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Superland Group Holdings (0368) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Superland Group Holdings HK$0.47, price HK$2.96, upside -84.1%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG8588F1028

SG Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Superland Group Holdings

0368 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.4700 · Strongly overvalued (−84%)
!Quality 44/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY −0.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 13 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$6.30 HK$0.2040 Fair Value HK$0.4700 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2040 – HK$6.30 · fair‑value band HK$0.3500 – HK$0.5800 · the HK$2.96 price screens above the HK$0.4700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Superland Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision fitting-out, and repair and maintenance services in Hong Kong. The company offers fitting-out services for residential, clubhouse, hotel, shopping mall and commercial properties. It also provides Oodles Smart, an interior design platform.

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Superland Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision fitting-out, and repair and maintenance services in Hong Kong. The company offers fitting-out services for residential, clubhouse, hotel, shopping mall and commercial properties. It also provides Oodles Smart, an interior design platform. The company was formerly known as Superland Management Company Limited and changed its name to Superland Group Holdings Limited in December 2019. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong. Superland Group Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Fate Investment Company Limited.

Stock analysis

Superland Group Holdings (0368) currently trades at HK$2.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4700, implying the stock looks roughly 529.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.6700 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the HK$2.96 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.1300, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.3500 (bear) to HK$0.5800 (bull), the price of HK$2.96 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.

Superland Group Holdings reported revenue of HK$901M in FY2025 versus HK$798M in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$22.3M in FY2025, compounding +15.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$2.4B (≈ $302M) · P/E ratio 86.7 · P/S ratio 2.14 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 9.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 921% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −84%, 0368 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (HK$0.1300 to HK$1.20). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear HK$0.3500 Fair Value HK$0.4700 Bull HK$0.5800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0073 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings HK$0.5500 HK$0.6700 HK$0.8800 78
Residual Income HK$0.2300 HK$0.2400 HK$0.2600 76
EPV HK$0.4800 HK$0.5300 HK$0.5700 74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$0.5500 HK$0.6700 HK$0.8800 78
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.1900 HK$0.2800 HK$0.3300 67
EPV HK$0.4800 HK$0.5300 HK$0.5700 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.1200 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1400 69
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1200 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1600 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.4400 HK$0.5800 HK$0.7300 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.3500 HK$0.4700 HK$0.5900 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.3500 HK$0.4700 HK$0.5900 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.9100 HK$1.20 HK$1.49 66
EV/EBITDA HK$0.7700 HK$1.02 HK$1.26 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.6600 HK$0.9300 HK$1.19 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1400 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2900 53
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.2300 HK$0.2400 HK$0.2600 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.4800 HK$0.5400 HK$0.6000 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.3100 HK$0.4400 HK$0.5800 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 82
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 6%

0368 screens 530% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 840 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −84% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −10% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 86.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B 10.34× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.63× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 41.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)40 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)13 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Quanta Services, Inc PWR $634.90 $163.08 −74%
Vinci SA DG €110.50 €185.62 +68%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,626 $1,122 −31%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,930 ₹1,994 −49%
Ferrovial N.V FER $56.30 $24.01 −57%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 256,792 KRW −30%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €397.00 €203.87 −49%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €92.75 €75.04 −19%
EMCOR Group EME $751.80 $521.87 −31%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $217.52 $106.05 −51%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Superland Group Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0368

Frequently asked questions

Is Superland Group Holdings (0368) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4700 versus a price of HK$2.96, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0368?
Our model-based fair value for Superland Group Holdings is HK$0.4700 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$2.96.
What is the quality score of 0368?
Superland Group Holdings has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.4700 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.3500, optimistic scenario HK$0.5800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Superland Group Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.4700, about −84% upside versus a price of HK$2.96 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.3500, optimistic scenario HK$0.5800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
Superland Group Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$901M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Superland Group Holdings pay a dividend?
Superland Group Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.64% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Superland Group Holdings it is HK$0.4700 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$2.96. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Superland Group Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0368 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$2.96, fair value HK$0.4700, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0368?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$2.96); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.4700). For Superland Group Holdings the two are HK$2.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Superland Group Holdings worth?
The market values Superland Group Holdings at about HK$2.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$2.96; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.4700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0368?
Our models span a range for Superland Group Holdings: cautious scenario HK$0.3500, base HK$0.4700, optimistic HK$0.5800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$2.96). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0368?
Superland Group Holdings trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 86.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.4700 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 10.3, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 41.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
Balance-sheet figures for Superland Group Holdings (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.9%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0368 from its 52-week high?
Superland Group Holdings trades at HK$2.96, about 53% below its 52-week high of HK$6.30 and 921% above the low of HK$0.2900 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.4700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Superland Group Holdings?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Superland Group Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$2.96, calculated fair value HK$0.4700 (−84%), Quality Score 44/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0368 calculated?
We run Superland Group Holdings through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.4700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Superland Group Holdings itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$2.96. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.4700, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Superland Group Holdings right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.5800). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Superland Group Holdings

How large is the market capitalisation of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
The market capitalisation of Superland Group Holdings is HK$2.4B (≈ $302M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Superland Group Holdings is 2.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
Earnings per share at Superland Group Holdings are HK$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 86.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
The dividend yield of Superland Group Holdings is 0.6% (payout 190%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
The net margin of Superland Group Holdings is 2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Superland Group Holdings is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Superland Group Holdings is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
The operating margin of Superland Group Holdings is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
Revenue at Superland Group Holdings is growing −9.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
Earnings per share at Superland Group Holdings are growing +23.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Superland Group Holdings (0368) generate?
The free cash flow of Superland Group Holdings is −HK$20.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Superland Group Holdings (0368) carry?
The net debt of Superland Group Holdings is HK$469M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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