NPC Co. Ltd (004250) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of NPC Co. Ltd stock KRW 5,681, price KRW 2,505, upside +126.8%, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2,440 KRW – 10,911 KRW · fair‑value band 4,261 KRW – 7,746 KRW · the 2,505 KRW price screens below the 5,681 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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NPC Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells plastic products in South Korea. Its products include containers, pallets, chairs and desks, recycling bins, sheets, reversetap, and cups. The company was formerly known as National Plastic Co., Ltd. and changed its name to NPC Co., Ltd. in March 2010.
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NPC Co., Ltd. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Ansan-si, South Korea.
Stock analysis
NPC Co. Ltd (004250) currently trades at 2,505 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5,681 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 56% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 8,919 KRW per share, and 12 of the 15 models we run sit above the 2,505 KRW price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1,229 KRW, and 3 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 4,261 KRW (bear) to 7,746 KRW (bull), the price of 2,505 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
NPC Co. Ltd reported revenue of 450B KRW in FY2025 versus 487B KRW in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 12.9B KRW in FY2025, compounding −16.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 95.5B KRW (≈ $70.6M) Micro · P/E ratio 8.0 · P/S ratio 0.21 · EPS (TTM) 325.38 KRW · Dividend yield 4.2% · Net margin 3.4% · Return on equity 3.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 127%, 004250 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear4,261 KRWFair Value 5,681 KRWBull7,746 KRW
Price 2,505 KRW · Upside +126.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (188.99 KRW per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income8,366 KRW8,587 KRW9,113 KRW76
EPV5,208 KRW5,820 KRW6,323 KRW74
ROIC Compounder5,208 KRW5,820 KRW6,323 KRW72
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd2,673 KRW5,735 KRW7,285 KRW66
PEG = 1.0883.37 KRW1,262 KRW1,641 KRW57
EPV5,208 KRW5,820 KRW6,323 KRW74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM898.48 KRW1,257 KRW1,577 KRW69
DDM Multi-Stage898.48 KRW1,200 KRW1,487 KRW67
Multiples
P/E Multiple5,012 KRW6,683 KRW8,354 KRW63
P/S Multiple5,012 KRW6,683 KRW8,354 KRW58
P/B Multiple5,879 KRW7,838 KRW9,798 KRW55
EV/EBIT4,895 KRW7,385 KRW9,874 KRW65
EV/EBITDA12,854 KRW17,996 KRW23,138 KRW67
EV/Revenue3,900 KRW6,673 KRW9,447 KRW52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)6,656 KRW8,919 KRW13,312 KRW54
Economic Profit
Residual Income8,366 KRW8,587 KRW9,113 KRW76
ROIC Compounder5,208 KRW5,820 KRW6,323 KRW72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E3,750 KRW5,357 KRW6,964 KRW67
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.13/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.8% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+5.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−8.0% vs −9.9%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 5%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 261 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+126.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)3.5% · Below median
Return on assets2.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)3.4% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)6.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)2.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)4.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
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Is NPC Co. Ltd (004250) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5,681 KRW versus a price of 2,505 KRW, about +127% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 004250?
Our model-based fair value for NPC Co. Ltd is 5,681 KRW (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2,505 KRW.
What is the quality score of 004250?
NPC Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 5,681 KRW (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4,261 KRW, optimistic scenario 7,746 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NPC Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 5,681 KRW, about +127% upside versus a price of 2,505 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 4,261 KRW, optimistic scenario 7,746 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
NPC Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 463B KRW (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does NPC Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
NPC Co. Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 4.19% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of NPC Co. Ltd (004250) and when is the ex-dividend date?
NPC Co. Ltd pays a dividend of 105.00 KRW per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Dec 29, 2025. A dividend has been paid every year since 2000. The payout ratio is 32.3% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NPC Co. Ltd it is 5,681 KRW per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 2,505 KRW. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is NPC Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 004250 trades below its calculated fair value: price 2,505 KRW, fair value 5,681 KRW, a gap of about +127% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 004250?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2,505 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (5,681 KRW). For NPC Co. Ltd the two are 3,176 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NPC Co. Ltd worth?
The market values NPC Co. Ltd at about 95.5B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 2,505 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 5,681 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 004250?
Our models span a range for NPC Co. Ltd: cautious scenario 4,261 KRW, base 5,681 KRW, optimistic 7,746 KRW per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 2,505 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 004250?
NPC Co. Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 5,681 KRW is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 9.1. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 1.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
Balance-sheet figures for NPC Co. Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 3.5%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 004250 from its 52-week high?
NPC Co. Ltd trades at 2,505 KRW, about 38% below its 52-week high of 4,070 KRW and 3% above the low of 2,440 KRW (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 5,681 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NPC Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NPC Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 2,505 KRW, calculated fair value 5,681 KRW (+127%), Quality Score 34/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 004250 calculated?
We run NPC Co. Ltd through 15 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 5,681 KRW builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. NPC Co. Ltd currently trades 56% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 2,505 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 5,681 KRW, about +127% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NPC Co. Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (4,261 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (4,261 KRW to 7,746 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of NPC Co. Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
The market capitalisation of NPC Co. Ltd is 95.5B KRW (≈ $70.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NPC Co. Ltd is 0.21 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
Earnings per share at NPC Co. Ltd are 325.38 KRW (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
The dividend yield of NPC Co. Ltd is 4.2% (payout 32.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
The net margin of NPC Co. Ltd is 3.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NPC Co. Ltd is 3.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NPC Co. Ltd is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
The operating margin of NPC Co. Ltd is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
Revenue at NPC Co. Ltd is growing +2.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
Earnings per share at NPC Co. Ltd are growing −10.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does NPC Co. Ltd (004250) generate?
The free cash flow of NPC Co. Ltd is −44.3B KRW (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does NPC Co. Ltd (004250) carry?
The net debt of NPC Co. Ltd is 84.7B KRW (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 7, 2026