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China Strategic Holdings Ltd (0235) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$428M (≈ $54.6M) · ISIN HK0235034623

What is China Strategic Holdings Ltd really worth?

CS China Strategic Holdings Ltd 0235 · HK
PriceHK$0.0200
Fair ValueHK$0.0360
Upside+80.0%
Quality58/100

A solid business, trading 44% below our fair value of HK$0.0360.

As of Aug 26, 2026, the fair value of China Strategic Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0360 per share against a price of HK$0.0200, so the fair value sits 80% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −20.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -36.7% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 7 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0340 – HK$0.0360

Fair value as of: Aug 26, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price −9.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0340). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.0340 to HK$0.0360), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.1380 HK$0.0180 Fair Value HK$0.0360 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0180 – HK$0.1380 · fair‑value band HK$0.0340 – HK$0.0360 · the HK$0.0200 price screens below the HK$0.0360 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.

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Analysis

China Strategic Holdings Ltd (0235) currently trades at HK$0.0200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0360, implying the stock looks roughly 44.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$0.2600 per share, and 9 of the 9 models we run sit above the HK$0.0200 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0700, and 0 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Strategic Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$36.1M at a net margin of −36.7%. Revenue declined 64.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −0.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0340 (bear case) to HK$0.0360 (bull case); at HK$0.0200, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at 80%, 0235 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence HK$0.2200 HK$0.2500 HK$0.3200 82
Growth DCF HK$0.2200 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3100 80
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1500 HK$0.1500 HK$0.1600 77
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence HK$0.2200 HK$0.2500 HK$0.3200 82
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1500 HK$0.1500 HK$0.1600 74
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1500 HK$0.1500 HK$0.1600 77
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1800 HK$0.1800 HK$0.1900 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1800 HK$0.1800 HK$0.1900 70
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$0.0900 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1000 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.1000 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1000 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.1100 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.2200 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3100 80

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$0.2600) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0700). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 11.8 TTM
Dividend yield 0.3%
Net margin −22.2% FY2025
Return on equity −0.6% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −24.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 101% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$36.1M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −64.8% 3y avg −43.0%
EPS growth (YoY) −83.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$313M FY2025
Net cash HK$1.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

CSC Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the money lending, investment in securities, trading, and securities brokerage business in Hong Kong. It also trades in electronic components, including LCD panels; and invests in various securities, including listed equity shares, equity linked notes, equity convertible notes, and bonds.

Full company description

CSC Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the money lending, investment in securities, trading, and securities brokerage business in Hong Kong. It also trades in electronic components, including LCD panels; and invests in various securities, including listed equity shares, equity linked notes, equity convertible notes, and bonds. The company provides structured collateralized loans, and mortgage and personal loans; securities brokerage, margin financing, and placing and underwriting services; and asset management, advisory, and management services. Further, it engages in the procurement and supply of metal minerals and coke products. The company was formerly known as China Strategic Holdings Limited and changed its name to CSC Holdings Limited in November 2022. CSC Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Strategic Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$59.8M in FY2025 versus −HK$3.3B in FY2021. Reported net income was −HK$13.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 15/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$59.8M
Latest YoY
−8.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−43.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−20.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.7%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1,576.8% (2020) → −9.9% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue
FY21 −HK$3.3B
FY22 HK$322M
FY23 HK$71.9M
FY24 HK$65.2M
FY25 HK$59.8M
Net income
FY21 −HK$3.6B
FY22 −HK$189M
FY23 HK$26.8M
FY24 HK$4.5M
FY25 −HK$13.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Strategic Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0235.HK

Peer Group

Credit Services · 325 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +100% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −37% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 101% · Top 25%
Revenue growth −65% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 1.51× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 34
FUTURE0 · sector 40
PAST0 · sector 31
HEALTH100 · sector 59
DIVIDEND7 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Strategic Holdings Ltd (0235) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0360 versus a price of HK$0.0200, about +80% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0235?
Our model-based fair value for China Strategic Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0360 (as of Aug 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0200.
What is the quality score of 0235?
China Strategic Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Strategic Holdings Ltd (0235)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0360 (as of Aug 26, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0340, optimistic scenario HK$0.0360. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Strategic Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0360, about +80% upside versus a price of HK$0.0200 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0340, optimistic scenario HK$0.0360. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Strategic Holdings Ltd (0235)?
China Strategic Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$36.1M (latest available figure, as of Aug 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0235?
The net profit margin of China Strategic Holdings Ltd is about −36.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does China Strategic Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
China Strategic Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.33% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 26, 2026).
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