Guangdong Dongpeng Holdings (003012) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥8.20 to ¥6.39 (−22.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +2.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 38% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥4.79). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.36 – ¥19.55 · fair‑value band ¥4.79 – ¥7.99 · the ¥4.64 price screens below the ¥6.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Guangdong Dongpeng Holdings (003012) currently trades at ¥4.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.39, implying the stock looks roughly 37.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Dongpeng Holdings generated revenue of 5.9B CNY at a net margin of 5.7%. Revenue declined 18.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.79 (bear case) to ¥7.99 (bull case); at ¥4.64, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 38%, 003012 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥8.20) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.39). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Guangdong Dongpeng Holdings Co.,Ltd. manufactures and sells ceramic and porcelain tiles and bathroom products in China and internationally. It offers tiles, clay and stone products, and bathroom solutions. The company provides its services to distributors, developers, contractors, and designers and architects. Guangdong Dongpeng Holdings Co.,Ltd.
Full company description
Guangdong Dongpeng Holdings Co.,Ltd. manufactures and sells ceramic and porcelain tiles and bathroom products in China and internationally. It offers tiles, clay and stone products, and bathroom solutions. The company provides its services to distributors, developers, contractors, and designers and architects. Guangdong Dongpeng Holdings Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Foshan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangdong Dongpeng Holdings reported revenue of ¥6.1B in FY2025 versus ¥8.0B in FY2021, a compound −6.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥352M in FY2025, compounding +23.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $469.98 | $212.34 | -55% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $142.81 | $45.65 | -68% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $68.61 | $17.35 | -75% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €76.62 | €101.60 | +33% |
| Geberit AG GEBN | CHF 523.20 | CHF 307.66 | -41% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $543.93 | $363.09 | -33% |
| Kingspan Group KRX | €87.30 | €70.76 | -19% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | $78.04 | $54.36 | -30% |
| PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC | 1,420 IDR | 179.76 IDR | -87% |
| NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB | kr 36.03 | kr 25.37 | -30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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