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Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology ¥11.84, price ¥12.80, upside -7.5%, quality 19 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · CN · ISIN CNE100003ST1

HY Some data Sep 24, 2026

Hunan Yussen Energy Technology

002986 · SHE

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value ¥11.84 · Fairly valued (−8%)
!Quality 19/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +28.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.6% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 23 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥22.72 ¥9.48 Fair Value ¥11.84 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.48 – ¥22.72 · fair‑value band ¥5.14 – ¥18.56 · the ¥12.80 price screens above the ¥11.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Guangdong Yussen Energy Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, and production of organic chemical products in China. The company offers methyl tert-butyl ether, isooctane, isopropanol, sec-butyl acetate, butanone, isopropyl alcohol, and maleic anhydride, and other products.

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Guangdong Yussen Energy Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, and production of organic chemical products in China. The company offers methyl tert-butyl ether, isooctane, isopropanol, sec-butyl acetate, butanone, isopropyl alcohol, and maleic anhydride, and other products. It also provides copper-based catalyst, catalyst for butane based maleic anhydride, and other chemical products. The company was formerly known as Hunan Yussen Energy Technology Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Guangdong Yussen Energy Technology Co., Ltd. in January 2024. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Huizhou, China.

Stock analysis

Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986) currently trades at ¥12.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.84, implying the stock looks roughly 8.1% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥9.13 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the ¥12.80 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥6.79, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥5.14 (bear) to ¥18.56 (bull), the price of ¥12.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Hunan Yussen Energy Technology reported revenue of 8.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +26.3%/yr. Reported net income was −39.2M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 4.9B CNY (≈ $726M) · P/S ratio 0.50 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.3500 · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity −3.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4% · Operating margin −1.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −8%, 002986 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥5.14 Fair Value ¥11.84 Bull ¥18.56
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥4.28 ¥7.71 ¥10.61 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥4.28 ¥7.04 ¥8.23 67
EV/EBITDA ¥5.78 ¥9.13 ¥12.49 66
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥4.28 ¥7.71 ¥10.61 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥4.28 ¥7.04 ¥8.23 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥5.78 ¥9.13 ¥12.49 66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.07 ¥6.79 ¥10.13 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 19/100

Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 17
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 43
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.8% (2020) → 1.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Hunan Yussen Energy Technology with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 352 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 19 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 19% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.69× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.19× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.09× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 5.9× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)23 · sector 1
FUTURE (revenue growth)96 · sector 23
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)66 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)99 · sector 32

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BAS €51.79 €23.76 −54%
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 47.90 SAR 24.66 SAR −49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥23.21 ¥40.44 +74%
Dow Inc DOW $28.65 $21.03 −27%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥34.61 ¥19.88 −43%
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥13.13 ¥2.90 −78%
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥73.50 ¥80.85 +10%
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥16.54 ¥43.28 +162%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 252,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +133%
Sinoma Science & Technology Co 002080 ¥62.50 ¥21.98 −65%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hunan Yussen Energy Technology Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002986

Frequently asked questions

Is Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.84 versus a price of ¥12.80, about −8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 002986?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan Yussen Energy Technology is ¥11.84 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥12.80.
What is the quality score of 002986?
Hunan Yussen Energy Technology has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥11.84 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.14, optimistic scenario ¥18.56. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hunan Yussen Energy Technology stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥11.84, about −8% upside versus a price of ¥12.80 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥5.14, optimistic scenario ¥18.56. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986)?
Hunan Yussen Energy Technology reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Hunan Yussen Energy Technology pay a dividend?
Hunan Yussen Energy Technology currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.94% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hunan Yussen Energy Technology it is ¥11.84 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥12.80. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hunan Yussen Energy Technology stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002986 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥12.80, fair value ¥11.84, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002986?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥12.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥11.84). For Hunan Yussen Energy Technology the two are ¥0.9600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hunan Yussen Energy Technology worth?
The market values Hunan Yussen Energy Technology at about 4.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥12.80; our models calculate a fair value of ¥11.84 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002986?
Our models span a range for Hunan Yussen Energy Technology: cautious scenario ¥5.14, base ¥11.84, optimistic ¥18.56 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥12.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −3.5%, debt of 0.69 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 19/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002986 from its 52-week high?
Hunan Yussen Energy Technology trades at ¥12.80, about 28% below its 52-week high of ¥17.68 and 24% above the low of ¥10.32 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥11.84 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hunan Yussen Energy Technology?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hunan Yussen Energy Technology stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥12.80, calculated fair value ¥11.84 (−8%), Quality Score 19/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002986 calculated?
We run Hunan Yussen Energy Technology through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥11.84, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Hunan Yussen Energy Technology itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥12.80. Our model-based fair value is ¥11.84, about −8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hunan Yussen Energy Technology right now?
The model range is unusually wide (¥5.14 to ¥18.56). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.

Key figures of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology

How large is the market capitalisation of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986)?
The market capitalisation of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology is 4.9B CNY (≈ $726M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology is 0.50 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986)?
Earnings per share at Hunan Yussen Energy Technology are ¥−0.3500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986)?
The dividend yield of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology is 4.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986)?
The net margin of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology is −0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology is −3.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986)?
The operating margin of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology is −1.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986)?
Revenue at Hunan Yussen Energy Technology is growing +19.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986)?
Earnings per share at Hunan Yussen Energy Technology are growing −48.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986) generate?
The free cash flow of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology is −983M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hunan Yussen Energy Technology (002986) carry?
The net debt of Hunan Yussen Energy Technology is 2.8B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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