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Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co (003006) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 6.7B CNY

CB Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co 003006 · SHE
Price¥14.18
Fair Value¥18.31
Upside+29.1%
Quality65/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 6.2% net margin
generates free cash flow
2.47% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: High Range ¥9.61 – ¥22.88 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥10.17 to ¥18.31 (+80.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −2.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 29% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥9.61 to ¥22.88) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥32.45 ¥7.74 Fair Value ¥18.31 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.74 – ¥32.45 · fair‑value band ¥9.61 – ¥22.88 · the ¥14.18 price screens below the ¥18.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co (003006) currently trades at ¥14.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥18.31, implying the stock looks roughly 29.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co generated revenue of 3.6B CNY at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue grew 6.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 390M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.61 (bear case) to ¥22.88 (bull case); at ¥14.18, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 29%, 003006 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥3.25 ¥3.92 ¥7.14 76
Growth DCF ¥2.72 ¥4.64 ¥7.55 72
Gordon GGM ¥4.83 ¥9.62 ¥14.56 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.78 ¥4.44 ¥8.50 38
Owner Earnings ¥6.06 ¥11.35 ¥21.17 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.10 ¥9.82 ¥16.72 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.51 ¥12.96 ¥21.67 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥6.33 ¥12.55 ¥20.24 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.12 ¥8.37 ¥15.85 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.26 ¥10.72 ¥20.20 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥5.14 ¥10.41 ¥18.95 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.29 ¥19.32 ¥26.90 54
Lynch FV ¥5.48 ¥7.82 ¥10.17 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.48 ¥7.82 ¥10.17 46
EPV ¥4.98 ¥5.66 ¥6.24 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥4.83 ¥9.62 ¥14.56 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥4.83 ¥8.31 ¥10.15 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.62 ¥10.17 ¥12.71 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.17 ¥8.23 ¥10.29 58
P/B Multiple ¥6.17 ¥8.23 ¥10.29 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.22 ¥10.73 ¥13.23 53
EV/EBITDA ¥8.63 ¥11.26 ¥13.89 54
EV/Revenue ¥6.08 ¥8.37 ¥10.67 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.67 ¥2.23 ¥3.33 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.72 ¥4.64 ¥7.55 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.10 ¥9.56 ¥15.79 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.25 ¥3.92 ¥7.14 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.75 ¥7.81 ¥10.68 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥8.04 ¥11.48 ¥14.93 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥11.48) versus Asset-Based (¥2.23). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.0%
Net margin 6.2%
Return on equity 14.0%
Free cash flow 65.2M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 30.4
More key figures
Operating margin 15.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5100
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +10.0%
Net cash 390M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 71
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of disposable personal hygiene products in China. The company offers sanitary napkins, panty liners, baby diapers, and adult incontinence products under the Free Point, Haozhi, and Danning brands. It also provides business management consulting services.

Full company description

Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of disposable personal hygiene products in China. The company offers sanitary napkins, panty liners, baby diapers, and adult incontinence products under the Free Point, Haozhi, and Danning brands. It also provides business management consulting services. The company sells its products to distributors, OEM clients, shopping malls, and supermarkets, as well as through e-commerce platforms. Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co., Ltd. was founded in 2010 and is based in Chongqing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co reported revenue of ¥3.5B in FY2025 versus ¥1.5B in FY2021, a compound +24.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥208M in FY2025, compounding −2.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+29.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+22.8%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+14.2%
Revenue +24.3%/yr
FY21 ¥1.5B
FY22 ¥1.6B
FY23 ¥2.1B
FY24 ¥3.3B
FY25 ¥3.5B
Net income −2.3%/yr
FY21 ¥228M
FY22 ¥187M
FY23 ¥238M
FY24 ¥288M
FY25 ¥208M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/003006

Peer Group

Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Above median
Fair Value upside +29% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.65× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.87× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 15.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 18.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 72 · sector 28
FUTURE 30 · sector 4
PAST 56 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 49 · sector 50

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Procter & Gamble Company PG $146.80 $108.16 -26%
Unilever PLC ULN 1,080 MXN 1,273 MXN +18%
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹2,144 ₹1,000 -53%
Essity AB ESSITYA kr 279.00 kr 250.02 -10%
Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP ₹1,088 ₹367.64 -66%
Marico Limited MARICO ₹846.75 ₹233.05 -72%
APR Co 278470 375,000 KRW 151,222 KRW -60%
Dabur India Limited DABUR ₹429.45 ₹181.60 -58%
Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA 38.07 MXN 50.09 MXN +32%
PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR 1,730 IDR 1,934 IDR +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co (003006) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥18.31 versus a price of ¥14.18, about +29% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 003006?
Our model-based fair value for Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co is ¥18.31 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥14.18.
What is the quality score of 003006?
Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co (003006)?
Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 003006?
The net profit margin of Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co is about 6.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co pay a dividend?
Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.47% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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