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Superland Group Holdings (0368) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Superland Group Holdings stock HK$0.47, price HK$4.16, that is 88.7% below the price, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials HK · ISIN KYG8588F1028

SG Superland Group Holdings logo Thin data Nov 5, 2026

Superland Group Holdings

0368 · HK
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 89% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 44/100
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY −0.2 %/yr in HKD)
Thin margins · 3.1% net margin (TTM)
Costs 135 times its yearly profit.
Fair value HK$0.4700 · Strongly overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 31/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$6.30 HK$0.2040 Fair Value HK$0.4700 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2040 – HK$6.30 · fair‑value band HK$0.3100 – HK$0.6100 · the HK$4.16 price screens above the HK$0.4700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Superland Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision fitting-out, and repair and maintenance services in Hong Kong. The company offers fitting-out services for residential, clubhouse, hotel, shopping mall and commercial properties.

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It also provides Oodles Smart, an interior design platform. The company was formerly known as Superland Management Company Limited and changed its name to Superland Group Holdings Limited in December 2019. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong.

Superland Group Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Fate Investment Company Limited.

Stock analysis

Superland Group Holdings (0368) currently trades at HK$4.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4700, 89% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.5500 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the HK$4.16 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1300, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.3100 (bear) to HK$0.6100 (bull), the price of HK$4.16 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.

Superland Group Holdings reported revenue of HK$901M in FY2025 versus HK$798M in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$22.3M in FY2025, compounding +15.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$3.3B (≈ $424M) Small · P/E ratio 135.0 · P/S ratio 3.34 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 12.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 4.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 1,287% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −89%, 0368 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.3100 Fair Value HK$0.4700 Bull HK$0.6100
Price HK$4.16 · Downside -88.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings HK$0.4400 HK$0.5500 HK$0.7300 78
Residual Income HK$0.2300 HK$0.2500 HK$0.2800 76
EPV HK$0.5000 HK$0.5600 HK$0.6100 74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$0.4400 HK$0.5500 HK$0.7300 78
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.1900 HK$0.2800 HK$0.3300 67
EPV HK$0.5000 HK$0.5600 HK$0.6100 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.1200 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1500 69
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1200 HK$0.1500 HK$0.1800 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.4400 HK$0.5800 HK$0.7300 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.3500 HK$0.4700 HK$0.5900 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.3100 HK$0.4100 HK$0.5100 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.2900 HK$0.5800 HK$0.8700 63
EV/EBITDA HK$0.1500 HK$0.4000 HK$0.6400 62
EV/Revenue HK$0.0400 HK$0.3100 HK$0.5700 47
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0900 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1600 55
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.2300 HK$0.2500 HK$0.2800 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.5000 HK$0.5700 HK$0.6400 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.3100 HK$0.4400 HK$0.5800 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 36
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 9
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 30
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 72
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 78
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 82
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 6%

0368 screens overvalued: fair value 89% below the price. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 791 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −88.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 12.4% · Above median
Return on assets 2.2% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 3.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 4.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −2.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 135.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 14.54× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 3.74× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 62.7× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)50 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)8 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vinci SA DG €111.60 €186.68 +67% vs 0368
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,018 $1,119 +10% vs 0368
EMCOR Group EME $608.45 $524.14 −14% vs 0368
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €87.00 €62.21 −28% vs 0368
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 273,500 KRW 159,702 KRW −42% vs 0368
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,118 ₹2,302 −44% vs 0368
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €365.60 €203.86 −44% vs 0368
APi Group APG $40.87 $19.20 −53% vs 0368
Ferrovial N.V FER $58.71 $23.06 −61% vs 0368
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $540.90 $162.41 −70% vs 0368

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Superland Group Holdings: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Superland Group Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0368

Frequently asked questions

Is Superland Group Holdings (0368) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4700 versus a price of HK$4.16, about 89% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0368?
Our model-based fair value for Superland Group Holdings is HK$0.4700 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$4.16.
What is the quality score of 0368?
Superland Group Holdings has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.4700 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.3100, optimistic scenario HK$0.6100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Superland Group Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.4700, about 89% lower versus a price of HK$4.16 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.3100, optimistic scenario HK$0.6100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
Superland Group Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$890M (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Superland Group Holdings pay a dividend?
Superland Group Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of 0.41% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
Superland Group Holdings has a dividend yield of 0.4%.
What is the intrinsic value of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Superland Group Holdings it is HK$0.4700 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of HK$4.16. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Superland Group Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 0368 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$4.16, fair value HK$0.4700, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0368?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$4.16); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.4700). For Superland Group Holdings the two are HK$3.69 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Superland Group Holdings worth?
The market values Superland Group Holdings at about HK$3.3B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is HK$4.16; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.4700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0368?
Our models span a range for Superland Group Holdings: cautious scenario HK$0.3100, base HK$0.4700, optimistic HK$0.6100 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price HK$4.16). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0368?
Superland Group Holdings trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 135.0 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.4700 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 14.5, P/S 3.7, EV/EBITDA 62.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
Balance-sheet figures for Superland Group Holdings (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 12.4%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0368 from its 52-week high?
Superland Group Holdings trades at HK$4.16, about 34% below its 52-week high of HK$6.30 and 1,287% above the low of HK$0.3000 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.4700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Superland Group Holdings?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Superland Group Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price HK$4.16, calculated fair value HK$0.4700 (−89%), Quality Score 44/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0368 calculated?
We run Superland Group Holdings through 15 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.4700 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Superland Group Holdings itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was HK$4.16. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.4700, about 89% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Superland Group Holdings right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.6100). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.3100 to HK$0.6100) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Superland Group Holdings

How large is the market capitalisation of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
The market capitalisation of Superland Group Holdings is HK$3.3B (≈ $424M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Superland Group Holdings is 3.34 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
The dividend yield of Superland Group Holdings is 0.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
The net margin of Superland Group Holdings is 2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Superland Group Holdings is 12.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Superland Group Holdings is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
The operating margin of Superland Group Holdings is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
Revenue at Superland Group Holdings is growing −2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Superland Group Holdings (0368)?
Earnings per share at Superland Group Holdings are growing +133% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Superland Group Holdings (0368) generate?
The free cash flow of Superland Group Holdings is −HK$20.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Superland Group Holdings (0368) carry?
The net debt of Superland Group Holdings is HK$469M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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