NPC Co (004250) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · KR · Market cap 111B KRW
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price −4.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 93% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (4,261 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2,740 KRW – 10,911 KRW · fair‑value band 4,261 KRW – 7,101 KRW · the 2,945 KRW price screens below the 5,681 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
NPC Co (004250) currently trades at 2,945 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5,681 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 92.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, NPC Co generated revenue of 461B KRW at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue grew 10.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.5%. Net debt stands at 84.7B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 4,261 KRW (bear case) to 7,101 KRW (bull case); at 2,945 KRW, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 93%, 004250 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (9,149 KRW) versus Earnings-Based (2,225 KRW). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
NPC Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells plastic products in South Korea. Its products include containers, pallets, chairs and desks, recycling bins, sheets, reversetap, and cups. The company was formerly known as National Plastic Co., Ltd. and changed its name to NPC Co., Ltd. in March 2010. NPC Co., Ltd.
Full company description
NPC Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells plastic products in South Korea. Its products include containers, pallets, chairs and desks, recycling bins, sheets, reversetap, and cups. The company was formerly known as National Plastic Co., Ltd. and changed its name to NPC Co., Ltd. in March 2010. NPC Co., Ltd. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Ansan-si, South Korea.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
NPC Co reported revenue of 450B KRW in FY2025 versus 487B KRW in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 12.9B KRW in FY2025, compounding −16.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 101.90 | kr 126.39 | +24% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥29.10 | ¥20.88 | -28% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 29.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -44% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 2,850 TWD | 661.69 TWD | -77% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,194 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 132.50 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -4% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹206.82 | ₹161.42 | -22% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹222.25 | ₹111.65 | -50% |
| Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 | 15.15 TWD | 23.17 TWD | +53% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 19,330 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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