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Dae Young Pkg (014160) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 16, 2026: fair value of Dae Young Pkg KRW 188, price KRW 655, upside -71.2%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · KR · ISIN KR7014160006

DY Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Dae Young Pkg

014160 · KO

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 188.39 KRW · Strongly overvalued (−71%)
!Quality 40/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
!Narrow moat 28/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 20 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

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Price vs Fair Value

3,530 KRW 640.00 KRW Fair Value 188.39 KRW Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 640.00 KRW – 3,530 KRW · fair‑value band 131.87 KRW – 244.91 KRW · the 655.00 KRW price screens above the 188.39 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

DAE YOUNG Packaging.Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of corrugated cardboard and cardboard boxes in South Korea. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Ansan-si, South Korea.

Stock analysis

Dae Young Pkg (014160) currently trades at 655.00 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 188.39 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 247.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 1,250 KRW per share, and 3 of the 12 models we run sit above the 655.00 KRW price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 122.02 KRW, and 9 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 131.87 KRW (bear) to 244.91 KRW (bull), the price of 655.00 KRW sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Dae Young Pkg reported revenue of 284B KRW in FY2025 versus 296B KRW in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.5B KRW in FY2025, compounding −37.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 67.5B KRW (≈ $47.3M) · P/S ratio 0.23 · Net margin 0.5% · Return on equity 5.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1% · Operating margin 3.7% · Revenue (TTM) 305B KRW · Revenue growth (YoY) −13.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −71%, 014160 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 131.87 KRW Fair Value 188.39 KRW Bull 244.91 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 110.97 KRW 122.02 KRW 131.55 KRW 74
ROIC Compounder 110.97 KRW 122.02 KRW 131.55 KRW 72
Residual Income 1,245 KRW 1,141 KRW 800.37 KRW 71
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 98.73 KRW 125.78 KRW 143.22 KRW 67
EPV 110.97 KRW 122.02 KRW 131.55 KRW 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 185.11 KRW 246.81 KRW 308.52 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 185.11 KRW 246.81 KRW 308.52 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 185.11 KRW 246.81 KRW 308.52 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 130.80 KRW 160.72 KRW 190.65 KRW 66
EV/EBITDA 701.18 KRW 921.23 KRW 1,141 KRW 67
EV/Revenue 118.82 KRW 152.17 KRW 185.52 KRW 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 932.49 KRW 1,250 KRW 1,865 KRW 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1,245 KRW 1,141 KRW 800.37 KRW 71
ROIC Compounder 110.97 KRW 122.02 KRW 131.55 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 131.87 KRW 188.39 KRW 244.91 KRW 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 28
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.5% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−31.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−31.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 0%

014160 screens 248% overvalued. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −14% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Below median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 3
PAST (return on equity)20 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 46

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $46.45 $29.84 −36%
Packaging Corporation PKG $240.98 $129.76 −46%
International Paper Company IP $35.70 $21.44 −40%
Ball Corporation BALL $59.97 $47.41 −21%
Crown Holdings CCK $109.64 $118.59 +8%
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $172.09 $123.89 −28%
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €10.95 €9.69 −12%
SIG Group SIGN CHF 13.47 CHF 9.54 −29%
Sonoco Products Company SON $50.69 $61.99 +22%
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc REYN $22.17 $20.00 −10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dae Young Pkg Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/014160

Frequently asked questions

Is Dae Young Pkg (014160) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 188.39 KRW versus the last price from Sep 16, 2026 of 655.00 KRW, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 014160?
Our model-based fair value for Dae Young Pkg is 188.39 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 16, 2026): 655.00 KRW.
What is the quality score of 014160?
Dae Young Pkg has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dae Young Pkg (014160)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 188.39 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 131.87 KRW, optimistic scenario 244.91 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dae Young Pkg stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 188.39 KRW, about −71% upside versus the last price from Sep 16, 2026 of 655.00 KRW (overvalued). Cautious scenario 131.87 KRW, optimistic scenario 244.91 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dae Young Pkg (014160)?
Dae Young Pkg reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 305B KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Dae Young Pkg (014160)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dae Young Pkg it is 188.39 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 655.00 KRW. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dae Young Pkg stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 014160 trades above its calculated fair value: price 655.00 KRW, fair value 188.39 KRW, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 014160?
No. The price is what the market pays today (655.00 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (188.39 KRW). For Dae Young Pkg the two are 466.61 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dae Young Pkg worth?
The market values Dae Young Pkg at about 67.5B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 655.00 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 188.39 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 014160?
Our models span a range for Dae Young Pkg: cautious scenario 131.87 KRW, base 188.39 KRW, optimistic 244.91 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 655.00 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dae Young Pkg (014160)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dae Young Pkg (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.0%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 014160 from its 52-week high?
Dae Young Pkg trades at 655.00 KRW, about 54% below its 52-week high of 1,409 KRW and 2% above the low of 640.00 KRW (as of Sep 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 188.39 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dae Young Pkg?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dae Young Pkg stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 655.00 KRW, calculated fair value 188.39 KRW (−71%), Quality Score 40/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 014160 calculated?
We run Dae Young Pkg through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 188.39 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Dae Young Pkg itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dae Young Pkg (014160)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 16, 2026 and stands at 655.00 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 188.39 KRW, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dae Young Pkg right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (244.91 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (131.87 KRW to 244.91 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Dae Young Pkg

How large is the market capitalisation of Dae Young Pkg (014160)?
The market capitalisation of Dae Young Pkg is 67.5B KRW (≈ $47.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dae Young Pkg (014160)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dae Young Pkg is 0.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Dae Young Pkg (014160)?
The net margin of Dae Young Pkg is 0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dae Young Pkg (014160)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dae Young Pkg is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dae Young Pkg (014160)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dae Young Pkg is 3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dae Young Pkg (014160)?
The operating margin of Dae Young Pkg is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dae Young Pkg (014160)?
Revenue at Dae Young Pkg is growing −13.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Dae Young Pkg (014160) generate?
The free cash flow of Dae Young Pkg is −21.1B KRW (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Dae Young Pkg (014160) carry?
The net debt of Dae Young Pkg is 13.4B KRW (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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