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China Chengtong Development Group Ltd (0217) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$816M (≈ $104M) · ISIN HK0217012357

What is China Chengtong Development Group Ltd really worth?

CC China Chengtong Development Group Ltd 0217 · HK
PriceHK$0.1180
Fair ValueHK$0.2800
Upside+137.3%
Quality36/100

Below-average quality, trading 58% below our fair value of HK$0.2800.

As of Aug 22, 2026, the fair value of China Chengtong Development Group Ltd is HK$0.2800 per share against a price of HK$0.1180, so the fair value sits 137% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −9.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.3% net margin
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 42/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 7 out of 100
!Weak on balance sheet: 20 out of 100

For context

·2.54% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.2000 – HK$0.2800

Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +0.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2000). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.2550 HK$0.0688 Fair Value HK$0.2800 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0688 – HK$0.2550 · fair‑value band HK$0.2000 – HK$0.2800 · the HK$0.1180 price screens below the HK$0.2800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

China Chengtong Development Group Ltd (0217) currently trades at HK$0.1180, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2800, implying the stock looks roughly 57.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$0.3700 per share, and 9 of the 11 models we run sit above the HK$0.1180 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.0300, and 2 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Chengtong Development Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$579M at a net margin of 8.3%. Revenue grew 63.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. Net debt stands at HK$7.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2000 (bear case) to HK$0.2800 (bull case); at HK$0.1180, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 93% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at 137%, 0217 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence HK$0.3200 HK$0.3000 HK$0.2100 74
Gordon GGM HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 66
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 65
All 11 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0500 HK$0.3800 HK$0.5300 61
Lynch FV HK$0.2000 HK$0.2800 HK$0.3700 59
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.2000 HK$0.2800 HK$0.3700 55
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 66
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2100 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.1000 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1700 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.1000 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1700 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2500 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4900 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence HK$0.3200 HK$0.3000 HK$0.2100 74
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.2600 HK$0.3700 HK$0.4800 65

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$0.3700) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0300). Highest evidence: Residual Income (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 13.7 as of Jul 1, 2026
P/S ratio 1.13 P/E × margin
Dividend yield 2.5%
Net margin 8.3% FY2025
Return on equity 1.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 24.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$579M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +63.0% 3y avg −23.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +218%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −HK$3.8B FY2025
Net debt HK$7.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

China Chengtong Development Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the leasing, property development and investment, and marine recreation services and hotel operation in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

China Chengtong Development Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the leasing, property development and investment, and marine recreation services and hotel operation in the People's Republic of China. It provides leasing services, including consultancy services from leasing arrangement, finance lease, sale and leaseback, and operating lease services; sales of properties and holding investment properties for appreciation, and providing rental services; and marine recreation and hotel services. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Hong Kong, Hong Kong. China Chengtong Development Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of China Chengtong Hong Kong Company Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Chengtong Development Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$579M in FY2025 versus HK$1.2B in FY2021, a compound −16.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$47.9M in FY2025, compounding −17.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 6/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$579M
Latest YoY
+4.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−23.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (26Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−12.2% · in HKD
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−14.7%
Dividend yield2.5%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −14.7% vs 10Y −4.8%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8.3% (2020) → 19.3% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop133% (2014) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in HKD
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 17.5%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Revenue −16.2%/yr
FY21 HK$1.2B
FY22 HK$1.3B
FY23 HK$740M
FY24 HK$553M
FY25 HK$579M
Net income −17.7%/yr
FY21 HK$104M
FY22 HK$76.1M
FY23 HK$68.0M
FY24 HK$38.6M
FY25 HK$47.9M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) −4.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share −1.2 %

of which total revenue −0.4 % · buybacks/dilution −0.8 %

EBIT margin +24.9 %
Tax rate −2.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −20.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Chengtong Development Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0217.HK

Peer Group

Credit Services · 325 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +137% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Below median
Revenue growth 63% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.61× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.28× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.41× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 21.8× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 34
FUTURE100 · sector 40
PAST7 · sector 31
HEALTH20 · sector 59
DIVIDEND51 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Chengtong Development Group Ltd (0217) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2800 versus a price of HK$0.1180, about +137% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0217?
Our model-based fair value for China Chengtong Development Group Ltd is HK$0.2800 (as of Aug 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1180.
What is the quality score of 0217?
China Chengtong Development Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Chengtong Development Group Ltd (0217)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2800 (as of Aug 22, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2000, optimistic scenario HK$0.2800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Chengtong Development Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2800, about +137% upside versus a price of HK$0.1180 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2000, optimistic scenario HK$0.2800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Chengtong Development Group Ltd (0217)?
China Chengtong Development Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$579M (latest available figure, as of Aug 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0217?
The net profit margin of China Chengtong Development Group Ltd is about 8.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does China Chengtong Development Group Ltd pay a dividend?
China Chengtong Development Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.54% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 22, 2026).
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