Hainan Meilan International Airport Company (0357) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$1.9B
Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 36 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026, revised from HK$23.54 to HK$12.38 (−47.4%) since Jul 1, 2026. Share price +32.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 124% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$7.70). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$7.70 to HK$17.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$4.00 – HK$38.30 · fair‑value band HK$7.70 – HK$17.06 · the HK$5.52 price screens below the HK$12.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.
Analysis
Hainan Meilan International Airport Company (0357) currently trades at HK$5.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$12.38, implying the stock looks roughly 124.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hainan Meilan International Airport Company generated revenue of HK$2.0B at a net margin of -13.9%. Revenue declined 9.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.0%. Net debt stands at HK$2.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$7.70 (bear case) to HK$17.06 (bull case); at HK$5.52, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at 124%, 0357 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$12.00) versus Dividend Discount (HK$4.12). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hainan Meilan International Airport Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the aeronautical and non-aeronautical businesses at the Meilan Airport in the People's Republic of China. The company's aeronautical business includes the provision of terminal facilities, ground handling services, and passenger services.
Full company description
Hainan Meilan International Airport Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the aeronautical and non-aeronautical businesses at the Meilan Airport in the People's Republic of China. The company's aeronautical business includes the provision of terminal facilities, ground handling services, and passenger services. Its non-aeronautical business comprises the leasing of commercial and retail spaces at Meilan Airport; franchise of airport-related business; leasing of advertising space and parking lots; provision of car parking and cargo handling services; and sale of consumable goods. It is also involved in the investment business; hotel investment and operation activities; and rendering of cargo and logistics services. The company was formerly known as Regal International Airport Group Company Limited and changed its name to Hainan Meilan International Airport Company Limited in November 2019. Hainan Meilan International Airport Company Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Haikou, the People's Republic of China. As of December 24, 2025, the company operates as a subsidiary of Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hainan Meilan International Airport Company reported revenue of HK$2.0B in FY2025 versus HK$1.6B in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$279M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Airports & Air Services · 55 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aena S.M.E., S.A AENA | €26.24 | €28.41 | +8% |
| Airports of Thailand Public Company TATD | 2.44 SGD | 1.25 SGD | -49% |
| Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. PAC | $220.91 | $246.06 | +11% |
| GMR Airports Limited GMRINFRA | ₹112.80 | ₹22.29 | -80% |
| Flughafen Zürich AG FHZN | CHF 237.20 | CHF 121.30 | -49% |
| Shanghai International Airport Co 600009 | ¥24.08 | ¥17.09 | -29% |
| Auckland International Airport Limited AIA | A$7.11 | A$2.80 | -61% |
| Fraport AG FRA | €69.35 | €49.83 | -28% |
| Københavns Lufthavne A/S KBHL | kr 5,660 | kr 1,821 | -68% |
| SATS Ltd S58 | 4.82 SGD | 4.03 SGD | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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