Jiangsu Zhongshe Group Co Ltd (002883) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 1.4B CNY (≈ $203M) · ISIN CNE100002N02
What is Jiangsu Zhongshe Group Co Ltd really worth?
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Below-average quality, and trading another 740% above our fair value of ¥1.14.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Share price +12.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.29 – ¥16.79 · fair‑value band ¥0.8400 – ¥1.44 · the ¥9.57 price screens above the ¥1.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangsu Zhongshe Group Co Ltd (002883) currently trades at ¥9.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.14, implying the stock looks roughly 739.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥3.67 per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the ¥9.57 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥1.84, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Zhongshe Group Co Ltd generated revenue of 381M CNY at a net margin of −5.2%. Revenue grew 93.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −2.6%. Net debt stands at 11.1M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.8400 (bear case) to ¥1.44 (bull case); at ¥9.57, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −88%, 002883 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥3.67) versus Multiples (¥1.84). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Jiangsu Zhongshe Group Co., Ltd. provides engineering design consulting and general contracting services in the field of transportation, municipal administration, construction, and environment in China.
Full company description
Jiangsu Zhongshe Group Co., Ltd. provides engineering design consulting and general contracting services in the field of transportation, municipal administration, construction, and environment in China. The company engages in the comprehensive transportation planning for regions and cities; special transportation planning for highways, water transportation, passenger and freight hubs, ports, logistics, etc.; planning and design of transportation organization; and design, consultation, supervision, survey, test and inspection, project management, and general contracting of highways, bridges, tunnels, ports, waterways, traffic safety facilities, tracks, water supply, drainage, lighting, intelligent transportation, and other projects. It is also involved in the planning of urban express road network, public transportation, parking lots, and intelligent transportation; planning and design of urban furniture, transportation hubs, urban complexes, and urban renewal; and construction of small towns and stations. In addition, the company offers architectural engineering design, survey, supervision, test and inspection, project management, and general contracting services. Further, it engages in the planning, design, supervision, and livable city, sponge city, wetland park, landscape, sewage treatment, river treatment, garbage treatment, solid waste, hazardous waste treatment, soil treatment, and other activities. The company was formerly known as Wuxi Traffic Planning and Design Research Institute. Jiangsu Zhongshe Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Wuxi, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangsu Zhongshe Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 370M CNY in FY2025 versus 606M CNY in FY2021, a compound −11.6%/yr. Reported net income was −27.4M CNY in FY2025.
of which total revenue +19.1 % · buybacks/dilution −4.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
002883 screens 740% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 836 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quanta Services, Inc PWR | $616.73 | $143.92 | −77% |
| Vinci SA DG | €114.35 | €185.62 | +62% |
| Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX | $1,615 | $519.97 | −68% |
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹4,072 | ₹2,196 | −46% |
| Ferrovial N.V FER | €57.28 | €19.17 | −67% |
| HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT | €426.40 | €203.87 | −52% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 357,500 KRW | 261,411 KRW | −27% |
| EMCOR Group EME | $775.04 | $549.47 | −29% |
| MasTec, Inc MTZ | $241.00 | $100.00 | −59% |
| Bouygues SA EN | €46.65 | €65.67 | +41% |
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