NPC Co. Ltd (004250) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of NPC Co. Ltd KRW 5,681, price KRW 2,835, upside +100.4%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2,690 KRW – 10,911 KRW · fair‑value band 4,261 KRW – 5,920 KRW · the 2,835 KRW price screens below the 5,681 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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NPC Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells plastic products in South Korea. Its products include containers, pallets, chairs and desks, recycling bins, sheets, reversetap, and cups. The company was formerly known as National Plastic Co., Ltd. and changed its name to NPC Co., Ltd. in March 2010. NPC Co., Ltd.
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NPC Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells plastic products in South Korea. Its products include containers, pallets, chairs and desks, recycling bins, sheets, reversetap, and cups. The company was formerly known as National Plastic Co., Ltd. and changed its name to NPC Co., Ltd. in March 2010. NPC Co., Ltd. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Ansan-si, South Korea.
Stock analysis
NPC Co. Ltd (004250) currently trades at 2,835 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5,681 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 50.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 9,149 KRW per share, and 12 of the 13 models we run sit above the 2,835 KRW price.
Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at 5,357 KRW, and 1 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 4,261 KRW (bear) to 5,920 KRW (bull), the price of 2,835 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
NPC Co. Ltd reported revenue of 450B KRW in FY2025 versus 487B KRW in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 12.9B KRW in FY2025, compounding −16.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 108B KRW (≈ $79.4M) · P/S ratio 0.24 · Dividend yield 3.7% · Net margin 2.9% · Return on equity 3.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2% · Operating margin 5.7% · Revenue (TTM) 461B KRW.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at 100%, 004250 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 4,261 KRWFair Value 5,681 KRWBull 5,920 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.13/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.8% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+5.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 5%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
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Is NPC Co. Ltd (004250) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5,681 KRW versus a price of 2,835 KRW, about +100% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 004250?
Our model-based fair value for NPC Co. Ltd is 5,681 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2,835 KRW.
What is the quality score of 004250?
NPC Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 5,681 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4,261 KRW, optimistic scenario 5,920 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NPC Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 5,681 KRW, about +100% upside versus a price of 2,835 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 4,261 KRW, optimistic scenario 5,920 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
NPC Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 461B KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does NPC Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
NPC Co. Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.70% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NPC Co. Ltd it is 5,681 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 2,835 KRW. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NPC Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 004250 trades below its calculated fair value: price 2,835 KRW, fair value 5,681 KRW, a gap of about +100% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 004250?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2,835 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (5,681 KRW). For NPC Co. Ltd the two are 2,846 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NPC Co. Ltd worth?
The market values NPC Co. Ltd at about 108B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 2,835 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 5,681 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 004250?
Our models span a range for NPC Co. Ltd: cautious scenario 4,261 KRW, base 5,681 KRW, optimistic 5,920 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 2,835 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
Balance-sheet figures for NPC Co. Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.5%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 004250 from its 52-week high?
NPC Co. Ltd trades at 2,835 KRW, about 33% below its 52-week high of 4,251 KRW and 5% above the low of 2,690 KRW (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 5,681 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NPC Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NPC Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 2,835 KRW, calculated fair value 5,681 KRW (+100%), Quality Score 35/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 004250 calculated?
We run NPC Co. Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 5,681 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. NPC Co. Ltd currently trades 100 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 2,835 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 5,681 KRW, about +100% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NPC Co. Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (4,261 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of NPC Co. Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
The market capitalisation of NPC Co. Ltd is 108B KRW (≈ $79.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NPC Co. Ltd is 0.24 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
The dividend yield of NPC Co. Ltd is 3.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
The net margin of NPC Co. Ltd is 2.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NPC Co. Ltd is 3.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NPC Co. Ltd is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
The operating margin of NPC Co. Ltd is 5.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
Revenue at NPC Co. Ltd is growing +10.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NPC Co. Ltd (004250)?
Earnings per share at NPC Co. Ltd are growing +127% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does NPC Co. Ltd (004250) generate?
The free cash flow of NPC Co. Ltd is −44.3B KRW (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does NPC Co. Ltd (004250) carry?
The net debt of NPC Co. Ltd is 84.7B KRW (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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