Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 20, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group stock ¥1.19, price ¥2.75, upside -56.7%, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥0.9300 – ¥7.46 · fair‑value band ¥0.7905 – ¥1.48 · the ¥2.75 price screens above the ¥1.19 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 20, 2026.
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Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in building decoration construction, and design services in China. It operates through Decoration project and property services segments.
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The company also provides cleaning, security, and maintenance services, as well as interior design services. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822) currently trades at ¥2.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.19, 56.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: ¥0.7905 (bear) to ¥1.48 (bull), the price of ¥2.75 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group reported revenue of 767M CNY in FY2025 versus 6.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −40.9%/yr. Reported net income was −3.2B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 5.4B CNY (≈ $805M) Small · P/S ratio 8.51 · EPS (TTM) ¥−1.39 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Return on equity −323% · Return on assets (EBIT) −10.4% · Operating margin −6.9% · Revenue (TTM) 628M CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −57%, 002822 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥0.7905Fair Value ¥1.19Bull¥1.48
Price ¥2.75 · Upside -56.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Gordon GGM¥0.1000¥0.1100¥0.120069
DDM Multi-Stage¥0.1000¥0.1200¥0.150067
NCAV (Graham)¥0.1400¥0.2100¥0.260055
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥0.1000¥0.1100¥0.120069
DDM Multi-Stage¥0.1000¥0.1200¥0.150067
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥0.1400¥0.2100¥0.260055
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−66.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−47.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−32.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −11.5% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.1% (2020) → −31.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 789 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−56.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Operating margin (12 months)−6.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−41.9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.06× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/B4.93× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)8.55× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)47· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)9· sector 42
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002822
Frequently asked questions
Is Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.19 versus a price of ¥2.75, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002822?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group is ¥1.19 (as of Oct 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥2.75.
What is the quality score of 002822?
Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.19 (as of Oct 20, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.7905, optimistic scenario ¥1.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.19, about −57% upside versus a price of ¥2.75 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.7905, optimistic scenario ¥1.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822)?
Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 628M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 20, 2026).
Does Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group currently shows a dividend yield of 0.46% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 20, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group it is ¥1.19 per share (as of Oct 20, 2026), against a price of ¥2.75. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 20, 2026, 002822 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥2.75, fair value ¥1.19, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002822?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥2.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.19). For Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group the two are ¥1.56 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group worth?
The market values Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group at about 5.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 20, 2026). Per share that is ¥2.75; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.19 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002822?
Our models span a range for Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group: cautious scenario ¥0.7905, base ¥1.19, optimistic ¥1.48 per share (as of Oct 20, 2026, price ¥2.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (as of Oct 20, 2026): return on equity −323.2%, debt of 1.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002822 from its 52-week high?
Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group trades at ¥2.75, about 38% below its 52-week high of ¥4.46 and 16% above the low of ¥2.38 (as of Oct 20, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.19 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 20, 2026: price ¥2.75, calculated fair value ¥1.19 (−57%), Quality Score 35/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002822 calculated?
We run Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.19, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822)?
The closing price on Oct 20, 2026 was ¥2.75. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.19, about −57% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥0.7905 to ¥1.48) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822)?
The market capitalisation of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group is 5.4B CNY (≈ $805M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group is 8.51 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group are ¥−1.39. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822)?
The dividend yield of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group is 0.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the return on equity of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group is −323% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group is −10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822)?
The operating margin of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group is −6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822)?
Revenue at Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group is growing −41.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −47.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group are growing −94.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822) generate?
The free cash flow of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group is −18.2M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group (002822) carry?
The net debt of Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group is 2.0B CNY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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