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Chengdu Rainbow Appliance (Group) Shares Co (003023) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 2.3B CNY

CR Chengdu Rainbow Appliance (Group) Shares Co 003023 · SHE
Price¥23.95
Fair Value¥11.83
Upside-50.6%
Quality55/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.4% net margin
negative free cash flow
1.59% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: High Range ¥9.52 – ¥13.29 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +25.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥13.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥38.87 ¥11.77 Fair Value ¥11.83 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥11.77 – ¥38.87 · fair‑value band ¥9.52 – ¥13.29 · the ¥23.95 price screens above the ¥11.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Chengdu Rainbow Appliance (Group) Shares Co (003023) currently trades at ¥23.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.83, implying the stock looks roughly 50.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chengdu Rainbow Appliance (Group) Shares Co generated revenue of 1.2B CNY at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue grew 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 898M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.52 (bear case) to ¥13.29 (bull case); at ¥23.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -51%, 003023 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥11.03 ¥11.00 ¥9.90 76
Gordon GGM ¥3.52 ¥4.56 ¥5.60 70
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.73 ¥9.62 ¥12.50 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥15.56 ¥18.00 ¥22.15 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.11 ¥7.43 ¥9.18 54
EPV ¥13.11 ¥13.85 ¥14.48 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.52 ¥4.56 ¥5.60 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.52 ¥4.74 ¥6.15 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥9.52 ¥12.69 ¥15.87 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.71 ¥10.28 ¥12.84 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.71 ¥10.28 ¥12.84 55
EV/EBIT ¥17.03 ¥19.89 ¥22.74 53
EV/EBITDA ¥18.35 ¥21.64 ¥24.93 54
EV/Revenue ¥14.58 ¥17.20 ¥19.82 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥7.44 ¥9.97 ¥14.88 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥11.03 ¥11.00 ¥9.90 76
ROIC Compounder ¥13.11 ¥13.85 ¥14.48 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.73 ¥9.62 ¥12.50 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥18.00) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.56). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.5%
Net margin 4.4%
Return on equity 3.5%
Free cash flow −67.0M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 45.2
More key figures
Operating margin 8.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4900
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -38.7%
Net cash 898M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chengdu Rainbow Appliance (Group) Shares Co., Ltd. manufacture and sells flexible electric heating blankets in China. The company offers electric blanket, heated overblanket, electric heating pad, and electric feet warmer. The company was founded in 1982 and is based in Chengdu, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chengdu Rainbow Appliance (Group) Shares Co reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥1.1B in FY2021, a compound +0.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥63.7M in FY2025, compounding −12.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 22/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.1B CNY
Latest YoY
−12.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.8%
Revenue +0.0%/yr
FY21 ¥1.1B
FY22 ¥1.2B
FY23 ¥1.3B
FY24 ¥1.3B
FY25 ¥1.1B
Net income −12.9%/yr
FY21 ¥111M
FY22 ¥94.7M
FY23 ¥104M
FY24 ¥110M
FY25 ¥63.7M

003023 screens 51% overvalued. Compare with The Procter & Gamble Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chengdu Rainbow Appliance (Group) Shares Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/003023

Peer Group

Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside −51% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 45.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.49× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.00× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 16.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 28
FUTURE 38 · sector 4
PAST 14 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 32 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Procter & Gamble Company PG $146.80 $108.16 -26%
Unilever PLC ULN 1,080 MXN 1,273 MXN +18%
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹2,144 ₹1,000 -53%
Essity AB ESSITYA kr 279.00 kr 250.02 -10%
Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP ₹1,088 ₹367.64 -66%
Marico Limited MARICO ₹846.75 ₹233.05 -72%
APR Co 278470 375,000 KRW 151,222 KRW -60%
Dabur India Limited DABUR ₹429.45 ₹181.60 -58%
Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA 38.07 MXN 50.09 MXN +32%
PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR 1,730 IDR 1,934 IDR +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chengdu Rainbow Appliance (Group) Shares Co (003023) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.83 versus a price of ¥23.95, about −51% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 003023?
Our model-based fair value for Chengdu Rainbow Appliance (Group) Shares Co is ¥11.83 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥23.95.
What is the quality score of 003023?
Chengdu Rainbow Appliance (Group) Shares Co has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chengdu Rainbow Appliance (Group) Shares Co (003023)?
Chengdu Rainbow Appliance (Group) Shares Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 003023?
The net profit margin of Chengdu Rainbow Appliance (Group) Shares Co is about 4.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Chengdu Rainbow Appliance (Group) Shares Co pay a dividend?
Chengdu Rainbow Appliance (Group) Shares Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.59% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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