Jiangsu Zhongsheng Gaoke Environmental Co (002778) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CN · Market cap 2.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 20 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price +2.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 49% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.18 – ¥24.09 · fair‑value band ¥5.89 – ¥9.82 · the ¥15.45 price screens above the ¥7.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangsu Zhongsheng Gaoke Environmental Co (002778) currently trades at ¥15.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.85, implying the stock looks roughly 49.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Zhongsheng Gaoke Environmental Co generated revenue of 198M CNY at a net margin of 7.4%. Revenue grew 12.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.0%. Net debt stands at 351M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.89 (bear case) to ¥9.82 (bull case); at ¥15.45, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -49%, 002778 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 20 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥19.51) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.7300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jiangsu Zhongsheng Gaoke Environmental Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sales of lubricants and greases in China. The company offers engine oil, diesel engine oil, gear oil, grease, automatic transmission fluid, and brake fluid, as well as construction machinery products.
Full company description
Jiangsu Zhongsheng Gaoke Environmental Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sales of lubricants and greases in China. The company offers engine oil, diesel engine oil, gear oil, grease, automatic transmission fluid, and brake fluid, as well as construction machinery products. Its products are used in the metallurgical, engineering machinery, trucks, transformer oil, metal processing, mining, and special solvent industries. The company was formerly known as Jiangsu Gaoke Petrochemical Co., Ltd and changed its name to Jiangsu Zhongsheng Gaoke Environmental Co.,Ltd. in June 2021. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Yixing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangsu Zhongsheng Gaoke Environmental Co reported revenue of ¥194M in FY2025 versus ¥1.0B in FY2021, a compound −34.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥73.7M in FY2025, compounding −3.6%/yr from FY2021.
002778 screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,293 | ₹835.66 | -35% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $309.65 | $127.32 | -59% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $283.74 | $135.80 | -52% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $196.16 | $101.04 | -48% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.10 | €4.07 | -87% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 81.30 TWD | 16.68 TWD | -79% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹138.96 | ₹417.35 | +200% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $88.59 | $48.90 | -45% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹315.55 | ₹846.81 | +168% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 121,400 KRW | 58,865 KRW | -52% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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