Stelux Holdings (0084) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$70.5M
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price +1.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 58% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0490). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0430 – HK$0.1100 · fair‑value band HK$0.0286 – HK$0.0490 · the HK$0.0680 price screens above the HK$0.0286 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Stelux Holdings (0084) currently trades at HK$0.0680, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0286, implying the stock looks roughly 57.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Stelux Holdings generated revenue of HK$621M at a net margin of -7.6%. Revenue grew 3.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.1%. Net debt stands at HK$140M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0286 (bear case) to HK$0.0490 (bull case); at HK$0.0680, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -58%, 0084 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.5900) versus DCF Models (HK$0.2800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Stelux Holdings International Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading, wholesale and retail of watches in Hong Kong, Macau, Mainland China, the rest of Asia, and Europe.
Full company description
Stelux Holdings International Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading, wholesale and retail of watches in Hong Kong, Macau, Mainland China, the rest of Asia, and Europe. The company is involved in the distribution of clocks and watches, including the Seiko, Cyma, Credor, and Grand Seiko brands; watch supply chain management activities; manufacture of watch movement; and owning and operation of online stores under the Solvil et Titus and City Chain brands. It also engages in property investment, management, and agency activities; and holds and licenses trademarks. The company was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in San Po Kong, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Stelux Holdings reported revenue of HK$621M in FY2026 versus HK$693M in FY2022, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$47.2M in FY2026.
0084 screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Compagnie Financière Richemont SA →
Peer Group
Luxury Goods · 130 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR | CHF 197.40 | CHF 117.30 | -41% |
| Christian Dior SE DIO | €455.40 | €502.30 | +10% |
| Kering SA KER | €248.50 | €60.61 | -76% |
| Tapestry, Inc TPR | $140.73 | $19.95 | -86% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$11.82 | HK$12.28 | +4% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 40.95 | CHF 21.48 | -48% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$43.26 | HK$64.05 | +48% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 779.40 | kr 1,424 | +83% |
| Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC | €80.32 | €42.69 | -47% |
| Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL | ₹546.60 | ₹238.57 | -56% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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