Samhwa Crown (004450) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Samhwa Crown stock KRW 38,809, price KRW 25,600, upside +51.6%, quality 54 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 23,923 KRW – 48,230 KRW · fair‑value band 28,962 KRW – 47,561 KRW · the 25,600 KRW price screens below the 38,809 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 3, 2026.
Follow Samhwa Crown in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Samhwa Crown is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Samhwa Crown & Closure Co., Ltd manufactures and sells bottle caps used in the packaging of beverages, alcohol, and food in South Korea and internationally. It offers crown, roll on pilfer proof, plastic, white, press on twist off, and injection caps.
Show moreShow less
The company also provides metal printing services for caps. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Stock analysis
Samhwa Crown (004450) currently trades at 25,600 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 38,809 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 34% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 63,030 KRW per share, and 18 of the 25 models we run sit above the 25,600 KRW price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 17,330 KRW, and 7 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 28,962 KRW (bear) to 47,561 KRW (bull), the price of 25,600 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Samhwa Crown reported revenue of 163B KRW in FY2025 versus 150B KRW in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was 4.3B KRW in FY2025, compounding +31.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 49.2B KRW (≈ $36.4M) Micro · P/E ratio 10.0 · P/S ratio 0.30 · EPS (TTM) 2,589 KRW · Dividend yield 4.7% · Net margin 3.0% · Return on equity 4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 52%, 004450 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear28,962 KRWFair Value 38,809 KRWBull47,561 KRW
Price 25,600 KRW · Upside +51.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1,191 KRW per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.53/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.3% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.7%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +28.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +23.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 23.8% / −7.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 4%
⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2020 (starting value 820 per share, median 5330 in 2016 to 2018). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.3%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (South Korea: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 261 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside+51.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)4.3% · Below median
Return on assets2.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)3.0% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)2.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)12.5% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)4.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.41× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Samhwa Crown Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/004450
Frequently asked questions
Is Samhwa Crown (004450) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 38,809 KRW versus a price of 25,600 KRW, about +52% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 004450?
Our model-based fair value for Samhwa Crown is 38,809 KRW (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 25,600 KRW.
What is the quality score of 004450?
Samhwa Crown has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Samhwa Crown (004450)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 38,809 KRW (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 28,962 KRW, optimistic scenario 47,561 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Samhwa Crown stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 38,809 KRW, about +52% upside versus a price of 25,600 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 28,962 KRW, optimistic scenario 47,561 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Samhwa Crown (004450)?
Samhwa Crown reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 166B KRW (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Samhwa Crown pay a dividend?
Samhwa Crown currently shows a dividend yield of 4.69% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Samhwa Crown (004450) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Samhwa Crown pays a dividend of 1,200 KRW per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 29, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1996. The payout ratio is 46.3% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 3.74 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Samhwa Crown (004450)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Samhwa Crown would have to grow free cash flow by -3.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.0 % per year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 004450 use?
Our models discount Samhwa Crown at 8.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.41, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Samhwa Crown that is -3.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Samhwa Crown (004450) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Samhwa Crown grew +3.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -3.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Samhwa Crown (004450) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Samhwa Crown (-3.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Samhwa Crown (004450)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 18.67 %: that much free cash flow Samhwa Crown produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Samhwa Crown (004450)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Samhwa Crown it is 38,809 KRW per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of 25,600 KRW. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Samhwa Crown stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, 004450 trades below its calculated fair value: price 25,600 KRW, fair value 38,809 KRW, a gap of about +52% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 004450?
No. The price is what the market pays today (25,600 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (38,809 KRW). For Samhwa Crown the two are 13,209 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Samhwa Crown worth?
The market values Samhwa Crown at about 49.2B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is 25,600 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 38,809 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 004450?
Our models span a range for Samhwa Crown: cautious scenario 28,962 KRW, base 38,809 KRW, optimistic 47,561 KRW per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price 25,600 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 004450?
Samhwa Crown trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.0 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 38,809 KRW is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 10.7. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 4.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Samhwa Crown (004450)?
Balance-sheet figures for Samhwa Crown (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 4.3%, debt of 0.41 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 004450 from its 52-week high?
Samhwa Crown trades at 25,600 KRW, about 22% below its 52-week high of 32,654 KRW and 7% above the low of 23,923 KRW (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 38,809 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Samhwa Crown?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Samhwa Crown stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price 25,600 KRW, calculated fair value 38,809 KRW (+52%), Quality Score 54/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 004450 calculated?
We run Samhwa Crown through 25 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 38,809 KRW builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Samhwa Crown currently trades 34% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Samhwa Crown (004450)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 25,600 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 38,809 KRW, about +52% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Samhwa Crown right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (28,962 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Samhwa Crown
How large is the market capitalisation of Samhwa Crown (004450)?
The market capitalisation of Samhwa Crown is 49.2B KRW (≈ $36.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Samhwa Crown (004450)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Samhwa Crown is 0.30 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Samhwa Crown (004450)?
Earnings per share at Samhwa Crown are 2,589 KRW (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Samhwa Crown (004450)?
The dividend yield of Samhwa Crown is 4.7% (payout 46.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Samhwa Crown (004450)?
The net margin of Samhwa Crown is 3.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Samhwa Crown (004450)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Samhwa Crown is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Samhwa Crown (004450)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Samhwa Crown is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Samhwa Crown (004450)?
The operating margin of Samhwa Crown is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Samhwa Crown (004450)?
Revenue at Samhwa Crown is growing +12.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Samhwa Crown (004450)?
Earnings per share at Samhwa Crown are growing −18.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Samhwa Crown (004450) carry?
The net debt of Samhwa Crown is 48.5B KRW (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Samhwa Crown in the live analysis
One click puts Samhwa Crown on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Broad data
Nov 3, 2026