Samhwa Crown & Closure Co (004450) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · KR · Market cap 48.4B KRW
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +2.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 45% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (28,537 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 24,400 KRW – 49,193 KRW · fair‑value band 28,537 KRW – 47,561 KRW · the 26,200 KRW price screens below the 38,049 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
Samhwa Crown & Closure Co (004450) currently trades at 26,200 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 38,049 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 45.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Samhwa Crown & Closure Co generated revenue of 110B KRW at a net margin of 9.3%. Revenue declined 5.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.2%. Net debt stands at 48.5B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 28,537 KRW (bear case) to 47,561 KRW (bull case); at 26,200 KRW, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 45%, 004450 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (41,866 KRW) versus Dividend Discount (15,496 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Samhwa Crown & Closure Co., Ltd manufactures and sells bottle caps used in the packaging of beverages, alcohol, and food in South Korea and internationally. It offers crown, roll on pilfer proof, plastic, white, press on twist off, and injection caps. The company also provides metal printing services for caps.
Full company description
Samhwa Crown & Closure Co., Ltd manufactures and sells bottle caps used in the packaging of beverages, alcohol, and food in South Korea and internationally. It offers crown, roll on pilfer proof, plastic, white, press on twist off, and injection caps. The company also provides metal printing services for caps. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Samhwa Crown & Closure Co reported revenue of 163B KRW in FY2025 versus 150B KRW in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was 4.3B KRW in FY2025, compounding +31.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 101.90 | kr 126.39 | +24% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥29.10 | ¥20.88 | -28% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 29.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -44% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 2,850 TWD | 661.69 TWD | -77% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,194 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 132.50 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -4% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹206.82 | ₹161.42 | -22% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹222.25 | ₹111.65 | -50% |
| Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 | 15.15 TWD | 23.17 TWD | +53% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 19,330 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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