Shenwan Hongyuan (H.K.) Limited (0218) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$1.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Share price +12.9% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 31% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2600 – HK$3.01 · fair‑value band HK$0.9900 – HK$1.65 · the HK$1.01 price screens below the HK$1.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Shenwan Hongyuan (H.K.) Limited (0218) currently trades at HK$1.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.32, implying the stock looks roughly 31.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenwan Hongyuan (H.K.) Limited generated revenue of HK$601M at a net margin of 20.1%. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. Net debt stands at HK$1.3B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 11.4. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.9900 (bear case) to HK$1.65 (bull case); at HK$1.01, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 31%, 0218 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$3.30) versus Multiples (HK$1.01). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenwan Hongyuan (H.K.) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the brokerage, corporate finance, asset management, financing and loans, and investment and other businesses in Hong Kong. The company operates through Enterprise Finance, Wealth Management, Institutional Services and Trading, and Asset Management segments.
Full company description
Shenwan Hongyuan (H.K.) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the brokerage, corporate finance, asset management, financing and loans, and investment and other businesses in Hong Kong. The company operates through Enterprise Finance, Wealth Management, Institutional Services and Trading, and Asset Management segments. The Enterprise Finance segment offers stock underwriting sponsorship, bond underwriting, and financial advisory services for corporate clients; and self-financing equity, debt, and other investments. The Wealth Management segment provides securities, futures, and options brokerage services; and wealth management, over-the-counter, and securities margin financing products to individual clients and non-professional institutional investors through a combination of online and offline methods. The Institutional Services and Trading segment provides stock brokerage and trading services; research consulting, fixed income bonds, foreign exchange, over-the-counter derivatives and other trading investments, and investment and financing solutions, as well as fixed income, currencies and commodities, structured products, and stock business. The Asset Management segment offers public and private fund management, investment advisory, and discretionary managed account services. It offers management and treasury and share custodian and nominee services; leases computer equipment; and holds properties. The company was formerly known as Shenyin Wanguo (H.K.) Limited and changed its name to Shenwan Hongyuan (H.K.) Limited in May 2015. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Hong Kong, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenwan Hongyuan (H.K.) Limited reported revenue of HK$666M in FY2025 versus HK$730M in FY2021, a compound −2.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$121M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Capital Markets · 423 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huatai Securities Co HTSC | $0.2700 | $0.0400 | -85% |
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,750 KRW | 31,645 KRW | -18% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 117,000 KRW | 87,706 KRW | -25% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 239,000 KRW | 318,825 KRW | +33% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 31,000 KRW | 37,133 KRW | +20% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 107,700 KRW | 126,487 KRW | +17% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹967.00 | ₹299.65 | -69% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 322,000 KRW | 358,091 KRW | +11% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 24,250 VND | 28,021 VND | +16% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 120.22 ARS | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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