pressure vessels. The company was formerly known as Dohia Group Co., Ltd and changed its name to Zhejiang Construction Investment Group Co.,Ltd in June 2021. Zhejiang Construction Investment Group Co.,Ltd was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zhejiang Construction Investment Group reported revenue of ¥81.1B in FY2025 versus ¥95.3B in FY2021, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥215M in FY2025, compounding −32.7%/yr from FY2021.
002761 screens 26% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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