Superland Group (0368) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$2.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price +154.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 92% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.5800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.3100 to HK$0.5800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2040 – HK$5.20 · fair‑value band HK$0.3100 – HK$0.5800 · the HK$5.20 price screens above the HK$0.4400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Superland Group (0368) currently trades at HK$5.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4400, implying the stock looks roughly 91.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Superland Group generated revenue of HK$901M at a net margin of 2.5%. Revenue declined 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. Net debt stands at HK$469M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3100 (bear case) to HK$0.5800 (bull case); at HK$5.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -92%, 0368 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.5800) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.1700). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Superland Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision fitting-out, and repair and maintenance services in Hong Kong. The company offers fitting-out services for residential, clubhouse, hotel, shopping mall and commercial properties. It also provides Oodles Smart, an interior design platform.
Full company description
Superland Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision fitting-out, and repair and maintenance services in Hong Kong. The company offers fitting-out services for residential, clubhouse, hotel, shopping mall and commercial properties. It also provides Oodles Smart, an interior design platform. The company was formerly known as Superland Management Company Limited and changed its name to Superland Group Holdings Limited in December 2019. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong. Superland Group Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Fate Investment Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Superland Group reported revenue of HK$901M in FY2025 versus HK$798M in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$22.3M in FY2025, compounding +15.3%/yr from FY2021.
0368 screens 92% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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