Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A ¥7.32, price ¥16.98, upside -56.9%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.56 – ¥24.79 · fair‑value band ¥3.97 – ¥10.28 · the ¥16.98 price screens above the ¥7.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co.,Ltd does not have significant operations. Previously, the company was engaged in the research and development, production, and sale of cigarette labels and packaging printed materials. It plans to operate business through asset restructuring or new business expansion.
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Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co.,Ltd does not have significant operations. Previously, the company was engaged in the research and development, production, and sale of cigarette labels and packaging printed materials. It plans to operate business through asset restructuring or new business expansion. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Chengdu, China. Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co.,Ltd operates as a subsidiary of Elegant Time Holdings Limited.
Stock analysis
Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951) currently trades at ¥16.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.32, implying the stock looks roughly 132.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of ¥6.33 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the ¥16.98 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.53, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥3.97 (bear) to ¥10.28 (bull), the price of ¥16.98 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A reported revenue of 431M CNY in FY2025 versus 387M CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was −238M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 6.9B CNY (≈ $1.0B) · P/S ratio 16.1 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.5600 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin −55.2% · Return on equity −12.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.4% · Operating margin −64.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −57%, 002951 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥3.97Fair Value ¥7.32Bull ¥10.28
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.6% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
35.4% (2020) → −10.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside−55% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−53% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−64% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−13% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.64× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)2.31× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 3
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)59· sector 46
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002951
Frequently asked questions
Is Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.32 versus a price of ¥16.98, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002951?
Our model-based fair value for Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A is ¥7.32 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥16.98.
What is the quality score of 002951?
Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥7.32 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.97, optimistic scenario ¥10.28. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥7.32, about −57% upside versus a price of ¥16.98 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.97, optimistic scenario ¥10.28. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951)?
Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 426M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A pay a dividend?
Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.93% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A it is ¥7.32 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥16.98. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002951 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥16.98, fair value ¥7.32, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002951?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥16.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥7.32). For Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A the two are ¥9.66 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A worth?
The market values Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A at about 6.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥16.98; our models calculate a fair value of ¥7.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002951?
Our models span a range for Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A: cautious scenario ¥3.97, base ¥7.32, optimistic ¥10.28 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥16.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −12.7%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002951 from its 52-week high?
Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A trades at ¥16.98, about 32% below its 52-week high of ¥24.79 and 52% above the low of ¥11.19 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥7.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥16.98, calculated fair value ¥7.32 (−57%), Quality Score 54/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002951 calculated?
We run Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥7.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥16.98. Our model-based fair value is ¥7.32, about −57% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥10.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥3.97 to ¥10.28) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A
How large is the market capitalisation of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951)?
The market capitalisation of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A is 6.9B CNY (≈ $1.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A is 16.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951)?
Earnings per share at Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A are ¥−0.5600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951)?
The dividend yield of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A is 2.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951)?
The net margin of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A is −55.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A is −12.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A is −0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951)?
The operating margin of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A is −64.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951)?
Revenue at Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A is growing −13.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +32.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951)?
Earnings per share at Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A are growing −83.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951) generate?
The free cash flow of Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A is −415M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A (002951) hold?
Sichuan Jinshi Technology Co Ltd Class A holds more cash than debt, 185M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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