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Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co (002823) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.7B CNY

SK Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co 002823 · SHE
Price¥13.36
Fair Value¥12.70
Upside-5.0%
Quality51/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.45% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range ¥9.21 – ¥15.87 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −7.4% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from ¥9.21 (bear) to ¥15.87 (bull), base ¥12.70. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 51/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥20.85 ¥6.65 Fair Value ¥12.70 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.65 – ¥20.85 · fair‑value band ¥9.21 – ¥15.87 · the ¥13.36 price screens above the ¥12.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co (002823) currently trades at ¥13.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.70, implying the stock looks roughly 5.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co generated revenue of 2.9B CNY at a net margin of 8.3%. Revenue declined 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.6%. Net debt stands at 672M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.21 (bear case) to ¥15.87 (bull case); at ¥13.36, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -5%, 002823 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥11.18 ¥18.86 ¥31.12 80
Residual Income ¥5.67 ¥6.40 ¥10.05 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.79 ¥16.62 ¥25.37 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥11.27 ¥19.70 ¥33.66 38
Owner Earnings ¥10.70 ¥18.69 ¥31.94 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥9.79 ¥16.75 ¥26.10 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.75 ¥24.86 ¥38.77 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥10.62 ¥18.44 ¥27.29 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥9.90 ¥16.58 ¥26.61 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.76 ¥22.36 ¥36.89 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥10.74 ¥17.78 ¥27.57 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.84 ¥21.88 ¥30.01 54
Lynch FV ¥5.72 ¥8.17 ¥10.62 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.72 ¥8.17 ¥10.62 46
EPV ¥8.27 ¥9.58 ¥10.70 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.79 ¥7.56 ¥11.45 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.79 ¥6.53 ¥7.98 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥11.20 ¥14.94 ¥18.67 63
P/S Multiple ¥9.07 ¥12.09 ¥15.12 58
P/B Multiple ¥9.07 ¥12.09 ¥15.12 55
EV/EBIT ¥12.89 ¥17.18 ¥21.47 53
EV/EBITDA ¥16.37 ¥21.82 ¥27.27 54
EV/Revenue ¥9.20 ¥13.14 ¥17.08 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.15 ¥4.22 ¥6.31 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥11.18 ¥18.86 ¥31.12 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.79 ¥16.62 ¥25.37 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.67 ¥6.40 ¥10.05 76
ROIC Compounder ¥9.03 ¥12.05 ¥16.11 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.26 ¥13.23 ¥17.20 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥18.44) versus Asset-Based (¥4.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.3%
Net margin 8.3%
Return on equity 11.6%
Free cash flow 305M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 24.3
More key figures
Operating margin 11.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.7200
Dividend yield 2.5%
Net debt 672M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 10
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of core precision components in China and internationally. The company offers commutators, connectors and busbars, elastic parts, automotive lightweight parts, precise tools, intelligent equipment, multilayer insulated wire, and slip rings.

Full company description

Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of core precision components in China and internationally. The company offers commutators, connectors and busbars, elastic parts, automotive lightweight parts, precise tools, intelligent equipment, multilayer insulated wire, and slip rings. Its products are used for automotive, household appliances, power tools, office automation, intelligent home furnishing, and medical instruments applications. Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co reported revenue of ¥2.9B in FY2025 versus ¥2.4B in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥234M in FY2025, compounding +106.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.9B CNY
Latest YoY
−4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+11.7%
Revenue +4.6%/yr
FY21 ¥2.4B
FY22 ¥2.7B
FY23 ¥3.0B
FY24 ¥3.0B
FY25 ¥2.9B
Net income +106.9%/yr
FY21 ¥12.7M
FY22 ¥24.8M
FY23 ¥76.7M
FY24 ¥170M
FY25 ¥234M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002823

Peer Group

Tools & Accessories · 120 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.10× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.77× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.00× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 27 · sector 3
FUTURE 0 · sector 14
PAST 46 · sector 28
HEALTH 95 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 49 · sector 36

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Techtronic Industries Company 0669 HK$129.60 HK$81.05 -37%
Snap-on Incorporated SNA $410.99 $350.46 -15%
RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC $595.49 $184.29 -69%
Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO $252.58 $154.80 -39%
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK $88.22 $54.24 -39%
AB SKF (publ) SKFB kr 258.90 kr 192.57 -26%
The Timken Company TKR $139.47 $66.33 -52%
The Toro Company TTC $94.42 $69.71 -26%
SFS Group SFSN CHF 140.00 CHF 118.30 -16%
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 ¥29.33 ¥35.72 +22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co (002823) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥12.70 versus a price of ¥13.36, about −5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 002823?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co is ¥12.70 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥13.36.
What is the quality score of 002823?
Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co (002823)?
Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002823?
The net profit margin of Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co is about 8.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.45% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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