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Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd (0078) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$360M (≈ $45.8M) · ISIN BMG7475M1626

What is Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd really worth?

RH Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd 0078 · HK
PriceHK$0.4500
Fair ValueHK$0.3278
Upside−27.2%
Quality55/100

A solid business, but trading 37% above our fair value of HK$0.3278.

As of Aug 21, 2026, the fair value of Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd is HK$0.3278 per share against a price of HK$0.4500, so the fair value sits 27% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +32.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -48.5% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Narrow moat 2/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range HK$0.1459 to HK$0.6368
!Weak on balance sheet: 6 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.1459 – HK$0.6368

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 21, 2026, revised from HK$0.3291 to HK$0.3278 (−0.4%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +5.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.1459 to HK$0.6368). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$4.25 HK$0.3750 Fair Value HK$0.3278 Jan 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.3750 – HK$4.25 · fair‑value band HK$0.1459 – HK$0.6368 · the HK$0.4500 price screens above the HK$0.3278 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd (0078) currently trades at HK$0.4500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3278, implying the stock looks roughly 37.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 12 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$2.5B at a net margin of −48.5%. Revenue grew 151.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −17.2%. Net debt stands at HK$15.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1459 (bear case) to HK$0.6368 (bull case); at HK$0.4500, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −61% fair-value upside, at −27%, 0078 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence HK$5.33 HK$13.35 HK$24.82 76
Growth DCF HK$5.26 HK$12.63 HK$22.67 74
5Y EBITDA Exit — HK$2.48 HK$6.37 72
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence HK$5.33 HK$13.35 HK$24.82 76
5Y Revenue Exit — HK$0.2000 HK$2.88 69
5Y EBITDA Exit — HK$2.48 HK$6.37 72
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.6500 HK$3.53 HK$7.11 61
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.41 HK$5.02 HK$9.65 63
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM — HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 67
DDM Multi-Stage — HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 65
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$2.70 HK$3.62 HK$5.41 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$5.26 HK$12.63 HK$22.67 74
Rev-Margin DCF — HK$0.4200 HK$3.59 69

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$3.62) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0100). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.15 TTM
EPS (TTM) HK$−0.8200
Dividend yield 0.1%
Net margin −43.5% FY2025
Return on equity −17.2% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −1.9% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin −10.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$2.5B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +152% 3y avg +14.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +72.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$1.3B FY2025
Net debt HK$15.9B FY2025 · ≈ 12.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Regal Hotels International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, owns, operates, and manages hotels in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and internationally.

Full company description

Regal Hotels International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, owns, operates, and manages hotels in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and internationally. The company operates through six segments: Hotel Operation and Management and Hotel Ownership; Asset Management; Property Development and Investment; Financial Assets Investments; Aircraft Ownership and Leasing; and Others. The company engages in the provision of hotel management services; and ownership of hotel properties for rental purpose. In addition, it invests in, sells, and rents properties; and offers property agency and management services. Further, the company is involved in the trade of financial assets and other financial assets investments and financing; aircraft ownership and leasing activities; sale of food products; operation and management of restaurants; and provision of housekeeping and related services. Additionally, it offers security and guarding, passenger, financing, nominee, property agency, estate agency and management, asset management, trademark and licenses holding, food and beverages, and room reservation services. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Regal Hotels International Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Paliburg Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$2.8B in FY2025 versus HK$987M in FY2021, a compound +29.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.2B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$2.8B
Latest YoY
+51.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+32.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (27Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.5%
EBIT margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−52.6% (2020) → −3.8% (2025)
Value creation/yr ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +29.3%/yr
FY21 HK$987M
FY22 HK$1.8B
FY23 HK$1.8B
FY24 HK$1.8B
FY25 HK$2.8B
Net income
FY21 −HK$494M
FY22 −HK$473M
FY23 −HK$1.8B
FY24 −HK$2.6B
FY25 −HK$1.2B

0078 screens 37% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0078.HK

Peer Group

Lodging · 165 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −27% · Above median
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −48% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −11% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 152% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.88× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 6.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 24
PAST0 · sector 12
HEALTH6 · sector 91
DIVIDEND3 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $341.76 $132.35 −61%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $314.35 $122.07 −61%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $161.82 $85.18 −47%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $178.37 $46.78 −74%
H World Group HTHT $45.77 $48.01 +5%
Accor SA AC €46.52 €36.87 −21%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹723.35 ₹253.67 −65%
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH $71.80 $23.55 −67%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 139,100 KRW 36,890 KRW −73%
Choice Hotels International, Inc CHH $105.54 $61.72 −42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd (0078) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3278 versus a price of HK$0.4500, about −27% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0078?
Our model-based fair value for Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd is HK$0.3278 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.4500.
What is the quality score of 0078?
Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd (0078)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3278 (as of Aug 21, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1459, optimistic scenario HK$0.6368. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3278, about −27% upside versus a price of HK$0.4500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1459, optimistic scenario HK$0.6368. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd (0078)?
Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0078?
The net profit margin of Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd is about −48.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.14% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 21, 2026).
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